Amelia Earhart














Amelia Earhart | - | -





Referred from page 22. Inter-War Years
































































 
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Amelia Earhart
 
 
Image result for amelia earhart - 1937
Amelia Earhart, American aviatrix   -   Lady Lindy, Queen of the Skies, First Lady of the Air   -   with her low-wing twin-engine Lockheed Model 10-E Electra mono-plane. (1936 photo.)

The plane was designed in 1934 and built in 1935. The plane was outfitted for long-distance flights to Earhart's specifications and delivered to her in July 1936.
 

 
In June 1928, Earhart was the first woman passenger on a non-stop flight across the Atlantic Ocean. (Newfoundland to Wales.)
 
In May 1932, Earhart was the second person to fly solo non-stop across the Atlantic Ocean, five years after Charles Lindbergh's pioneering solo flight from New York to Paris in 1927. Earhart flew from Newfoundland to Ireland,  
 
In January 1935, Earhart was the first woman to fly solo from Honolulu, Hawaii to Oakland, California. 





 
1937
 
The World Flight
 
A Great Circle Flight
 
Around the world by the equator
 
Amelia Earhart set out to fly around the world by the equator   -   the longest possible route.
 
 
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Amelia Earhart and her husband, George Putnam (1887 - 1950), study a map before the flight.
 
 
 A plane, similar to the Lockheed Electra seen here, will soon make its way to Atchison, hometown of famed aviatrix Amelia Earhart.
 
The Lockheed Model 10-E Electra. The photo was taken in Oakland, California in mid-March 1937 or on Wheeler Field on the Hawaiian island of Oahu on March 18, 1937.

Fifteen planes of this model were built for a pilot, co-pilot, two navigators, and ten passengers. Passenger seats were removed from two of the planes to carry extra fuel for long flights. Earhart got one of the two planes. Dick Merrill and Jack Lambie flew the other plane round-trip across the Atlantic in May 1937. Earhart's plane was outfitted for the round-the-world flight.
 
 
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The sketch above points out the Electra's two engines, pilot escape hatch atop the cockpit (one of the plane's two entrances or exits), the navigator's station, and location of the extra fuel tanks in the fuselage (between the cockpit and the navigator's station).
 
The antenna of the plane's Radio Direction Finder (RDF), to assist in navigation by determining the direction to the source of radio signals, was a manual rotatable hoop above the cockpit, called a "loop antenna".
 
Omitted from the sketch is the plane's only door, on the port side. There was a lavatory in the back of the plane.
 
The sketch is of the plane as it looked in mid- March 1937.
 
 
 
Cockpit photo
Photo of the control panel in the cockpit of Earhart's Electra. Two seats for pilot, left, and co-pilot, right.
 
The box in the upper left corner has been described in some accounts as a radio compass receiver. If so, the photo was probably taken in Burbank, Califonria not later than early March 1937, when the radio compass was removed.
 
 
Amelia Earhart said the round-the-world flight would be her last exploit in aviation. She wanted to do other things and continue her work for women and education. She would be age forty at the end of July.  
 
 
 
Fred Noonan

frednoonanpanam.jpg

Frederick Joseph Noonan, born
in Chicago on 4 April 1893, was
considered the best flight navigator
of the day. The above photo is of
Noonan with Pan American Airways.
In 1935, Noonan was the first to
chart many commercial air routes
across the Pacific. He trained flight
navigators for Pan Am.
 
Noonan's father was from the state of Maine. His mother came from England with her family. Noonan moved to Seattle and went to sea in his mid-teens. He sailed on American and British merchant ships (mostly British)   -   sailing vessels (windjammers) and steam and motor ships.
 
During the Great War, Noonan sailed on American and British merchant ships. He was a ship's officer on American and British merchant vessels after the war. By age 30 he was a master mariner   -   the highest rank, equivalent to a ship's captain on cargo and passenger ships   -    with the highest ratings. By the 1930s his license was "unrestricted", for any ship, "any tonnage, any ocean".
 
In the late 1920s, Noonan was drawn to aviation. He got a commercial pilots's license. He joined an American airline with air routes to South America. The airline was acquired by Pan American Airways. He was a navigation instructor and managed Pan Am's airports in Haiti, Cuba and Miami. 
 
Noonan was the navigator on the first Pan Am Clipper flight through Latin America to the Pacific, in 1935. He was the chief navigator on all of Pan Am's Pacific Survey flights in 1935 and first commercial Clipper flights across the Pacific in 1936. He trained Pan Am's Pacific Clipper navigators.
 
Noonan did not leave Pan Am but stopped working for the airline in late 1936 when its management did not respond to requests to improve working conditions and the pay of flight crews. Pacific Clipper crews were pushed beyond their physical limits (and beyond the limits set by government regulations).
 
Noonan planned to open a navigation school.
 
In mid-March 1937, a few days before the scheduled take-off from Oakland, Amelia Earhart invited Noonan to join the World Flight as its celestial navigator.
   
 
 
Oakland, California - Honolulu, Oahu, Hawaii
 
 
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The World Flight crew before taking off from Oakland, California for Honolulu, Hawaii on 18 March 1937.
 
From left to right are Paul Mantz, co-pilot and technical advisor; Amelia Earhart, pilot; Harry Manning, radio navigator, and Fred Noonan, celestial navigator. 
 
Behind the crew is Earhart's Lockheed Model 10E Electra. 
 
Paul Mantz (1900 - 1965) was a famous Hollywood stunt pilot and air racer. Mantz was Earhart's partner in a brief business venture, the Earhart-Mantz Flying School, in Burbank, which Mantz directed through his airline, United Air Services, in 1935. Mantz trained Earhart in long-distance flying. Mantz accompanied the World Flight as Earhart's technical advisor to Hawaii, where he was to meet his fiancée.  
   
Harry Manning (1897 - 1974) was a cargo and passenger ship captain. He was also an air pilot, radio operator and navigator. He was a friend of Earhart. He was captain of the ship that brought Earhart back to America after her passenger ride on a non-stop flight across the Atlantic in 1928. As radio navigator on board the World Flight, he was to guide Earhart across the entire Pacific Ocean   -    from Oakland to Honolulu to Howland Island and Lae, New Guinea. Manning was to go as far as Darwin, Australia.
 
Fred Noonan was a last-minute addition to the crew. A pioneering flight navigator in the Pacific, his knowledge and experience were extensive. His quick method of calculation simplified celestial navigation in aviation. (Most celestial navigators estimated their position from observations of three stars. Noonan was known for two-star position fixes.) A radio operator and celestial navigator were essential for any flight across the Pacific Ocean. It would be dangerous to attempt the flight without either. Radio was not always reliable. Initially, Noonan was asked to assist Manning in navigating Earhart from California to Honolulu and Howland   -   the latter flight a long and difficult stretch over the central Pacific. Manning was not familiar with multi-engine planes and not experienced in long-distance flying or cross-Pacitic flights. Noonan was to get off at Howland and return to California with the Coast Guard. 
 
In Honolulu, Earhart wisely invited Noonan to continue from Howland to Lae. He was to get off with Manning in Darwin.
 
Earhart would continue the flight alone from Darwin, fly across Asia, Africa, the Atlantic, South America, the Caribbean and the U. S. back to California.
 
 
Earhart billed her World Flight as a scientific expedition and her plane a "Flying Laboratory". In reality, the plan and the flight were nothing of the sort. The claim was a device to obtain sponsorship from an academic institution. In the back of the plane were stations for the radio and celestial navigators, extra fuel tanks. and emergency provisions.
 
 
Paul Mantz, Amelia Earhart and George Putnam
 
Loading the plane in Oakland on 17 March 1937
 
 
 
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The Hayward Review (San Francisco Bay), 23 February 1937. Map shows the planned route of the flight from Oakland, 
California around the world to the west, starting out across the Pacific.
 
 
 
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Six fuel tanks, including four extra large tanks   -   three big tanks, shown in the photo above, and one slightly smaller tank   -   were in the cabin between the cockpit and the navigator's station. The photo was taken probably in February or early March 1937. The navigator could climb over the tanks to get to the cockpit or attach notes onto the end of a long stick, reach over the fuel tanks and hold it out to the cockpit.
 
Earhart is atop the fuel tanks with a radio that has been described in some accounts as a radio compass receiver (a navigation homing device). If so, it was removed before the flight. The radio has been described also as a radio transmitter. (See below.)
 
 
On 18 March 1937, Earhart, with a crew of four, flew the first leg of the World Flight from Oakland to Honolulu. There was one technical malfunction during the flight. The right engine shut down temporarily.
 
 
Honolulu
 
Paul Mantz, as the co-pilot, landed the plane at Wheleer Army Air Field, the army's pursuit (fighter) plane base in northwestern Oahu, on 18 March.


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The crew on Oahu on March 18, 1937. From left to right: Manning, Mantz, Earhart and Noonan.
 

Mantz checked the Electra. There was a problem with the right engine propeller that would have to be repaired.
 
The next two legs across the Pacific would be the longest, most difficult and most dangerous of the entire World Flight. No one had flown between Honolulu, Howland and Lae before. This was a pioneering venture.
 
The next leg of the flight was to Howland Island, a tiny remote island in the central Pacific.
 
Earhart and Mantz visited Luke Field, the US Army's main air base on Oahu (for pursuit planes and bombers), on Ford Island in Pearl Harbor, and decided its runway would be better than Wheeler Field for the take-off for Howland. The army shared the island, dividing it in half with the navy, which had its base in Pearl Harbor.

The next day, 19 March, Mantz checked the plane again and took it on a 45-minute test flgiht over Honolulu.



Image result for dick merrill and jack lambie send photo to amelia earhart

The Electra on Wheeler Field. The photo was taken on 19 March, with Paul Mantz (and his fiancée and a friend) on board, before Mantz tested the plane in flight.    


Mantz landed the plane on Luke Field. Further checks and corrections. There was a problem during refueling. 
 
Noonan impressed Earhart and after the flight from California to Hawaii, Earhart asked him to consider accompanying her the entire flight   -   across Asia, Africa and the Americas.
 
The plane would take off before dawn on 20 March for the 11 1/2 to 12-hour-flight in day-time to Howland.
 
On board with Earhart were Manning and Noonan.
 
The plane was heavily loaded with fuel for the long flight.
 
Earhart, with Manning as co-pilot, began the night take-off.   
 
The plane, with Earhart at the controls, ground-looped on the take-off and crashed.
 
 
 
Related image
Earhart's Electra after its crash on Luke Feild on Ford Island in Pearl Harbor on 20 March 1937.
 
 
There were no injuries to the crew of three.
 
There were numerous accounts of the crash.
 
As the plane accelerated on the take-off roll the left engine seemed to rotate faster than the right. The plane swayed to the right and headed off the runway. The plane swerved towards the left and tipped over on its right. The right wing may have clipped the ground. The plane slid sideways down the runway. The right landing gear collapsed and the right tire burst. Then the left landing gear collapsed. The plane spun to the right, slid and whirled on its belly down the runway, and came to a stop facing the opposite direction of the take-off.
 
Earhart was not sure what caused the accident. She thought the right shock absorber might have collapsed. A tire might have burst.
 
In a telegcam to Putnam, Mantz said a tire burst.
 
That same day, Noonan wrote an article for United Press: He was in the back of the plane at the navigator's station. A tire burst. Taking off with one tire would have necessitated a crash landing on Howland or a ditching at sea. Earhart controlled the plane, brought it to a stop and limited the damage. 
 
Earhart planned to try again.
 
The plane was shipped back to Burbank for repairs.

Manning would not be available for another attempt. His leave from the shipping company would soon expire.
 
Due to the seasonal change of direction of the winds in the Pacific, the second attempt around the world would be to the east, starting out from California and flying across the southern U. S., rather than west over the Pacific.
 
There may have been other reasons for the change in direction. According to some accounts, there was a possibility the government would ban the flight if it started again in California and Honolulu.
 
On the second attempt, Earhart was to be accompanied over the entire route by Fred Noonan. 
 
 
 

Amelia Earhart and Fred Noonan in Honolulu after the crash of the Electra, on board the SS Malolo to San Francisco.
 
Silent film footage
 
 
 

 
The Second Attempt
 
On 20 May 1937, Amelia Earhart set out again on the World Flight.
 
The Putnams lived in the city of Burbank, a suburb of Los Angeles, and Earhart flew north to Oakland (a large city across San Francisco Bay from the San Francisco Peninsula) in the morning. Earhart flew back to Burbank in the afternoon on the first leg of the flight (its official start). An engine fire during refueling delayed the flight in Burbank to the next day.
 
 
Take-off from Oakland
 
Official start of the World Flight
 
Features Earhart, San Francisco Bay, and George Putnam in Burbank
 
 
 
Film of Amelia Earhart’s Take-Off
 
Just before the take-off
 
Uploaded by the WSJ in 2015
 

 
 
 
Image result for earhart and noonan, Lae, New Guinea, July 1937
Fred Noonan was twice married, the first time in 1927. He had recently remarried. The above photo is of Noonan with his wife, Beatrice Mary. The couple lived in Oakland. The photo was taken at the airport in Oakland on 20 May or in Burbank on 20 or 21 May 1937.

 
 
Earhart, Putnam, Noonan and a mechanic took off from Burbank on 21 May. They flew east for Miami, Florida.
 
 
Miami
 
At night, Noonan navigated the plane across the Gulf of Mexico from New Orleans to Miami.
 
Earhart, Putnam, Noonan and the mechanic arrived in Miami at dawn on 23 May. 
 
The plane landed at the wrong airport. It was closed for the night. In landing at the right airport shortly afterward, Earhart misjudged her height over the runway and damaged a wheel strut.
 
 
The Final Hours
 
Amelia Earhart's Last Flight
 
Documentary (2000)
 
Part 1 of 4
 
This documentary is about a recreation of Earhart's flight around the world sixty years later, in 1997. This part, the first fifteen minutes, recollects Earhart's preparation for the 1937 flight.
 
 
 
Earhart and Noonan remained in Miami ten days while numeous changes to the plane were made. The external changes are known but there is uncertainty about the reported changes to the plane's radio system.

 
 
Related image
 
The plane was built in mid-1936 and refit for Earhart with a single plexiglass window on each side in the back for the celestial navigator to make observations of the sun, moon and stars.
 
A second and larger window was added farther back to the starboard side of the plane, as shown in the photo above taken in a hangar in Burbank. The second window may have been in the lavatory.
 
This window was removed (patched) in Miami before Earhart and Noonan set out across the Caribbean.
 
Image result for navigator Fred Noonan landed their Lockheed Electra 10E safely on Nikumaroro,
 
The photo above shows the starboard side of Earhart's Lockheed Model 10-E Electra as it looked before the second window on the starboard side was installed or after it was removed.
 
Thus, in the back of the plane there were two windows, one on each side, and a third window, in the door, which was on the port side of the plane.
 
The navigator sat at a desk in the back of the plane to make observations through the windows. An audio intercom system was not on board. The navigator could check his observations from the cockpit.
 
Noonan was also a pilot and probably spent much of the World Flight in the cockpit.
 
 
On 1 June 1937, Earhart and Noonan took off from Miami for the Caribbean and South America.
 
They were to fly a path east along an equatorial route, circling the world as close to the equator as possible. A Great Circle flight.
 
 
Excerpt from a documentary
 
 
 

 
Amelia Earhart and Fred Noonan at Parnamerim airfield, Natal, Brazil, 7 June 1937
 

 
St. Louis, Senegal
   
 
The flight across the Atlantic   -   from Natal in Bahia in Brazil to Senegal   -   took 12 to 13 hours.

In a letter, Noonan wrote that heavy rains and thick clouds blinded them for ten hours. The African coast was socked in. The radio was knocked out. They got through, Noonan wrote, by their "usual luck".
 
The destination was Dakar.

Noonan's chart of the flight, which was sent back to the U. S., showed a planned flight path from Brazil direct to Dakar   -   and another flight path, leading to a point on the African coast several miles to the east and slightly south of Dakar. From this point the chart indicated a turn to the north, by-passing Dakar, and a continuation to St. Louis, Senegal, 100 nautical miles farther up the coast to the north of Dakar.

According to a press release, Earhart landed in St. Louis because Dakar was covered by haze.

According to Earhart's dispatch to the Herald-Tribune, she sighted the African coast in heavy haze. Noonan told her to fly south. This would have brought her to Dakar within a half-hour, she said. Instead, she followed the urge to fly north and soon saw St. Louis. By then, it was too late in the day to turn round for Dakar. 

It has been suggested Earhart chose to land in St. Louis, which was the regional hub of Air France, to better service the plane.

Earhart and Noonan flew to Dakar the next day.


 
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Fred Noonan and Amelia Earhart in Dakar, Senegal on 8 - 10 June 1937.



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Earhart and Noonan, left of the table, at the Aero Club in Dakar, Senegal.


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Earhart and Noonan at the Aero Club in Dakar, Senegal.



Java 
 
File:Fred Noonan.jpg
Fred Noonan in Bandung on
Java in the Dutch East Indies
in late June 1937.
 

 
Darwin, Australia

 File:Amelia Earhart in Darwin on 28 June 1937.jpg - Wikimedia Commons


Amelia Earhart and Fred Noonan, on the right in the above photo, in Darwin, Australia on 28 - 29 June 1937.

Parachutes are on the ground.

 
 
George Putnam wanted his wife to hurry home for the 4th of July. He had made preparations for her to attend a radio event.
 
Earhart and Noonan took off from the port of Darwin in the Northern Territory of Australia on the morning of 29 June.
 
They flew to the port town of Lae at the eastern end of the island of Papua   -   at the time administered by Australia as the Territory of Papua   -   and landed at 3:00 p. m.
 
The flight, 1,040 nautical miles (1,200 statute miles), took seven hours and forty-three minutes.  
 
 

Lae, New Guinea
 
 
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Amelia Earhart and her Electra arrive in Lae, New Guinea on 29 June 1937. 
 

 
 
Map charting the path of Amelia Earhart and Fred Noonan on their round-the-world flight by the equator in 1937. Departing from Oakland, California on 20 May and Miami, Florida on 1 June, they flew across the Caribbean Sea, the northeast coast of South America, the Atlantic, Africa, the southern coast of Arabia, the north of India (Karachi and Calcutta), Southeast Asia (Burma, Siam, British Malaya and the Butch East Indies), and arrived in Darwin, Australia on 28 June and Lae on Papua on 29 June. They took off from Lae at noon on 2 July and headed east for the central Pacific.
 
 
Earhart and Noonan had flown three-quarters of the way around the world.
 
The next three legs of the World Flight would be the last. This would be the longest stretch of the flight, totalling 5,966 nautical miles (or 6,866 statute miles):
 
1. Lae to Howland Island   -   2,221 nautical miles or 2,556 statute miles (almost entirely over water);
 
2. Howland to Honolulu   -   1,651 nm or 1,900 statute miles (the entire flight over water); and 
 
3. Honolulu to Oakland, California   -   2.094 nm/2,410 miles (the entire flight over water).  
 
The next two legs   -   from Lae to Howland and Howland to Honolulu   -   would be the most difficult and most hazardous of the entire flight. No plane had flown between those points before.

The flight from Lae to Howland would be the most difficult of all.

 
 
Image result for howland island

 
Howland Island (in the middle of the globe above) is just north of the equator and about 200 nautical miles east of the 180th Meridian, the International Date Line (IDL).
 
 
Earhart wanted to depart for Howland the next day, 30 June. 
With all that had to be done, however, that would not be possible.
 
There are numerous accounts of Earhart's and Noonan's preparations in Lae for their flight to Howland.
 
There are Earhart's letters, telegrams and a dispatch to a newspaper; Putnam's telegrams; US Navy and Coast Guard telegrams; messages logged by radio operators; and reports by two persons directly involved in Lae. The telegrams and reports are often cited as the most important accounts. 
 
A report was presented with a letter by Eric Chater, manager of Guinea Airways in Lae, to the San Francisco office of a mining company involved in gold mining in New Guinea, on 25 July 1937. The letter was found in the company's office files in Vancouver, British Columbia in 1992. Chater sent a report also to Putnam.
 
At the time, in 1937, Lae was a gold rush town, at the centre of gold mining operations, with a busy airfield and many planes and pilots.
 
Another report was presented by a government official, James A. Callopy, the local district superintendent for civil aviation, in a letter to his superior, on 28 August 1937.
 
Callopy's report and Chater's report to the gold mining company differ in their descriptions of Earhart's take-off from Lae and radio messages during the first seven hours of the flight.
 
Earhart had dinner with the Chaters at their home in Lae. Noonan passed the evening with Callopy and another pilot.
 
At 6:30 the next morning, on 30 June, Earhart sent a telegram to Putnam, in Oakland, California, to inform him of a delay:
 
"Radio misunderstanding and personnel unfitness. Probably will hold one day."
 
The telegram requested a weather forecast from Howland (or Honolulu) and, also, a meteorological report from Howland for Noonan.
 
There should not appear to be any reason to dwell on this telegram. There was some question about radio procedures that should be answered in a day or so. The crew were fatigued and needed another night's rest.  
 
Decades later cranks made much of the telegram to spread malicious gossip. Thus, it cannot be omitted from an account of Earhart in Lae.
 
There were numerous problems with the plane during the 
journey from Natal to Lae. Radio was the biggest problem.
 
Radio is considered to have determined the outcome of the flight across the Pacific.
 
The plane was often without radio contact as it flew around the world. The pilot followed the magnetic compass and geographical features. The navigator estimated their position by celestial observations (the sun, moon and stars) and dead reckoning (a calculation of distance from point to point by the time of the run, the speed of the plane and the speed of the winds). Over the vast Pacific Ocean, without recognisable geographical features, the absence of radio contact could doom a flight.
 
Earhart's telegram to Putnam applied to the next leg of the flight, from Lae to Howland Island, and "radio misunderstanding" implied a lack of agreement over radio broadcast schedules, signals and frequencies with radio operators along the flight path.
 
It was often said that Earhart did not understand sufficiently her radio and the use of radio in general   -   and that she did not care enough about it. Over the Pacific this could be fatal.
 
If there was a "radio misunderstanding", it was at Earhart's end.
 
Earhart was ill with dysentery five days earlier. Her telegram implied that the crew were not well. Noonan was in good health throughout the venture.
 
If someone was unfit, it was Earhart and her unfitness may have impaired her judgement in the week before the flight.  
 
From Lae to Howland Island, Earhart was to be in contact with three radio stations, each at a different point.
 
The first was the Guinea Airways radio station at the point of departure on the airfield in Lae.
 
The second was the USS Ontario, a naval vessel stationed as a radio beacon in the open sea at mid-point along the flight path to Howland.
 
The third was at destination, Howland Island, where the US Coast Guard Cutter Itasca was stationed on "plane guard" and to serve as a radio beacon and, if necessary, guide the plane to the island.
 
This was a radio agreement that would not   -   or could not   -   be followed to the extent required.
 
A US government official on Howland, Richard Blackburn Black, was the Putnams' personal contact and representative on the Itasca and Howland Island. Black was responsible also for all arrangements on the Itasca, Howland and the flight path across the Pacific from Lae to Honolulu. He relayed telegrams to and from the Putnams.
 
 
Radio
 
There are many accounts of the radio systems on board the plane. They differ considerably. The systems were changed at least once in the U. S. and some modifications may have been made en route
 
The plane had a radio transmitter, receiver and navigation aid. Each had its own antenna or antennae. Their specifications and capabilities are unclear, however.
 
During the flight from Lae to Howland, sporadic messages were received from the plane in the first seven hours and last five hours. It is possible the radio receiver did not work until the last hour. Or Earhart did not care to acknowledge messages until then. In the end, only the navigation aid   -   a homing device that never worked during the entire journey   -   could decide the fate of the crew. 
 
How the radios and antennae were selected, removed, replaced or modified in the U. S. and en route is not clear. Numerous experts were consulted.
 
In some accounts, Lockheed delivered the plane in July 1936 with a Western Electric Company radio transmitter and receiver and the Bendix Corporation replaced them in 1937. By some accounts, Earhart and Putnam received $5,000 from Bendix, one of the World Flight's sponsors, to remove the Western Electric equipment and install Bendix equipment to advertise the company. A radio technician in Darwin reported all radio equipment on board was Bendix.
 
It is generally accepted, however, that a Western Electric transmitter and a Bendix receiver were on the plane in Lae. As in March, before the crash in Honolulu, there were three antennae   -   for transmitting, receiving and navigation.
 
A telegraph set could be plugged into the transmitter to tap out signals in Morse Code on a key by hand.
 
A telephone (microphone and earphones) could be plugged into the radio (transmitter and receiver) for broadcasts and two-way communication by voice.
 
The navigation aid, a homing device installed by Bendix, was an antenna in the shape of a hoop called a "loop antenna", 
above the cockpit, for finding the direction of radio signals transmitted by a beacon. The loop was connected directly to the radio receiver in the cockpit. One or two more antennae may have been used for the purpose.
 
 

Image result for earhart's plane with radio wires and direction finder - Simplex0
Sketch of the Electra during the first attempt of the World Flight in March 1937 shows the Bendix Radio Direction Finder, a manual rotatable loop antenna atop the cockpit; the radio receiving long wire antenna under the fuselage; and the radio transmitting wire V-type antenna atop the fuselage.
 
This sketch omits the port-side door.
 
 
Accounts of the 50-watt transmitter's specifications differ, probably because some believe it was made by Western Electric and others by Bendix.
 
There were reports that the original Western Electric transmitter was replaced by another Western Electric transmitter in February 1937. 
 
The transmitter had at least three separate bands (or channels). It may have had six.
 
One band covered a range of low frequencies from 325 - 500 kilo (k) cycles (c) per second (s) - kcs. This band was used in maritime and aeronautical radio navigation.
 
A low frequency was any frequency on or below 1500 kcs. (200-metre wavelength). A high frequency was any frequency 1500 or above. The lower the frequency the longer the wavelength. The higher the frequency the shorter the wavelength. There are advantages and disadvantages to both. Generally, longwave   -   low frequency   -   travels farther and provides better reception. Shortwave   -   high frequency   -   is often better during the day. Pilots contacted the ground on a low frequency. Pilots contacted each other over short distances on a high frequency by radio telephone.
 
Two bands, for broadcasting, covered a range of high frequencies from 2500 - 6500 kcs., with one band for frequencies around 3000 and the other around 6000.
 
Some believe the transmitter had only three bands and they were fixed ("crystal-controlled") to one frequency each   -   500, 3105 and 6210   -   but could be calibrated to other frequencies prior to flight.
 
Others beleive each band could be tuned to various frequencies in flight.  
 
The radio transmitter's antenna was a long wire strung across the top of the fuselage to the tail wings in a triangular V shape, known as a V-type antenna. It was called also a "fixed antenna". It could not be adjusted in flight. (See sketch above.)
 
According to some accounts the Western Electric radio receiver delivered with the plane in 1936 was replaced by Bendix before or after the crash in Honolulu in March 1937.
 
The Bendix radio receiver has been described as an "all-wave" receiver with four separate bands, each with a different range of frequencies. Two bands for low frequencies: 188 - 420 kcs. and 485 - 1200 kcs. Two bands for high frequencies: 1500 - 4000 kcs. and 4000 - 10000 kcs. Each band could be turned to various frequencies in flight. 
 
By some accounts, the receiver had five bands, the first three bands to 4000 and the fourth and fifth bands from 4000 to 10000.
 
By other accounts, there were six bands, covering a range of frequencies from 150 to 15000 kcs. The first three bands were for low frequencies 150 to 315, 315 to 680 and 680 to 1500. The last three bands were for high frequencies 1800 to 3700, 3700 to 7500 and 7500 to 15000.
 
The receiving antenna was a long wire strung under the belly of the fuselage. It was called also the "trailing antenna" (TA)   -   the long wire trailing under the fuselage. (See sketch above.)
 
Transmitting and receiving low-frequency signals   -   longwave   -   require longer antennae. The receiving antenna was reeled out in series, mechanically or by hand, after take-off and reeled in before landing. Apparently, its length could be adjusted in flight to receive a certain high or low frequency.
 
Some believe the TA was destroyed in the crash in Honolulu and not replaced. Others believe a new wire antenna was installed but removed later in Miami or some time before Lae. There were reports that it was shortened in Darwin. Some believe it was on the plane in Lae. Some believe Earhart removed it entirely and used the transmitting wire V antenna atop the fuselage for both transmitting and receiving. Some believe Earhart used the radio direction finding loop antenna 
also as a receiving antenna.
 
Some believe there were two seperate receiving wire antennae on the plane in Lae   -   an adjustable long wire (TA) for low frequencies and an adjustable short wire for high frequencies, both under the fuselage. Some believe the long wire was removed and only a short wire was in place, either adjustable if under the fuselage or fixed if on one side of the fuselage. Some believe there was only a short fixed wire under the plane in Lae.
 
In general, the plane transmitted and received on the low frequency of 500 and the high frequencies of 3105 kcs. and 6210 kcs. The radio could receive on any frequency.
 
In the U. S., 3105 kcs. was the common aeronautical calling and working frequency and 6210 kcs. was an alternate frequency for use only during the day. Earhart preferred the higher frequency by day.
 
All ships at sea kept watch for signals in Morse Code on 500 kcs.   -   the international initial contact and emergency distress frequency. Ships made contact on 500 kcs. and agreed to continue on another low frequency.
 
Long tones or signals in Morse Code on low frequencies, usually around or below 500, were used by ships also for navigation   -   finding the direction to the source of radio signals.
 
Thus, it was particularly important for a plane flying over the ocean, especially the vast Pacific, to transmit and receive on 500 kcs. and other low frequencies. 
 
The ability   -   or inability   -   to transmit and receive on 500 kcs. and other low frequencies  -   would be seen as the crux of the communication matter on the flight across the Pacific.
 
The plane's radio transmitted and received Morse Code signals by telegraph on 500 kcs. It was possible to transmit messages by voice over the radio telephone on 500. Generally, 500 kcs. was for Morse Code. Signals in Morse Code sent by telegraph were much more reliable and travelled much farther than messages by voice over the radio telephone.
 
By some accounts, the long receiving wire antenna (TA) contained a "loading coil" that received 500 kcs.
 
By some accounts, Earhart removed the long receiving wire antenna (TA) and shortened the transmitting V antenna, thus giving up her radio's 500 kcs. and low frequency capability, and discarded the plane's telegraph sets because she did not know Morse Code.
 
Earhart had a radio licence that required proficiency in the use of Morse Code and communication by voice. In telegrams, Earhart instructed radio operators to transmit messages to her in Morse Code at the rate of 15 words per minute. For some reason or other, before the departure from Lae, the US Coast Guard, responsible for the "plane guard" on the flight path, doubted Earhart's ability, questioned her instructions and decided to reduce the rate to ten words per minute. The change may have been prompted by Putnam.
 
Paul Mantz was to train Earhart in the use of her radio. It was said, however, that Earhart cut classes to attend publicity gatherings.
 
Apparently, Earhart had to renew her pilot's licence in the U. S. just before her first attempt on the World Flight and persuaded officials or the examiner to forego the radio and flight tests before certifying her.
 
In any case, ships at sea often replied in Morse Code at the slow rate of two words per minute.
 
Like most pilots, Earhart preferred communication by radio telephone. It was often impractical for a pilot to tap out and write out messages in Morse Code, especially during turbulence.
 
Some believe that without Harry Manning, who was to have been the plane's radio operator, Earhart felt the telegraph sets were useless and dead weight.
 
If so, Earhart was living in the future. Morse Code was widely in use and the most common way to communicate at sea and in the air over the sea. When weather conditions interfered with celestial observation and dead reckoning the radio was essential. In bad weather, Morse Code signals by telegraph were much more reliable than voice by the radio telephone.
 
If Earhart could not transmit messages by telegraph, she could send signals in Morse Code over the radio telephone by playing with the microphone switch. She could hold the switch down to produce a long tone.
 
There were claims also that Noonan did not know Morse Code. This is unlikely. Noonan had many years of experience at sea and in the air. He was a licensed captain of ships. He had a commerical airplane pilot's license. As required of air pilots, Noonan had also a radio licence that required proficiency in the use of Morse Code and communication by voice. Noonan could send and read 16 to 20 words per minute in Morse Code. In 1937, a professional radio operator in the U. S. was required to transmit and receive at least 25 words per minute in plain text.
 
Noonan had his own Morse key set but, as far as is known, a telegraph set was not on the plane in Darwin and Lae. No one recalled seeing a telegraph set on board.
 
The transmitter and receiver could not be operated simultaneously. The radio operator switched the radio from one to the other   -   from the transmitting wire antenna to the receiving wire antenna. Both had separate relays to the radio in the cockpit. The loop antenna, however, was connected directly to the radio receiver, through its own relay and operated by a separate switch.
 
 
Radio navigation device
 
The plane's radio navigation aid   -  a homing device known as a "radio direction finder"  (RDF)   -   was used on land, in the air and at sea.
 
This instrument detected the direction of radio signals to assist a plane in navigating to its destination.
 
Details of this device on Earhart's plane, especially its capabilities, are unclear.
 

Radio compass
 
Initially, Earhart had a Bendix radio compass, designed in 1935 and installed in October 1936.
 
The radio compass system indicated the direction to the source of radio signals.
 
The radio compass had its own receiver. 
 
The radio compass system required two antennae.
 
The radio compass was connected to a short fixed wire antenna, called a "sense"  (sensitive) antenna, on the port side of the fuselage, by which the radio operator listened to the radio signals. This sense antenna was "non-directional"   -   it did not indicate the direction of the signals.
 
The radio compass receiver was connected also to a manual rotatable direction-finding antenna   -   a small loop within a "streamlined" housing   -   above the navigator's station in the cabin. The loop antenna indicated the directions of the signals on a 180-degree baseline but not their source.
 
The radio operator switched from the sense antenna to the loop antenna or listemed to both simultaneously (it is not clear which). The combination of the sense wire antenna and loop antennae (DF) enabled the radio operator to determine the exact direction to the source of the signals. In 1937, the system was not yet  "automatic". (Source: F. Hooven.)

 
Radio Direction Finder (RDF)
 
In early March 1937, before the first World Flight attempt, Earhart and Putnam removed the Bendix radio compass and installed a Bendix Radio Direction Finder (RDF). They removed the loop antenna (DF) and housing above the navigator's station and installed a larger loop without housing above the cockpit.
 
They removed the short sense wire antenna on one side of the fuselage. Some beleive they kept it.
 
The radio operator would connect the radio receiver to the long receiving wire antenna (TA) to listen for radio signals and then switch to the loop antenna (DF) to find their direction.
 
The loop antenna indicated the directions of the signals on a baseline. The baseline was  detected by manually rotating the loop antenna   -   or flying a circle with the plane   -   and listening for the strongest points ("peaks") and weakest points ("nulls") of the signals. This was called "taking a bearing". The weakest point ("null") indicated the directions of the baseline of the signals. If the signals were strongest when the loop or plane was turned to the north and weakest when the loop or plane was turned to the east, the signals were coming from the east or west. This was called "getting a minimum". This type of DF was known also as a "null"-type.
 
Finding the "null" or "minimum" could take a minute or more.
 
The direction to the source of the signals was not known. The signals were coming from one direction or the other   -   opposite directions   -   on a straight 180-degree baseline.
 
In most cases, the radio operator on board knew the source of signals could only be ahead of the plane and not behind it.
 
In some cases, however, a radio operator might not know if the source of radio signals was ahead of the plane or behind it. The radio signals were coming from one side of the plane or the other. The plane might have passed it.
 
Once the radio operator detected the baseline of the radio signals, trigonometry was applied to determine the direction 
to the source. The radio operator took a second bearing from a different point or angle. The point of intersection of the two bearings indicated the position of the source.
 
Removing the radio compass system may have been a mistake. The radio compass indicated the direction to the source of the radio signals. The RDF system indicated only their baseline. Apparently, the Putnams were not impressed. Getting a second bearing and finding the direction to the source of signals by triangulation might take some time but the result should be the same. Earhart claimed the radio compass, which weighed 30 pounds, was too heavy. This may have been a polite excuse, however. Perhaps it did not work as well as expected. Money may have been involved.
 
Airfields had radio beacons and RDFs to guide planes. A plane's RDF could take beatings on a signal broadcast by a beacon to identify its direction. If a plane's radio transmitted a message by voice on the radio telephone or signals in Morse Code by telegraph (usually the latter) long enough, the operator of the RDF at an airfield could take a bearing on the plane, identify the direction to it, call it by radio and give it instructions to the airfield.
 
RDFs were not always accurate. RDFs were known to err, especially at longer distances. RDFs had to be cross-checked by celestial observations and dead reckoning. That was one reason Earhart and Putnam hired Noonan for the first attempt of the World Flight.
 
By some accounts, the loop antenna could be used also as an auxiliary receiving antenna. Its range of frequencies  as a receiving antenna is unclear. Some believe the loop antenna could receive the same range of frequencies as the radio receiver. For direction-finding purposes, however, a loop antenna operated only on low frequencies on or below 1500 kcs. and worked best within close range of a radio station's transmitter, within perhaps 50 to 100 miles. This was so with the radio compass also. Whatever signals they received, neither could operate on high frequencies or from a great distance. As far as is known, a small loop antenna capable of taking a bearing on a signal above 1800 kcs. has never been developed.  
 
For the second attempt of the World Flight, Earhart planned to broadcast on 3105 by night and 6210 by day and use her receiver mostly for direction finding. She would broadcast reports and take bearings. She requested that all communication be in voice over the radio telephone ("In English") and not in Morse Code by telegraph ("Not Code").
 
In telegrams, Putnam specified that Earhart's RDF operated within a range of low frequencies from 200 to 1400 kcs. Earhart said 200 to 1500 kcs. Either would be correct. Generally, it is believed its range was 200 to 1430, as for the flight to Honolulu in March.
 
As noted above, ships at sea, keeping watch for contact requests and emergency distress calls in Morse signals on 500 kcs., used low frequencies also for homing in navigation.
 
Most ships had an RDF operating within a range of low frequencies not higher than 550 kcs.
 
When approaching, Earhart could contact the ship on 500 kcs. and both could take bearings on another low frequency, usually around 500 kcs.
 
Whether or not Earhart knew Morse Code, she could take a bearing on signals sent in Morse or a long tone. She could leave the microphone switch down, producing a long continuous tone, for a ship to take a bearing on her.
 
Some believe there was a short fixed wire antenna on one side of the plane solely for 500 kcs.
 
For reasons that are not clear, it was claimed that Earhart's ability to transmit and receive on 500 kcs. during the second attempt was reduced and very limited or non-existent.
 
In mid-June, as Earhart and Noonan flew over India and Burma, Putnam warned that Earhart's 500 kcs. was of "dubious usability".
 
If Earhart could not transmit or receive on 500 kcs., she was unlikely to transmit or receive on other low frequencies. She would not hear the low-frequency signals in the receiver from a receiving wire. She would  not hear signals on low frequences from the loop antenna and thus she would be unable to take bearings on low-frequency signals from ships. She would be unable to transmit signals on low frequencies for ships to take bearings on her. 
 
The response from the Putnams' go-between aboard the Itasca, Richard Black: "Try 500 kcs. close in." That was the general practice.  
 
Whatever Earhart may have said on the phone to her husband, she never indicated in her telegrams that her radio receiver and transmitter on 500 or other low frequencies were faulty or not performing. 
 
If Earhart was without 500 kcs, the radio transmitter and receiver or antennae were changed or adjusted before departing Burbank or Miami or developed malfunctions en route.
 
If the radio was not changed and it functioned properly but Earhart could not transmit or receive on 500 kcs., the long receiving wire antenna was shortened or removed and the transmitting V antenna was shortened.
 
If so, Earhart would still receive low-frequency signals by the loop antenna, whcih was connected by a seperate relay directly to the radio receiver, and she could take bearings on the signals. If the radio receiver could not receive 500 kcs. or other low frequencies, Earhart could not receive and take bearings on low-frequency signals.
 
If Earhart could not transmit on 500 kcs. or other low frequencies she might not be able to contact ships at sea.
   
On the flight from California to Honolulu in March, Manning took a bearing on signals from a beacon on 290 kcs. as the plane approached Oahu. The next and second leg of the flight did not get off the ground. If the flight to Howland had proceeded as planned, Manning would take bearings on signals on 375 kcs. from Coast Guard cutters stationed on plane guard at Howland and along the way.
 
Whatever changes were made to the radio system, by the end of June, Earhart claimed she had a high-frequency RDF. In telegrams, she claimed its range of frequencies was 200 to 1500 and 2400 to 4800 kcs.
 
Whether or not Earhart had in fact a high-frequency RDF with a range of 2400 to 4800  is not at all certain. Few believe it. Her claim was probably false.
 
But if her RDF was high-frequency, Earhart could take bearings on radio broadcasts on 3105 kcs.
 
That may have been to say, however, that Earhart would not have to take bearings on low frequencies. 
 
The loop antenna might receive high-frequency signals but for direction-finding it was limited to low frequencies up to 1500 and worked only within close range of a radio station transmitter. In close, however, it might work with strong signals in Morse on 3105. This was perhaps what Earhart had in mind. (Source: F. Hooven.)
 
After the crash in Honolulu, the plane was repaired in Burbank. Some had the impression its radio's capability was reduced; this was to be corrected in Miami but further reduced instead. 
 
Some believe the Putnams were told the loop antenna might serve as an auxiliary receiving antenna and assumed it would also take bearings on high-frequency signals. This seems unlikely.
 
Some wondered if the Putnams were misled by radio technicians who claimed they could reconfigure the RDF system to take bearings on frequencies above 1500 kcs. This too seems unlikely.
 
Some believe the Putnams were paid by Bendix to replace one RDF system with a less reliable or non-functioning one in Miami.  
 
The Bendix radio compass, installed earlier, was developed with the US Army. The Bendix RDF was developed with the US Navy. The navy may have persuaded the Putnams to replace the radio compass with the RDF.
 
Some wondered if the navy was involved in installing an "experimental" "high-frequency" RDF on the plane. That is possible. There were such RDFs but their reliability was uncertain.
 
Bearings on high-frequency signals were considered unreliable, especially beyond their optical range, particularly in the early morning.
 
By the time the plane reached Lae, Earhart should have known just what her loop antenna could do and could not do. 
Apparently, she was never able to test it (properly) during the second attempt. She never got a bearing.
 
A loop antenna was used to receive only. It was not used to transmit.
 
Indeed, the specifications of Earhart's radio system in Lae are not at all clear.
 
 
The radio and antennae should have been thus, as on the flight to Honolulu and as it prepared to fly to Howland in March 1937:
 
Transmitter (LF and HF) (tunable) (telegraph and telephone);
 
Receiver (LF and HF) (tunable) (telegraph and telephone; direction finder);
 
Antennae:
 
1. V (Transmitting) atop plane (LF and HF) (fixed);
2. TA (Receiving) under plane - long (LF and HF) (adjustable);
3. Loop (DF) LF 200 - 1430.
 
For the flight in March from Honolulu to Howland and Lae, which ended in a crash on take-off, Manning was to transmit and receive messages by voice and telegraph on 3105 by night and 6210 by day. Over long distances, Mose Code only. In close, 500   -   in Morse Code only. Manning would take bearings on signals transmitted by Coast Guard ships on 375 kcs. (Source: E. Long.)
 
 
All things considered, before leaving Lae the plane's radio system was probably thus:
 
Transmitter (HF or LF and HF) (tunable) (telephone only);
 
Receiver (HF or LF and HF) (tunable) (telegraph and telephone; direction finder);
 
Antennae:
 
1. V (Transmitting) atop plane (HF or LF and HF) (also receiving?) (fixed); 
2. (?) TA (Receiving) under plane - long (LF or LF and HF) (adjustable) or short (HF) (fixed? or adjustable);
3. Loop (DF?) LF 200 - 1430 (or 1500?) and HF? 2400 - 4800 ("any frequencies not near ends suitable) (also for receiving? distance?);
4. (?) short wire on side (500 kcs, sense [DF] or HF) (fixed).
 
 
Earhart may have left Lae with only:
 
Transmitter (HF) (tunable) (telephone only);
 
Receiver (HF) (tunable) (telephone and telegraph, direction finder);
 
Antennae:
 
1. V (Transmitting/Receiving) atop plane (HF) (fixed);
2. Loop (Receiving [HF]) (range?).
 
 
The radio logs indicate the plane may have been unable to transmit and receive low frequency signals. The relay from the receiving wire antenna to the receiver may have been faulty and it is possible that only the loop antenna could receive (Source: A. Gray). The RDF did not work.
 
Some believe the radio system was adequate and functioning but Earhart did not know how to use it. The additional job of radio operator may have been too much for her. Some believe the radio system was faulty and inadequate and Earhart did not care   -   and her description of it fiction. 
 
Earhart had problems with her radio and RDF throughout the World Flight. This was to be expected of any radio on a plane at the time. Radios required frequent adjustments, repairs and changes.
 
On the flight across the Atlantic, from Brazil to Senegal, all radio systems failed.
 
On the flight from the island of Timor in the Dutch East Indies to Darwin, the radio did not work. Apparently, a fuse blew. It was replaced and the radio was checked by an army radio techincian in Darwin.
 
On the flight from Darwin to Lae, Earhart was in radio contact with Darwin but could not contact Lae. Thus, she could not test her RDF as she approached Lae.
 
This was Earhart's fault. Before departing Darwin, Earhart sent wrong instructions for the use of radio frequencies to Lae. She wanted to send and receive on 6210. Apparently, in converting the frequency in kilocycles to wavelength in metres she miscalculated and specified an incorrect wavelength. Thus, Lae did not hear her broadcasts on 6210. 
She did not hear Lae.
 
Several days earlier, on Java in the Dutch East Indies, Earhart sent odd instructions to two ships stationed in the Pacific to assist her in taking bearings. Initially, it was suggested, in Navy telegrams, that the ships could stand by on 333, 400, 545 or other close frequencies. The Itasca and the Ontario could stand by on 400 kcs. Earhart could contact the ships on those frequencies. She might also take bearings on those or other low frequencies. Converting wavelengths into frequencies Earhart gave kilocycles and metres the same number value. Thus, in her instructions to the Itasca, she changed 400 kcs.   -   750 metres   -   to 750 kcs., and then, for some reason or other, adding nought, to 7500. In her instructions to the USS Swan, a naval vessel between Howland and Honolulu, 333 kcs.   -   wavelength 900 metres   -   became 900 kcs. and then, again, adding nought, 9000 kcs. (Source: A. Gray.)
 
The Itasca and the Swan could receive and transmit on the high frequencies requested by Earhart. The frequencies were within the range of their radio capabilities. However, radio signals transmitted on high frequencies were less reliable than signals on low frequencies. Contacting a ship on a low frequency would be better. Taking bearings on such high frequencies was out of the question. (Source: A. Gray.)
 
Earhart was ill at the time. Were her specifications miscalculations? Did she know what she was doing?
 
The USS Ontario, was to stand by on 400 kcs. The ship had high-frequency, but it was limited to reception on 3000 kcs. and could not transmit on high-frequencies. Thus, Earhart agreed to 400 kcs. She did not ask the Ontario to send messages on 7500 kcs.

Did Earhart intend to take bearings on high-frequency signals? A loop antenna might receive high frequency signals but it could not take bearings on frequencies higher than 1500 kcs. unless close to the transmitter and the signals strong. Perhaps on 3105 but certainly not 7500 or 9000.
 
Earhart's odd request for contact on 7500 and 9000 was questioned. The commander of the Itasca expressed concern for the flight's safety.

From Lae, Earhart asked the Itasca also to send the latest weather reports from Howland to Lae (Guinea Airways radio station) by shortwave on the 25-metre band (11600 to 12100 kilocycles), or the 46-metre band (around 6500 kilocycles). The Itasca could not transmit directly over such a long distance, something Earhart apparently did not understand.   
 
Earhart may have come to her senses towards the end of her stay in Lae. In her final instructions to the Itasca, sent twice, Earhart did not mention 7500. Plane and ship would transmit and receive on 3105 and 6210. Earhart asked the ship to send a long continuous signal on 3105 as she approached the island. Apparently, she intended to take a bearing on the signal.
 
By then, however, the commander of the Itasca may have had enough. He replied but did not acknowledge Earhart's request for a long continuous tone on 3105. The Itasca transmitted on 7500, as requested previously, but never a long tone on 3105.
 
Telegrams make clear that any "radio misunderstanding" from Lae to Howland was Earhart's. She should have realised this before setting out. She did not care about the technical matters of radio. Or she was ill. She failed to check with Noonan before sending her telegrams.
 
It appears that the radio operators for Guinea Airways, the Ontario and the Itasca acted according to plan. The extent to which the three stations may have been responsible for radio communication failures is not certain. The Itasca is often criticised and there are questions about Lae and the Ontario.
 
It is clear, however, that Richard Black, the Putnams' personal go-between for the next two legs of the flight across the Pacific, did not make proper and adequate preparations for the use of radio. (See below.)
 
Earhart failed in her first attempt to reach Howland. Now, Earhart was to try for Howland once more, this time from Lae. The plane on take-off would be overloaded with fuel, more than it had been in Honolulu. The route was longer.
 
This time, Earhart was without a radio operator and the radios on board were not very reliable.
 
As the celestial navigator on Pan Am's Pacific Clipper flights, Noonan worked closely with the radio navigator on board. He understood radio navigation thoroughly. Initially, two-way radio and the RDF controls were installed in the back of the plane for Manning. He worked closely with Noonan on the flight from California to Hawaii. When Manning left the flight, his job went to Noonan. However, Earhart and Putnam had the radio operator's radio and the RDF controls removed from the back and RDF controls reinstalled in the cockpit. Earhart would control all radio operations herself. No radio equipment was left for Noonan. This was a mistake. Noonan had far more experience with the radio operations of long-distance flights across the Pacific.
 
Earhart was repeatedly advised of the need for an expert radio operator on board over the Pacific to handle all radio matters, especially pre-flight preparations and communication in Morse Code during the flight.
 
Indeed, Earhart caused the radio communication failure on the flight from Darwin to Lae before she took off.
 
Did Earhart and Putnam hope to recruit a radio operator and install better radio equipment before the plane took off from Lae?
 
No radio operator would join a flight that was without 500 kcs., low frequency, a telegraph set and a reliable RDF.
 
No radio operator would go if arrangements with radio operators along the flight path were incomplete or impractical.
 
Correcting the situation would require more money, add weight and prolong the delay.
 
It appears that Earhart was not counting much on radio communication, if at all. She had made it this far. She believed Noonan would get her the rest of the way by celestial observations and dead reckoning.
 
Callopy: "Mr. Noonan told me that he was not a bit anxious about the flight to Howland Island and was quite confident that he would have little difficulty in locating it."
 
 
Earhart's health
 
Earhart was ill with dysentery five days earlier on Java.
 
Earhart was aware that the "radio misunderstanding" was hers but her telegram implied that others were responsible. Earhart may have been ill but "personnel unfitness" implied that another was not well.
 
Perhaps Earhart meant "personal unfitness". One would assume that if Earhart were ill   -   or not feeling well   -   she would say so. Perhaps Earhart or the telegraph operator misspelled the word. Otherwise, Earhart's telegram could be considered a display of poor manners.
 
Was Earhart having second thoughts about the flight to Howland? Was she in over her head?
 
Perhaps Earhart never intended to go through with the flight. Was it her plan all along to terminate the flight in Lae? Was her ground-loop in Honolulu deliberate?
 
Earhart could quit now. Her sponsors would be disappointed. But she had flown three-quarters of the way around the world and they had gotten something out of it. Indeed, this may have been the reason for the flight's change of directions for the second attempt, from west to east, and putting off Howland to the end.
 
So late in the flight, Earhart could not publicly admit that her "Flying Laboratory" had been ill-prepared from the start. Now, facing the greatest challenge of the flight, she could not publicly acknowledge that the odds against success were overwhelming.
 
The Putnams could not fault their sponsors. They could not blame the plane's manufacturer or the designers and installers of the radios, or civilian and military radio operators along the flight path, or the mechanics who serviced the plane and technicians who serviced the radios.
 
Had Earhart planned a last-minute excuse to abandon the flight?
 
Would Earhart claim illness?
 
Would she try to blame Noonan? 
 
It would be difficult to fault a man of Noonan's high professional reputation.
 
Could she pretend that Noonan was "unfit"?
 
Noonan was in good health.
 
It appears that someone at Pan Am plotted to do a dirty job on Noonan in 1936. As chief navigator on all of the airline's Pacific Survey flights across the Pacific in 1935 and first commercial Clipper flights across the Pacific in 1936, Noonan gained considerable fame. But he was among employees, led by pilot Edwin Musick, who requested better working conditions and pay for overworked Clipper flight crews. Someone at Pan Am may have resented that.
 
As Earhart's navigator, Noonan became world famous. It appears that some close friends and admirers of Earhart, out of envy or to cover for her, sought to smear him. 
 
Decades later, a Hollywooder, Gore Vidal, who was the son of Eugene Vidal, an intimate friend of Earhart, indicated that this was the Putnams' plan: Fault Noonan, call off the flight in Lae, and blame him for Earhart's failure to cross the Pacific. Vidal (or his father or a friend of his father) invented a malicious tale that Earhart telephoned Putnam (in New York City) from India (Calcutta) and later from Lae to complain about "personnel problems" or "personnel trouble"   -   and on the phone to Lae, Putnam tried to persuade Earhart to end the venture and return home (by ship).
 
According to Putnam, in his book later in the year about the flight, he did not speak to his wife by telephone while she was in Lae. They corresponded by telegraph. Gore Vidal talked about everything under the sun but seldom made sense. Vidal claimed the Putnams' telegrams were written in code and Earhart condemned Noonan. 
 
Eugene Vidal was a business partner of Earhart. He was often said to have been her long-time lover. He owed his appointment as one of the government's top aviation officials by President Roosevelt in 1933 to Earhart and owed his reinstatement by the president in 1935 to her. She could withdraw her political support if Vidal were not reinstated. Vidal was much involved in the plan to stake out Howland Island for the U. S. and prepare an airfield on the island. He pulled strings for Earhart until his resignation in early 1936.
 
If anything, the telegram reveals a duplicitous Earhart who could not be trusted. The stories about it raise questions about Pan Am, the Putnams and the Vidals.
 
Did Noonan get firm with Earhart after their arrival in Lae? Her last mistake may have been one too many. Did he see her telegram(s)? Some might consider her telegrams mischief. 
Some might see her as a troublemaker. Was Earhart trying to provoke Noonan, to make him quit and provide her an excuse to abandon the flight?  
 
There are no credible accounts of disputes between Earhart and Noonan. On the contrary, pilot and navigator seem to have gotten along decently well.
 
Earhart was a flyer hell bent for leather. She threw caution to the winds. She valued publicity above all else. That is how some of her contemporaries and later biographers described her. She did not have a head for technical matters.
 
Noonan was thorough in his planning and in his work. Many maintain that his contributions to aviation were more significant than Earhart's.
 
Earhart and Noonan made long and careful preparations for the flight. Should they have gone ahead with the flight? Few, if any, would have.
 
Some may wonder if Earhart planned suicide (she said it would be her last venture in aviation) or Putnam plotted his wife's death (he sent her off without proper radio equipment).
 
Noonan would see the Queen of the Skies through.
 
It is to be regretted that crooks and crackpots drew a false picture of Noonan with misleading accounts and tall tales and played them up with cheap films.
 
 
Earhart and Noonan watched maintenance work on the plane throughout the day, 30 June.
 
Earhart postponed the departure and re-set the take-off for Howland to mid-morning the next day, 1 July.
 
To set his chronometers, Noonan had to wait at the Guinea Airways radio station to receive a time signal from Australia. He did not receive it. A chronometer one second off can cause a navigation error of ten miles. (There were two or three chronometers on board earlier, in Hawaii, but reports indicate the plane had only one in Lae.)
 
As mentioned previously, in March, when Earhart, Manning and Noonan were to fly from Honolulu to Howland, Manning would transmit messages in Morse Code on 500 kcs. when within close range of ships on plane guard. Manning would take bearings on signals from ships on 375 kcs.  
 
Putnam said that Earhart's transmitter/receiver on 500 kcs. was of "dubious usability". Thus, she might not be able to contact ships on the flight path or take bearings.  
 
On 30 June, the radio operator for Guinea Airways, Harry Balfour, tested Earhart's radio receiver on 500 kcs.
 
Chater: "At noon on June 30th Miss Earhart, in conjunction with our Operator, tested out the long wave receiver on the Lockheed machine while work was being carried out in the hangar. This was tested at noon on a land station working on 600 metres."
 
Note: Long Wave 600 metres = Low Frequency 500 kcs.
 
Apparently, Earhart's radio receiver received signals on 500 kcs.
 
By which antenna? More than likely, a receiving wire. Loop? Both? Chater did not say.  
 
Chater: "During this period the Lockheed receiver was calibrated for reception of Lae radio telephone, and this was, on the next day, tested in flight."
 
"Lae radio telephone" = Shortwave/High Frequency 6522 kcs.
 
For legal reasons, Lae could not transmit on 6210. Its use was restricted to the U. S. Thus, Earhart's receiver was "calibrated" to 6522.
 
The next morning, Earhart and Noonan took the plane on a test flight.
 
Chater: "At 6.35 a.m., July 1st, Miss Earhart carried out a 30 minute air test of the machine when two way telephone communication was established between the ground station at Lae and the plane."
 
During the test flight, Balfour heard Earhart on 6210 and Earhart heard Balfour on 6522 kcs.
 
Balfour pointed out that Earhart's transmitter on 6210 was "very rough" but otherwise "working satisfactorily".
 
Chater: "Our Wireless Operator reports -  'The condition of radio equioment of Earhart's plane ia as follows   -   Transmitter carrier wave on 6210 kc was very rough and I advised Miss Earhart to pitch her voice higher to overcome distortion caused by rough carrier wave. Otherwise, transmitter seemed to be working satisfactorily.'"
 
The test may have omitted 3105, which was Earhart's night frequency. Earhart planned to take off from Lae in the day-time. Her day frequency was 6210.
 
Chater's letter repeated an odd mistake. Chater did not 
mention the frequency 3105. Elsewhere in his letter, Chater twice mentioned the frequency "3104" when referring to 3105. 
 
What about Earhart's RDF? There were questions about it. Did it actually work? Was the loop antenna just for show? It appears that it involved complicated mechanical procedures. Perhaps too many for a seat-of-the-pants pilot who could not be troubled with such things.
 
Chater: "The Operator was requested to send a long dash while Miss Earhart endeavoured to get a minimum on her direction finder. On landing Miss Earhart informed us that she had been unable to obtain a minimum and that she considered this was because the Lae station was too powerful and too close."
 
One could assume the test was on 500 kcs. or another low frequency.

Chater, who flew Lockheed Electras before managing Guinea Airways, did not give more specific details.

Callopy, Chater, Balfour and Earhart should have been concerned about a test of the RDF on 500   -   or another low frequency from 200 to 1400 kcs.   -   in flight. The fate of the crew might depend on it.

Generally, the closer a loop antenna was to the source of signals the more reliable it was. But if too close, or if the signals too strong, the loop might not indicate their weakest point   -   "get a minimum".

Earhart dismissed the problem. She did not check again. This may have been a serious mistake.

Was the bearing, by any chance, taken on a high-frequency signal?

Earhart claimed she had an RDF with two bands   -   the second band for high frequencies with a range of 2400 to 4800 kcs. Thus, it would be advisable to test the loop antenna on 3105, a frequency Earhart and the Itasca were to transmit and receive at night.

If Earhart failed to take a bearing on 3105 (or "3104") with a high-frequency RDF there was cause for concern.

Given Earhart's odd radio requests from Java earlier, one could wonder if the test was on 6210. (Lae could not transmit on 6210.) A test of the loop antenna on 6522 (or 6210) would be useless. Earhart would hear the signal but, with an RDF limited to 4800, the loop antenna would not take a bearing on it.

Chater did not mention a test of  Earhart's transmitter on 500. Balfour did not test for a bearing on Earhart.

Chater mentioned only an unsuccessful test in flight of the loop antenna on an unstated frequency.

Earhart postponed the departure to 2 July.


Earhart and Noonan watched refueling of the plane. 

Callopy: "According to Captain Noonan the total fuel capacity of the aircraft was 1150 U.S. Gallons and oil 64 U.S. Gallons."

Chater: "After the oil tanks were drained on June 30th the Vacuum Oil Co. report that they filled into the tanks 60 gallons of Stanavo 120 0il, and this was carried during the test flight before mentioned." 

Chater: "July 1st — after the machine was tested the Vacuum Oil Co.’s representatives filled all tanks in the machine with 87 octane fuel with the exception of one 81 gallon tank which already contained 100 octane for taking off purposes. This tank was approximately half full and it can be safely estimated that on leaving Lae the tank contained at least 40 gallons of 100 octane fuel – (100 octane fuel is not obtainable in Lae)."

Callopy: "One tank contained only 50 gallons of its total capacity of 100 gallons. This tank contained 100 octane fuel and they considered the 50 gallons of this fuel sufficient for the take-off from Lae."

The other tanks were filled, added to the fuel left in the tanks after the flight from Darwin and the test flight. 

Chater: "A total of 654 imperial gallons was filled into the tanks of the Lockheed after the test flight was completed. This would indicate that 1,100 US gallons was carried by the machine when it took off for Howland Island."

Callopy: "They left Lae with a total of 1100 U.S. Gallons of fuel and 64 U.S. Gallons of oil."

Thus, the plane had about 1,100 US gallons before take-off and about 1,050 gallons after take-off.

The required fuel reserve was probably 20%, or 210 gallons of the total, or 25% for 262.5 gallons, after take-off.

There are numerous reports on the plane's flight limit (endurance) with 1,050 gallons of fuel. Some claim the plane could fly at least 30 hours or more with no headwinds ("in still air") at a cruising speed of 130 knots.

An average fuel consumption rate of about 50 gallons per hour in often mentioned in accounts. Thus, Earhart would have fuel for 21 hours. A 17-hour flight would consume 850 gallons, leaving 200 gallons for four additional hours of flight. An 18-hour flight would consume 900 gallons of fuel, leaving 150 gallons for three more hours of flight. A 19-hour flight would consume 950 gallons, leaving 100 gallons for two more hours of flight. 

However, fuel consumption varied from 38 to 60 gph depending on the rate of climb, engine RPM, the weight of the plane, temperature, altitude and hours aloft. After six to eight hours of flight and with a lighter plane, consumption could be reduced to 38 or 43 gph if the plane maintained an altitude of 10,000 feet   -   or 8,000 feet in the tropics. Thus, more flying time.          

But Earhart and Noonan would not have the best of weather.

Earhart had the latest weather forecasts, from the US Navy's air base in Pearl Harbor in Honolulu, issued on the previous day, Wednesday, 30 June, for Thursday, 1 July. Guinea Airways received the forecasts that day, on 1 July. 

About half-way along Earhart's flight path to Howland, the USS Ontario was stationed to signal the flyers.

The forecast from Lae to the Ontario was for partly cloudy skies with rain squalls 250 miles east of Lae with 12 to 15-knot winds from the east-south-east.

The forecast for the flight path from the Ontario to the Gilbert Islands was for partly cloudy skies with cumulus clouds at 10,000 feet and 18-knot winds from the east-north-east.

For the rest of the flight path, from the Gilberts to Howland, the forecast was for partly cloudy skies with scattered heavy showers and 15-knot winds from the east-north-east. 

The forecast warned avoiding "towering cumulus clouds and squalls by detours as centres frequently dangerous".

By some accounts, initially, Earhart and Noonan expected the flight to Howland to take 17 hours. By the latest weather forecast, they probably planned to make a detour from a direct flight path to avoid the rain squalls over the island of New Britain and the Solomon Sea. The detour would add distance to the flight. Taking also the forecast headwinds and quartering winds into account the flight could take 18 hours. Some reports mention 19 hours.

The plane would need enough fuel to return to Lae if at any point Noonan was unsure of reaching Howland. Half-way through its fuel supply, probably after nine to ten hours of flight, the plane could turn back to Lae. Less than half-full, or more than half-way to Howland, Noonan might have to count on tailwinds to get the plane safely to Lae.

Earhart and Noonan wanted to reach Howland at sunrise. They would have to take off from Lae by 10:00 a. m. the next day. Flying by night, if the skies were clear, they would have the moon and stars to guide them. Noonan plotted his chart before the flight and he would look for certain stars, planets and constellations at certain points and times to estimate his position. If the weather was good, they should have clear radio communication.

Noonan was accustomed to long flights across the Pacific. Earhart had flown non-stop flights of 18 1/3 and 20 2/3 hours over the sea. Pilot and navigator would keep constant watch on fuel, engines, speed, winds, and heading. There would not be an idle moment.

Earhart's last dispatch, sent by telegram from Lae late on 1 July:

"We commandeered a truck from the manager of the hotel and, with Fred Noonan at the wheel, because the native driver was ill with fever, we set out along the dirt road. We forded a sparkling little river, which after a heavy rain so common in the tropics, can be turned into a veritable torrent and drove through a lane of grass taller than the truck. We turned into a beautiful cocoanut grove before a village entrance . . ."

Noonan did not receive a time signal from Australia until 10:20 (or 10:30) p. m. on 1 July. He found the chronometer to be three seconds slow.

Earhart and Noonan were at the airstrip at 5:30 a. m. on 2 July.

Noonan received a time signal from Saigon at 8:00 a. m. to check again his chronometer, which was running well and on time.

Whatever arrangements Earhart made with radio operators in the Pacifc, she left them all with Harry Balfour. Before departing Lae, Earhart gave Balfour her radio facility book. The book contained many papers and all of her telegrams with instructions for radio communication with radio operators along the flight path across the Pacific.

Earhart also gave her pistol or revolver and ammunition to Balfour. Some thought the gun was her Very pistol (flare gun). But this is not so.

According to Chater, Earhart took the radio station's weather reports of 1 July and also its only copies.

 
 
Image result for earhart and noonan at Lae
Earhart and Noonan with a chart showing their planned route across the Pacific. Photo taken in the US in May 1937.
 
 
Before setting out, Earhart requested that all radio communication follow Greenwich Civil Time (GCT). Not local zone times. GCT was the same as Greenwich Mean Time (GMT). Midnight at the Royal Observatory in Greenwich, London, England = 00:00 GCT and GMT.
 
Earhart and Noonan took off from the turf airstrip in Lae at 10:00 a. m. local time on Friday, 2 July, on the 30th leg of their flight. There were reports that the plane took off after 10:00   -   as late as 10:20 a. m. 
 
Lae was ten hours ahead of GMT. Thus, the take-off was at 00:00 GMT on Friday, 2 July 1937 (10:00 a. m. in Lae).
 
Note that in this case GMT = Elapsed Time (ET), the duration of the flight. (For example: 05:00 GMT = 05:00 ET, 10:30 GMT = 10:30 ET.)
 
There are different accounts of the take-off.
 
Eric Chater: "At 10:00 a.m. the machine was taken off, the actual take-off being satisfactory for a heavily loaded machine   -   the run taken was approximately 850 yards. the overloaded plane used about 850 yards of the 1,000-yard runway on the take-off." 
 
Callopy: "The take-off was hair-raising as after taking every yard of the 1000 yard runway from the north west end of the aerodrome towards the sea, the aircraft had not left the ground 50 yards from the end of the runway. When it did leave it sank away but was by this time over the sea. It continued to sink to about five or six feet above the water and had not climbed to more than 100 feet before it disappeared from sight."
 

 
Image result for the itasca on howland - burning smoke
Amelia Earhart and Fred Noonan take off from Lae.
 
 
Film of Amelia Earhart’s Take-Off
 
It is not certain that this is a film of the take-off on 2 July. It is not the take-off described by Callopy. The plane lifts off well before the end of the runway, as described by Chater. The film of the take-off, linked to below, is not complete and cuts off just after the plane lifts off the ground. In longer versions, the plane climbs well off the ground.
 
The film could be of the take-off for the test flight on the previous day, 1 July.
 

 
 
Radio receiving antenna
 
In Lae, Earhart's radio transmitter and receiver worked. There was two-way air-to-ground communication. The transmitter worked   -   on 6210. The receiver worked   -   on 500 and 6522. Balfour logged three messages from Earhart on 6210 during the first seven hours of the flight. Messages on 3105 in the last five hours of the flight were logged by the Itasca. Earhart's voice was loud and clear in the last two hours, when she may have been within 100 to 200 miles of Howland.
 
There was no certainty, however, that Earhart's RDF would work. Her transmitter and receiver on 500 kcs. and other low frequencies might be of "dubious usability".   
 
Earhart did not acknowledge a message until the last 43 minutes of the flight to Howland. She liked to broadcast. She was less interested in two-way communication. This upset the Itasca radio operators.
 
According to the Itasca radio logs, in the last hour   -   when Earhart thought she was close to the island   -   she reported (on 3105) that she could not hear the Itasca. She had "been unable to reach you by radio." Some suspected her receiver malfunctioned early during the flight and she could not hear messages from Lae on 6522 and from the Itasca on 3105 and 7500.
 
Some believe Earhart's plane lost the receiving wire antenna or its mast under the fuselage on the take-off. Thus, Earhart would be unable to receive on 500, 3105, 6210, 6255 and 7500.
 
This film of Earhart's take-off (port side) from Lae shows a sudden puff of dust shooting up from the ground under and behind the plane just before it climbs into the air. Some believe the radio receiving wire antenna mast or antenna snapped off and caused the puff of dust when it hit the ground.
                             
                             ?
Related image
The above sketch shows the receiving wire antenna, at half-length, and a mast under the belly of the plane, which some believe were lost on the take-off. The sketch does not include a mast that was under the aft-section of the plane.

In the 1937 photo of the Electra at the top of this entry, note the mast under the fuselage. The wheel blocks are in place. The plane is running its engines. The wire antenna has not been deployed. In the photo of the plane on Wheeler Field the wire antenna is not deployed. It was reeled in before landing.


Film with commentary
 
 
 
Again, the film might be of the test flight on the previous day.
 
The puff of dust appears to have been caused by the plane running over a bump towards the end of the runway.
 
As noted above, the receiving wire trailing under the fuselage (TA) was not deployed before flight. It was reeled out after take-off and reeled in before landing. It was a difficult task and some believe Earhart got rid of it because it was too much work. 
 
There is nothing in the film to indicate that the mast snapped off   -   or how that could have happened. The plane's belly did not scrape the ground. The plane shook a lot on the take-off roll but that would not loosen the mast.
 
Without the mast it would be impossible to reel out the receiving wire antenna. Earhart would have known about it and, it must be assumed, reported it.
 
As mentioned previously, some believe Earhart removed the plane's receiving wire antenna and used the V antenna atop the fuselage for both transmitting and receiving. Some believe she used only the loop antenna as her receiving antenna.
 
Some believe Earhart removed the receiving wire antenna under the plane and there was a short fixed wire on one side of the plane for 500 kcs, or high frequencies, or to assist in taking bearings. 
 
Was there a short fixed wire antenna under the fuselage in Lae?
 
In any case, if a wire antenna or mast were lost on the airstrip, Balfour, Chater and Callopy would have known about it and reported it.
 
According to the radio logs, Earhart gave only two indications that she ever heard the Itasca   -   or anyone   -   during the flight.
 
Sixteen minutes after reporting her inability to contact the Itasca, Earhart, on 3105, requested a long signal on 7500. Why request a signal of 7500? Why not 500 or 3105? In two messages, logged two minutes later, on 3105, Earhart reported hearing signals from the ship. According to the radio logs, the signals were on 7500. "We received your signals but unable to get a minimum". Her receiver worked. There was no malfunction then. If she tried to take a bearing, she heard the signals by the loop antenna. Did she hear the signals by a receiving wire antenna before switiching to the loop antenna? Could she receive singnals only by the loop antenna? Could she receive only on 7500   -   and not on 500 and 3105? If so, there was a problem with the radio receiver. If she could not receive 500 or 3105 from her loop antenna there was a problem with the radio receiver. That is what the radio logs imply.  
 
 
Earhart and Noonan were bound for their final destination, California. They were to make refueling stops on Howland Island and Honolulu on the way.
 
The flight from Lae to Howland would be the longest leg of their journey   -   2,221 nautical miles (2,556 statute miles) (4,113 km.).
 
Earhart and Noonan were the first to attempt to fly across the western Pacific to Howland Island.


Map of a Direct Flight Path from Lae to Howland.   


For maps of Lae to Howland, click here

lastflight2.jpg

The above map shows a flight path from Lae direct to Howland Island   -   2,221 nautical miles (2,556 statute miles) (4,113 km.)   -   on a heading of 78° (degrees) (true north).

A compass indicates the direction to the magnetic north pole, which changes position, rather than the geographic north pole, and is influenced by local variations in the earth's magnetic field. Two variations along the flight path would require the pilot to steer the plane on two different magnetic bearings to maintain true heading and stay on course.

Noonan's chart is not available. Before departure, he may have plotted diversions from a direct path to avoid the forecast bad weather to the east and perhaps also to take a bearing from the island of Nauru. 

The actual flight path may have been due east over the northern Solomon Islands; then northeast to Nukumanu or Luangiua Atoll (Lord Howe Atoll) (Ontong Java Atoll); then northeast to within 35 to 50 nautical miles south of Nauru; and then east to Howland.
 
 
 
Memorandum
 
Frederick J. Noonan
 
April 29, 1935
 
Navigation on Pan Am Clipper Flights from Alameda, California to Honolulu, Hawaii on April 16 - 17 and return on April 22 - 23, 1935. 
 
(Alameda is on Oakland's southern border.)
 
3 pages
 

 
 
Finding Tiny Islands from Speeding Planes
 
by Frederick Noonan
 
The Sun, Baltimore, Maryland, March 22, 1936
 
Copy, paste and click to see:
 
 
 

 
 
Image result for Harry Balfour and Eric Chapter of New Guinea Airways
Harry Balfour, radio operator
for Guinea Airways in Lae in 1937
 

 
Lae to Howland  - 2,221 nautical miles (nmi.) (nm.) (nm)
Lae to Nukumanu - 754 nm
 

 

It is assumed the radio operator for Guinea Airways, Harry Balfour, maintained a radio log. One has never been made public. Chater and Callopy prepared their reports after checking with Balfour. Their reports of three broadcasts, from 04:18 to 07:18 GMT (ET), are the only details of Earhart's flight before Itasca radio operators reported hearing her at 14:15 GMT (ET).

There are reasons to doubt the accuracy of Earhart's messages, or Balfour's account of them, or Chater's report.
 
Balfour may have panned his account. Chater may have erred in his report.
 
Earhart would broadcast hourly flight reports at 18 minutes past the hour on 6210 kcs. during the day and 3105 kcs. at night. According to Chater the frequency in use at night was to be 3104   -   an apparent mistake in reference to 3105.
 
Earhart would listen for Balfour on 6522 kcs. two minutes later, at 20 minutes past the hour. As noted previously, the use of 6210 was restricted to the U. S. Earhart's receiver was calibrated or tuned to 6522 to receive Lae.
 
Anyone anywhere listening might hear Earhart's broadcasts.
 
As Earhart and Noonan took off (or shortly afterward), Balfour received a weather forecast by the US Navy in Pearl Harbor, issued five hours earlier and relayed via the radio station in American Samoa.
 
"Partly cloudy with dangerous local rain squalls about 300 miles east of Lae and scattered heavy showers remainder of route." 
 
This was not good flying weather.
 
Twenty-five-knot winds from east-south-east were forecast between Lae and the Ontario.
 
The winds would be twice the force predicted earlier.
 
Twenty-knot winds from the east to east-north-east were forecast along the flight path from the Ontario to Howland Island.
 
The winds would be two to five knots stronger than predicted earlier.
 
Lae received also the latest weather forecasts from the island of Nauru, which read: 

" . . . WIND EASTERLY 3 CLOUDY BUT FINE CLOUDS CI CI STR CI CUMI MOVING FROM EASTERLY DIRECTION SEA SMOOTH . . NARU 8 AM UPPER AIR OBSERVATION 2000 FEET NINETY DEGREES 14 MPH 4000 FEET NINETY DEGREES 12 MPH 7500 FEET NINETY DEGREES 24 MPH."

Note: 8 a. m., July 2 on Nauru = 6:00 a. m. in Lae. The report was four hours old.  

CI = Cirrus, CI STR - Cirrostratus, CI CUMI = Cirrocumulus

The three cloud types are displayed in the top of the illustration below. They are called high clouds and usually encountered between altitudes of 7,500 and 12,500 feet.


Related image
                   Cloud types


MPH = miles per hour.

Did MPH mean miles per hour or nautical miles per hour? Statute miles per hour or knots? One would assume the Britishers on Nauru would refer to knots rather than statute miles. But they could mention either. If statute miles, the speed of the wind at 7,500 feet was about 21 knots, one knot faster than forecast by Pearl Harbor.

Thus, from Lae to the Ontario: 25 knot winds. From the Ontario to Howland: 20-knot winds. Over Nauru: 24 mph (21-knot) winds.  

To reach Howland in 18 hours, Earhart would have to average a ground speed of 123.4 knots over the entire course   -   or a true air speed of 148.4 knots from Lae to the Ontario and 143.4 or 144.4 knots from the Ontario to Howland.

The recommended (optimum) true air speed of the plane for the best fuel burn rate was 136.5 knots at lower altitudes and faster with a lighter load at higher altitudes.

To fly against fast head winds, divert around a weather front, and fly within sight of Nauru, Earhart would have to fly a longer distance and at a faster speed. This would consume more fuel.

Had Earhart and Noonan known, before the take-off, would they have delayed the flight? 

According to a radio telegraph message from Lae three weeks later, on 25 July, in reply to an enquiry about the flight, Balfour relayed the latest weather forecasts from Honolulu and Nauru to Earhart three times   -   at 10:22 a. m., Lae local time (00:22 GMT), 11:22 a.m. (01:22 GMT) and 12:22 p. m. (02:22 GMT).

According to Chater, in his report, Balfour relayed the latest weather reports to Earhart by radio telephone eight times   -   at twenty minutes past every hour until 5:20 p. m. Lae time (07:20 GMT) (07:20 ET).
 
In a private letter 32 years later, in 1969, to the chief radioman on the Itasca during the Earhart's flight, Balfour repeated Chater: he sent the weather forecasts eight times.
 
Earhart did not acknowledge Balfour's weather reports.
 
The rain squalls, heavy showers, strong head winds and quartering winds could delay the arrival on Howland to well after sunrise   -   and without the stars as a guide.

Earhart and Noonan would have to calculate again their fuel consumption and reserve. To abort the flight and return to Lae they would have to dump fuel.
 
In his letter in 1969, Balfour recalled that shortly after the take-off he called Earhart (it can be assumed on 6522) and sent signals on 500 kcs. for her to test her RDF.
 
This does not necessarily indicate that the failed test of the RDF in flight the day before was on 500 kcs.
 
Balfour did not receive a response. Did Earhart receive his call? Her receiver was "calibrated" to 6522. Why not reply? Apparently, that was typical of Earhart. Did she check the RDF? That would be the right thing to do. 
 
Earhart's ability   -   or inability   -   to transmit and receive on 500 kcs. could determine the fate of the flight.
 
Balfour did not hear or log Earhart's first four hourly broadcasts   -   at 00:18, 01:18, 02:18 and 03:18 GMT. Apparently, he did not hear her until four hours and 18 minutes into the flight.
 
Balfour reported only three messages from Earhart by radiotelephone, all on 6210 kcs.

Balfour thought local weather conditions interfered with reception (Chater).

Given Earhart's poor health in the previous week and her problems with radio, Noonan would have wisely joined 
Earhart in the cockpit at broadcast times every hour   -   to ensure that she sent correct details and to hear the radio messages from Lae himself. Whether or not he did this not is not known.  
 
It was customary for a pilot to report with every message the plane's call sign, position (latitude first and longitude second), altitude, speed, weather such as wind speed and direction and cloud formations, and Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) at destination.
 

First message (04:18 ET):
 
Balfour (as reported by Chater):
 
(04:18 GMT) 2:18 p.m. in Lae:
 
Height 7,000 feet. Speed 140 knots. (Some remark about) Lae. Everything okay.
 
Where was the plane?
 
Chater: "The plane was called and asked to repeat position but we still could not get it."
 
Callopy did not mention this first message in his letter.
 
The Electra was manufactured in the U. S. Did Earhart's cockpit instruments indicate nautical miles and/or statute miles? Reference to nautical miles (knots), rather than statute miles and kilometres, is the standard in aviation throughout the world, including the U. S. Instruments and pilots refer to nautical miles rather than statute miles or kilometres. However, some old planes indicate statute miles and kilometres.
 
Americans writing about Amelia Earhart often refer to statute miles instead of nautical miles and "miles per hour" rather than "knots". They convert knots to mph.
 
Some have wondered if Earhart said "miles per hour" and Balfour noted the equivalent in knots. If Earhart meant statute miles her speed was 121.7 knots. If Earhart said knots her speed was 161 statute m. p. h.
 
It is unlikely that Earhart referred to statute miles or said "miles per hour". In her telegrams she mentioned "knots". Most assume Earhart said 140 knots. Most assume also that she meant her true air speed. Given the speed of the forecast 25-knot quartering winds, her average ground speed was probably 115 knots. It is unlikely that she flew at 165 knots true air speed.
 
 
Second message (05:19 ET):
 
Balfour (as reported by Callopy):
 
"At about three p.m. a message came through to the effect that they were at 10,000 feet but were going to reduce altitude because of thick banks of cumulus clouds." (Lae time.)
 
Balfour (Chater):
 
(05:19 GMT) 3:19 p. m. in Lae:
 
Height 10,000 feet. Position 150.7 East 7.3 South. Cumulus clouds. Everything okay.
 
Latitude should have been reported first and longitude second.
 
Earhart probably said "One Five Nought (or Naught) Degrees Seven Minutes East", which is 150 degrees (°), 7 minutes (') East (E), and "Seven Degrees Three Minutes South", which is - 7 degrees (°), 3 minutes (') South (S), which is noted as 150° 7' E - 7° 3' S. Either - (minus sign) or S denotes South. Either + (plus sign) or N denotes North.

 
 
Image result for cumulus clouds
Cumulus clouds seen from below.

 
 
Cumulus clouds seen from above.
 
 
This position is 187 nautical miles east of Lae and over the Solomon Sea, 48 nm. south of the island of New Britain and 55 n. m. south of  a straight flight path from Lae to Howland.
 
Some have wondered about the stop (.) in Balfour's notation. Was it a decimal point? Noonan always referred to degrees and minutes. As far as is known, Balfour did too. He did not note decimal degrees. However, in noting coordinates he may have written the stop (.) instead of the degree symbol (°) between degrees and minutes.

A degree is divided into 60 minutes. If Balfour's notation was a decimal point, Earhart's position was 150 degrees 42 minutes East and 7 degrees 18 minutes South (150° 42' E 7° 18' S)   -   40 nautical miles farther to the east-south-east and 225 nautical miles from Lae on a more southerly heading of 98 to 99 degrees.
 
It is generally agreed that Earhart's reported position at 05:19 GMT (the second message, as reported by Chater) was incorrectly reported or logged or Chater's report in error. After five hours and 19 minutes in the air, Earhart was only 187 (or 225) nautical miles out from Lae for an average ground speed of only 35 (or 42) knots. Earhart could not have said "Everything okay".
 
It has been suggested that the position reported at 05:19 GMT was a noon position report, a standard maritime procedure, for 12:00 noon in Lae (02:00 GMT).
 
On Pan Am's Clipper flights across the Pacific, Noonan took noon positions and it became the practice at Pan Am.

No doubt, Noonan took a noon position. He probably projected the plane's position 18 minutes hence and Earhart reported the projected position in her scheduled broadcast 18 minutes later, at 02:18 GMT (12:18 p. m. in Lae)   -   a message not heard or logged by Balfour.
 
A position reported three hours late seems unlikely. Its report instead of the current or latest position is also unlikely. 
 
If, however, the report was for a position at 12 noon the plane covered the distance in two hours for an average ground speed of 93.5 or 112.5 knots.
 
In any case, it is most unlikely that Earhart would climb to 10,000 feet in two hours   -   much faster than the recommended rate of climb for the plane in the given conditions. However, Earhart could have been at 10,000 feet at 05:00 (05:19) GMT.
 
It has been suggested that Earhart's reported position at 05:19 GMT was actually 157.0 East Longitude ("One Five Seven Degrees Nought Minutes") instead of the reported or logged 150.7. This might make more sense, placing the plane over the centre of Choiseul Island, one of the northern British Solomon Islands (and southeast of Bougainville Island), and about 600 nautical miles east of Lae for an average ground speed of 113 knots.
 
This position would indicate strong headwinds and a detour to the south to go around bad weather. It would indicate also that Earhart was well behind schedule. If there was a time to turn back, this was it. The plane could make it to Lae by sunset.
 
Balfour did not log Earhart's next scheduled hourly broadcast at 06:18 GMT.
 
 
Nukumanu Islands
 
Image result for Nukumanu Island
Satellite photo of the Nukumanu Islands.
 
 
Third and last message (07:18 ET):
 
Balfour (Callopy):
 
"The next and last message was to the effect that they were at 7,000 feet and making 150 knots, this message was received at approx. 5 p.m." (Lae time.)
 
Balfour (Chater):
 
(07:18 GMT) 5:18 p. m. in Lae:
 
Position 4.33 South 159.7 East. Height 8,000 feet over cumulus clouds. Wind 23 knots.
 
Earhart probably said "Four Degrees Thirty-Three Minutes 
South", which is South Latitude 4 degrees 33 minutes ( - 4° 33' S), and "One Five Nine Degrees Seven Minutes East", which is East Longitude 159 degrees, 7 minutes (159° 7' E).
 
Earhart and Noonan were 11 nautical miles due west of Nukumanu Atoll's western shores.
 
A degree is divided into 60 minutes and a minute is divided into 60 seconds. If Balfour's notation was a decimal point, Earhart's position was 4 degrees, 19 minutes, 48 seconds South and 159 degrees, 42 minutes East (4.33° S 159.7° E = 4° 19' 48" S 159° 42' E)   -   about 25 nautical miles northeast by east off the northern tip of the atoll. 
 
The two positions are 40 to 50 nautical miles apart southwest -northeast.  
 
Nukumanu is about 25 nautical miles north of Luangiua Atoll (Lord Howe Atoll) (Ontong Java Atoll), one of the largest atolls in the Pacific.
 
Flying at 7,000 or 8,000 feet and "over cumulus clouds" could Earhart and Noonan see Nukumanu and Luangiua? If not, Noonan calculated their position by celestial navigation and dead reckoning   -   the setting sun (before twilight), the speed of the plane and speed and direction of the wind. However, Noonan would have preferred sighting the atoll for a more positive position fix.  
 
Earhart and Noonan were on the direct flight path from Lae to Howland. They had flown about one-third of the course.
 
But at 7:18 GMT they were at least an hour behind schedule. Thus, some maintain that Earhart could not possibly have been over Nukumanu at the reported time but passed the island at least an hour earlier, probably at 06:00 GMT (4:00 p. m. in Lae), which would give her a more reasonable average ground speed of 125 knots. Otherwise, she would have turned back to Lae long before. 
 
If Earhart flew over Nukumanu at 06:00 GMT, she would have reported it in her 06:18 GMT broadcast and not at 07:18 GMT.
 
It is often suggested that the plane reached this position 18 minutes earlier, on the hour, at 07:00 GMT, because its report was delayed until the scheduled broadcast at 07:18 GMT.
 
It is assumed that the navigator would need about 18 minutes to calculate the position. Thus, it has been suggested also that Earhart reached Nukumanu some forty minutes earlier.
 
But Earhart's reported positions may have been based on projections by Noonan.
 
During the fight from Oakland to Honolulu in March, Noonan gave the cockpit projected positions based on his charts plotted before the flight and his estimates from celestial navigation, dead reckoning and Manning's radio navigation on board. One position was projected 40 minutes before Earhart's scheduled broadcast.
 
Balfour's two position reports are the only ones for the entire flight from Lae to Howland. However, their accuracy   -   validity   -   has been questioned. Only the second position report makes sense.
 
How the plane got to Nukumanu is not known. Where it flew between Lae and Nukumanu is not known. How it avoided the bad weather 300 miles east of Lae is not known. It is assumed the plane flew south of it. How far to the south is not known. How broad was the weather front?
 
The last two messages heard by Balfour   -   at 3:19 p. m. (05:19 GMT) and 5:18 p. m. (07:18 GMT)   -   reported Earhart's position.
 
The last reported position, at 07:18 GMT, near Nukumanu, is some 560 nautical miles from the previous reported position, at 05:19 GMT. The two reports were two hours apart and indicate an impossible average ground speed of 280 knots. Thus, the exact positions and their times must be questioned.
 
If, as some suggest, the position reported at 05:19 GMT (the second message) was actually for 12:00 noon in Lae   -   02:00 GMT   -   and the last report at 07:18 GMT (the third message) was a position report for 07:00 GMT, the average ground speed over the distance covered in five hours was about 112 knots. 
 
If Earhart was over Choiseul Island at 05:19 GMT (or 05:00 GMT) and Nukumanu at 07:18 GMT (or 07:00 GMT), she flew about 200 nautical miles in two hours for an average ground speed of 100 knots.
 
Before departing Lae, Earhart and Noonan planned for a possible turn-around if at some point they were uncertain of reaching Howland. The weather might be too bad. They might not have enough fuel.

Earhart had to average a ground speed of 123.4 knots to reach Howland in 18 hours from Lae. Nukumanu is about 750 nautical miles (860 statute miles) on a direct path from Lae. Earhart took more than seven hours to reach it. Her average ground speed point to point was 102.5 nautical miles per hour.
 
At this rate, the flight from Lae to Howland could take more than 21 hours and exhaust the plane's reserve fuel. Earhart would have to fare better or return to Lae, for a night-landing, or head for the nearest airfield, near Rabaul.
 
The delayed schedule was most likely due to strong headwinds and a longer, indirect flight path around bad weather. Could they make up for lost time?

Nukumanu Atoll is about 1,470 nautical miles from Howland Island. To reach Howland in 18 hours   -   20 minutes after sunrise (sunrise at 17:40 GMT)   -   the plane would have to average a ground speed of about 137.5 knots over the rest of the path.

Many point out that if Chater's and Callopy's reports were accurate, and Earhart was flying at a true air speed of 150 knots against 23-knot-winds, her average ground speed was 127 knots over Nukumanu.

The latest forecast was for 25-knot winds from Lae to the Ontario and for 20-knot winds from the Ontario to Howland. The reported winds over Nauru were 21 knots.  

With 20 to 25-knot headwinds and quartering winds, to average a ground speed of 137.5 knots Earhart would have to fly at a true air speed of 157.5 to 162.5 knots to reach
Howland in 18 hours. This would consume more fuel.
 
If Earhart maintained a true air speed of 150 knots and flew against 25-knot winds the rest of the way she could arrive by 19:00 GMT (ET). 
 
Earhart mentioned the speed of the winds, an estimate derived from dead reckoning, but not their direction. It can be assumed the wind was, as forecast, a crosswind or quartering wind from east-south-east. Not a headwind (or tailwind).
 
Calculating the affect of winds on a plane's speed, course and heading is complicated and Noonan would have to check with Earhart often to correct drift to keep the plane on course. 
 
From Nukumanu, Earhart and Noonan headed into the night.
 
Balfour did not hear Earhart again. As planned, Earhart probably changed radio frequencies from the day-time 6210 kcs. to "3104" kcs. (Chater) for the night. Balfour listened for three hours on both frequencies but heard nothing. In his report, Chater mentioned 3104 kcs. rather than 3105.
 
Chater: "Miss Earhart had arranged to change to 3104 KC wave length at dusk, but signals were very strong and the plane was then called and asked not to change to 3104 KC yet as her signals were getting stronger and we should have no trouble holding signals for a long time to come. We received no reply to this call although the Operator listened for three hours after that on an 8-valve super-heterodyne Short Wave Receiver and both wave lengths were searched."
 
Callopy: "Balfour stated that they advised him they would change the wave length at nightfall. Balfour advised them just before nightfall not to change as their signals were coming through quite strong. They apparently changed however as Balfour never heard them again."
 
It appears that Balfour missed a total of five scheduled hourly radio broadcasts by Earhart before 07:18 GMT and three broadcasts afterwards.  
 
It is not known if Earhart heard any of Balfour's messages.
 
From Earhart's eight messages over the course of seven hours, as reported by Chater, Balfour logged only three. The messages included two position reports; two reports of the plane's speed; one report of wind speed; three reports of altitude; and two reports of cumulus clouds. The times and coordinates of both position reports have been questioned. One reported position cannot be correct.
 
On the earlier first attempt of the World Flight, from Oakland to Honolulu, Manning, the radio operator on board, contacted various radio stations. Had radio equipment been in the cabin, Noonan would have done so too. It is not known if Earhart contacted   -   or tried to contact   -   anyone en route besides Lae, the Ontario and the Itasca.
 
It is believed that Earhart burned about ten percent extra fuel (about 100 gallons of fuel or half her reserve) in a long detour to avoid bad weather and in flying against strong winds much of the flight.  

 
 
The USS Ontario, MV Myrtlebank and Nauru
 
Lae to Nukumanu - 754 nautical miles
Nukumanu to Howland - 1,471 nm
Lae to USS Ontario -  1,115 nm
Nukumanu to USS Ontario - 365 nm
USS Ontario to Howland - 1,106 nm
USS Ontario to IDL - 903 nm
 
Nukumanu to Nauru - 510 nm
Nauru to Howland - 990 nm
Nauru to IDL - 787 nm
 
 
About half-way along the flight path to Howland, the picket ship, USS Ontario (AT-13), was to signal the flyers. The Ontario was a US Navy tug boat based in American Samoa where she served as the governor's yacht. The ship waited for Earhart at the same point in March. The Ontario had been on station a fortnight, since mid-June, waiting for Earhart again. The ship was running out of coal and would have to head back to Samoa as soon as possible.  
 
On the night of 2 July the Ontario was several miles north of the planned flight path.
 
According to the weather forecast from Honolulu, issued 15 hours earlier, Earhart and Noonan were to encounter 25-knot winds from east-south-east between Nukumanu and the Ontario. If they maintained their heading of 78 degrees (true) from Lae to Howland they were buffeted by strong quartering winds across their starboard side. They would be blown to the north. They would have to change their heading often to correct drift and stay on course.  
 
The Ontario was about 365 nautical miles east of Nukumanu. If Earhart and Noonan saw Nukumanu at 07:18 GMT, flew at a true air speed of 150 knots against a 23 or 25-knot wind, they would sight the Ontario less than three hours later, around 10:12 GMT.
   
Initially, Earhart planned to contact the Ontario when approaching mid-point of the flight path. The Ontario radio operator was to respond with signals for Earhart's RDF to find the ship's direction and position. Noonan would thus know how best to proceed to Howland.
 
The radio capabilities of the Ontario were limited. The ships's radio could send and receive radio messages by telegraph on low frequencies ranging from 195 to 600 kcs.
 
Earhart would have to contact the ship by Morse Code on a low frequency. Then she would try to get a bearing on the ship's signals with her RDF. 
 
The Ontario stood by on 400 kcs. While on Java, Earhart agreed to this frequency. Earhart would contact the ship on 400 kcs. Then the ship would broadcast the letter "N" in Morse Code for five minutes and repeat the ship's call letters twice at the end of every minute. Earhart would take a bearing on the ship's signals with her RDF.
 
Initially, it was suggested the Itasca, at Howland, could stand by on the same or a similar low frequency. In her instructions to the Itasca, Earhart changed the frequency 400 kcs.   -   wavelength 750 metres   -   to 7500 kcs. For the Ontario, Earhart did not change the suggested frequency of 400 kcs. because she knew the ship did not have high frequency. The Itasca did.
 
Balfour checked Earhart's radio receiver on 500 kcs. in Lae. Apparently, it worked. Earlier, Putnam warned that Earhart's receiver on 500 kcs. was of "dubious usability". That is to say, the receiver was unlikely to work on that frequency. It was unlikely to receive signals on 500 kcs. It might not work on other low frequencies, like 400 kcs. It appears that the same applied to the transmitter. 

If Putnam was correct, Earhart would be unable to contact or hear the ship or take a bearing.
 
It appears that Earhart never intended to contact the Ontario. The day before her departure from Lae, she changed her instructions. She would not contact the ship. Instead, the Ontario was to transmit on 400 kcs. at ten past every hour the letter "N" in Morse Code for five minutes, with the ship's call letters twice at the end of each minute.
 
Earhart was too late. There is no evidence that her telegram, on 1 July, which would have to be relayed by another station, in American Samoa, reached the Ontario in time. Earhart knew that there was little chance that it would.  
 
The Ontario waited for Earhart's call.
 
The Ontario did not report radio contact with the plane. The ship's logs for 2 July do not mention Earhart or a plane. No one aboard the ship reported seeing or hearing a plane.
 
Apparently, the ship's radio could receive (but not transmit) on 3000 kcs. Earhart had been informed. Earhart could not contact the ship on 3105 kcs. but she might try on 3000 kcs. She could transmit also a Morse Code signal on 500 kcs. to call the ship. Evidently, she preferred not to. Or she could not. She did not call the ship on 400 kcs. or 500 kcs. or 3000 kcs.
 
During the flight, the Itasca, stationed off Howland, asked the Ontario if the ship had heard Earhart. The reply was negative.
 
According to an archivist of the National Archives, the Ontario logs for June and July 1937 do not mention Earhart at all.
 
On the following day, 3 July, at 10:30 GMT   -   after the flight   -   the Itasca received a message from the radio station on the island of Nauru, relayed by the radio station KPH Radio Marine Corporation of America (RCA) in Bolinas, California to US Coast Guard headquarters in San Francisco. According to this message, Nauru heard unintelligible radio messages from Earhart during the flight the night before   -   on 2 July   -   with the hum of the plane in the background. No specific times were mentioned. According to this message, Nauru never heard an intelligible message from Earhart.
 
There was another report, shortly after the Coast Guard message, also on 3 July, from another source, that the radio operator on Nauru actually heard an intelligible message from Earhart during the flight, at 10:30 GMT on the previous day, 2 July.
 
This report was at 12:00 GMT on 3 July by the American consul in Sydney, Australia, Alfred Doyle, in a telegram to the State Department in Washington D. C. Doyle reported that Amalgamated Wireless in Sydney had just "received" "information" about Earhart's flight on the previous night.
 
According to Doyle, this "information" had just been sent by the radio operator on Nauru to the radio station KPH RCA in Bolinas for relay to Coast Guard HQ in San Francisco.
 
According to Doyle, one part of the message (the second part) from Nauru to Bolinas read:
 
Message from plane when at least 60 miles south of Nauru received 8:30 PM Sydney time July 2nd saying "a ship in sight ahead". Since identified as steamer Myrtle Bank which arrived Nauru daybreak today. Reported no contact between Itasca and Nauru radio.
 
8:30 PM Sydney time, 2 July (same as Nauru) = 10:30 GMT 2 July.
 
This reported ship-sighting message must be viewed with some scepticism. It is not the message the Itasca received from Nauru, relayed by RCA and Coast Guard HQ. The Itasca radio logs do not include such a message. Nauru did not mention an intelligible message from Earhart. Doyle's telegram is the only source of the claim that the Nauru radio station operator heard an intelligible message during the flight   -   and the only source for the claim that Earhart saw a ship at 10:30 GMT on 2 July. It was not reported by anyone else. (Much later, the State Department passed Doyle's telegram to the U. S. Navy.)
 
A Briton (or New Zealander), Harold J. Barnes, was in charge of the radio station on Nauru. The radio log is not available. (It was claimed later that Barnes was absent at the time and an assistant worked the radio.)
 
Doyle's telegram, if its facts were accurate, is the only indication of Earhart's position at any time along the flight path between Nukumanu and Howland.
 
The purpose of Doyle's telegram, however, concerned another and later matter. (See below.)   
 
The M. V. Myrtlebank was a British merchant ship en route from New Zealand to Nauru to pick up a cargo of phosphate mined from bird excrement, better known by its Spanish name guano. Guano was valued as fertilizer and mined on many Pacific islands in the 1800s. Nauru was still mined in the late 1900s.
 
According to the ship's log, at 10:30 GMT on 2 July the Myrtlebank was well to the north of Earhart's planned flight path, perhaps by 30 miles, and about 110 to 115 nautical miles northeast of the Ontario, and about 105 nm. due south of Nauru.
 
The Myrtlebank did not report radio contact with a plane. The ship's logs do not mention Earhart or a plane. No one aboard reported seeing or hearing a plane. (Later claims to the contrary, made many decades later, must be doubted.)
 
The Myrtlebank was about 480 to 490 nautical miles east of Nukumanu. If Earhart was near Nukumanu at 07:18 GMT and 
saw the Myrtlebank at 10:30 GMT her average ground speed over 3 hours and 12 minutes was about 150 knots. Her true air speed was over 170 knots. A bit too fast. 

If Earhart was near Nukumanu at 07:18 GMT and saw the Ontario at 10:30 GMT her average ground speed from Nukumanu was just under 114 knots. Her true airspeed was just under 140 knots. Thus, she saw the Ontario.
 
Such estimates, however, are based on reports and forecasts. Reports are often approximate and conditions are seldom constant. How far ahead of the plane was the ship when spotted or reported? Was the report at 07:18 GMT exact?  
 
It is possible that Earhart saw neither ship and saw another ship.
 
The message from Earhart might not have been in her exact words. It is possible that Earhart did not see any ship at all.
 
Noonan may have instructed Earhart to fly within sight of Nauru for a better reference point. Noonan could not have had any illusions about Earhart's abilities to handle pre-flight arrangements or the capabilities of her radios. Noonan knew beforehand, and was advised in Lae, that Nauru, with its bright lights for night operations at its guano mining site, would offer a better bearing than the Ontario. Earhart also was informed. Also, according to a radiogram from Rabaul to Lae, Nauru had a "new fixed light" of "5,000 candle power" on a 560-ft. high tower  -  an ordinary beacon probably visible to a plane thousands of feet up and at least 35 miles away.
 
No one on Nauru reported seeing or hearing a plane.
 
Many have tried to calculate the plane's ETA on Howland from this purported message from Nauru.
 
At this point, if due south of Nauru, the plane would be 990 to 1,000 nautical miles west of Howland.
 
Twenty-knot winds were forecast from the Ontario to Howland. Twenty-one-knot winds were reported over Nauru earlier. If Earhart and Noonan spotted the Myrtlebank or Nauru at 10:30 GMT and maintained an average ground speed of 130 knots (150 to 151 knots true airspeed) they were about seven hours and 40 minutes from Howland. The plane could sight the island by 18:10 GMT (ET)   -   one-half hour after sunrise on the island.
 
Some insist Earhart could only have seen the Ontario, at the half-way point, at 10:30 GMT. With  an average ground speed of 114 knots, the plane would not reach Howland before 20:12 GMT. It might not have enough fuel. It would have to turn back to Lae. The plane would have turned back earlier. So, Earhart saw the Myrtlebank.
 
However, if Earhart and Noonan could maintain an average ground speed of 130 knots over the rest of their flight path from the Ontario   -   1,110 to 1,115 nautical miles   -   they were eight hours and 40 minutes from Howland and could sight the island around 19:10 GMT (ET)   -   90 minutes after sunrise.
 
Again, such estimates are based on reports, which are often approximate. The weather can change.
 
Could Earhart have mistaken the Myrtlebank for the Ontario? Unlikely. The ships were more than 100 nautical miles apart.
 
If Earhart mistook the Myrtlebank for the Ontario, could she pass Howland and continue for an hour, expecting to sight the island more than 100 nautical miles farther to the east? 
 
Doyle's telegram, on 3 July, added that the Nauru radio operator heard unintelligible messages from Earhart for four hours before her report of sighting a ship and for about one hour afterwards   -   from 06:30 to 11:30 GMT. The Itasca did not receive such message from Nauru (relayed from San Francisco). (See below.) 
 
Oddly, the ship-sighting message mentioned by Doyle would be the only intelligible message Nauru heard from Earhart.
 
There is reason to doubt that Earhart saw the Myrtlebank. (See below.)
 
The weather about Nauru and the two ships was good, with light winds and clear visibility to the horizon all around. Parlly cloudy, 40 to 60%.

If Earhart and Noonan flew within sight of Nauru and continued directly towards Howland they may have seen Ocean Island (Banaba Island), 150 nautical miles to the east and 270 nautical miles west of the Gilbert Islands.
 
Wherever they were, Noonan had to be sure of the plane's fuel supply and reaching Howland or returning safely to Lae. Turning back at this point, Noonan might have to rely on tailwinds to reach Lae before the end of the reserve fuel. The plane could reach Lae at dawn. The nearest landing fields along their flight track from Lae were near Rabaul on the island of New Britain and on the island of Bougainville. Night landings. There were no airfields on Nauru or Ocean Island or the Gilbert Islands.
 
It has been suggested that with tailwinds the plane could still turn back after 12 hours on its flight path, probably at a point 100 nautical miles west of the Gilberts. Beyond that point, the plane could not return to Lae. The nearest landing field was on Howland Island. 

 
 
Gilbert Islands
 
From the Ontario to Howland Island, the forecast 20-knot winds were from the east to east-north-east. From Nauru, 21-knot winds from the east. Earhart and Noonan would encounter strong head winds and quartering winds on both sides of the plane on the flight path.
 
There were no radio messages from Earhart about the Gilbert Islands. There were radios on the islands of Beru and Tarawa. Neither reported hearing Earhart. Neither had been informed of Earhart's flight. Exactly when and where Earhart and Noonan flew over the Gilbert Islands is not known. It was in the middle of the night, probably at an altitude of 7,000 to 8,000 feet. Some assume the plane, on a direct heading from Lae, flew over Tabiteuea Island, which is just below the equator.





 
Howland Island
 
Lae to Howland - 2,221 nautical miles
Nikumanu to Howland - 1,471 nm
USS Ontario to Howland - 1,106 nm
Nauru to Howland - 990 nm
IDL to Howland - 203 nm

 
 

Howland Island is the northernmost of the Phoenix Islands, which are between the Gilbert Islands to the west and the Line Islands to the east.

Howland Island is a small coral atoll 1.5 miles long (north to south) and 0.7 miles wide (east to west). Its highest point is ten to 15 feet above sea level. The view in the above photo is from the southwest.
 
The island was claimed by the U. S. in 1856, after British guano miners abandoned it, and mined by American companies till 1878. The British claimed the island and mined it with Polynesian workers from 1886 to 1891. The Americans and the British shared the island. The British still claimed the island in the 1930s. 
 
Because both Britain and the U. S. claimed the Phoenix Islands, the U. S. felt it necessary to colonise Howland and other islands.
 
Howland was considered also a possible mid-way refueling stop for future Pan American Airways Clipper flights across the Pacific and a possible military air base in the event of war with Japan.
 
Thus, Howland was inhabited by a small colony of Hawaiians from March 30, 1935 to January 31, 1942.
 
Construction of three airstrips began in 1936 and completed in early 1937, in time for Earhart's anticipated arrival from Hawaii on 21 March. The airfield was a Works Progress Administration (WPA) project. The WPA was created in 1935 to give Americans employment during the Depression. Projects included constructing roads, bridges, housing, airports, etc. (Germany had a similar program.) Earhart donated $2,000 for the construction of the airstrips.  
 
There was one long north-south runway and two short runways, east-west and northeast-southwest.
 
The airfield was named Kamakaiwi Field for the Hawaiian leader of the colony, James Kamakaiwi.
 
Many islands in the Pacific were incorrectly charted. On Earhart's chart (or one she is thought to have used) Howland Island was six nautical miles to the west of its actual position. The Coast Guard complained that the incorrect charting posed a navigational hazard to ships. Whether or not Noonan relied on Earhart's chart is not known. He may have made more accurate and up-to-date charts from recent surveys by the Coast Guard. Noonan and Earhart could have gotten the latest details in Hawaii in March 1937 or in California later.

 
 
Image result for Earhart light, Howland Island, 1938
 
1937 photo of a 20-foot tall light house on Kamakaiwi Field on Howland Island, completed in late 1937. At the time of Earhart's flight, it was without a lamp and served as a day beacon. It was bombed by the Japanese on 8 December 1941, the day after the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor on Oahu. The partially restored day beacon is known today as Earhart Light.
 
 
USCGC Itasca
 
Image result for The Itasca puts out smoke for earhart and noonan
Undated photo of the USCGC Itasca (not taken on Howland).
 
 
The Coast Guard sent a ship every three months on an
expedition to resupply the US Equatorial Islands, including Howland, Baker and Jarvis.
 
 
 
Image result for 1037 photo of earhart light howland island
Along the equator lie the U. S. Equatorial Islands of Howland, Baker and Jarvis. Baker is 42 miles southeast of Howland. Jarvis is one of the Line Islands and about 1,000 nautical miles to the east of Howland and Baker. Jarvis is just south of the equator. Howland and Baker are just north of the equator.
 
 
The U. S. Coast Guard Cutter Itasca brought the first Hawaiian colonists to Howland. From 1935 to 1940, the Itasca, based in San Diego, California, sailed often to Howland and the Hawaiian colony lived on the west shore of the Island in Itasca Town.
 
 
Under a Jarvis Moon
 
Documentary on the program Pacific Heartbeat
 
Preview
 
 
About the documentary
 
 
Documentary (56:49)
 
 
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Hui Panalaau
 
 
 
Under a Jarvis Moon
 
Song
 
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3 October 2015
 
 
 
 
Image result for Howland Island - Based on H. O. Chart 1198
Sketch of Howland Island as it was in 1937.
 
 
The Itasca, commanded by USCG Commander Warner Thompson, was stationed at Howland Island. (The rank of commander in the U. S. Navy and U. S. Coast Guard is equivalent to the rank of lieutenant colonel in the U. S. Army and Marines.) Thompson was on his first cruise to Howland.
 
The ship lay five miles off the island's lee (west) shore and drifted to the west.
 
On this occasion, the Itasca was at Howland for the additional purpose of assisting Earhart's flight. The ship would lay black smoke early during the day. Search lights for a night landing. The ship brought fuel, spare parts and mechanics. Fire-fighting equipment in case of an accident on landing or take-off. The Itasca was to rescue the flyers if they went down at sea and search for them if necessary.
 
As mentioned previously, Richard Black was responsible for all arrangements on the Itasca and Howland and along the flight path for Earhart's flight across the Pacific from Lae to Hawaii. Black was the Putnams' personal contact and representative on the Itasca and Howland.
 
Black was also the leader of the expedition to Howland. Black, a civil engineer, was the local field representative of the Department of Interior, which had responsibility for the US Equatorial Islands, including Howland, Baker and Jarvis. Black was responsible for their administration. He was on his fifth cruise to the islands.
 
 
 
Image result for Birds on Howland Island (Pacific)
Terns on Howland Island
 
 
Howland Island, like many Pacific islands, was home to tens of thousands of albatrosses, boobies, frigates and terns.
 
Earhart was warned that the birds could pose a hazard to a plane. A bird hitting a propeller can knock out an engine. Just before Earhart's flight, the crew of the Itasca slaughtered many birds on the island in an attempt to reduce their presence. Dynamite was blasted in an effort to force the birds to the north end of the island. 
 
Noonan was to navigate the plane to Howland   -   if not directly to the island, then close to it. 
 
Like the Ontario, the Itasca was to serve as a radio beacon for Earhart as the plane approached Howland. Earhart could take bearings on radio signals from the ship to be sure of the direction to the island.
 
The Itasca had better radio equipment than the Ontario.
 
As agreed before the flight, Earhart and the Itasca would transmit and receive messages by voice over the radio telephone on 3105 at night and 6210 during the day. The Itasca would transmit messages in Morse Code by telegraph on 7500.
 
The Itasca had four 200-watt (?) radio transmitters   -   two for low frequencies, calibrated for 425 and 500 kcs., and two for high frequencies, calibrated for 3105, 6210 and 7500 kcs, the first three frequencies for voice and Morse key. However, voice could be transmitted on 6210 and 7500. The Itasca had many receivers and could receive on all frequencies.
 
As noted previously, on the ill-fated first attempt of the World Flight, in March, on the first leg, from California to Honolulu, the plane transmitted on 3105 by day and 6210 by night. Manning took a bearing from a radio beacon near Honolulu on signals on 290 kcs. For the flight from Honolulu, on the approach to Howland, Manning would take a bearing on low-frequency signals from the Coast Guard cutter on plane guard at the time, the Shoshone.
 
Thus, for the second attempt, as Earhart approached the island from Lae, the Itasca would transmit low-frequency signals in Morse Code. Earhart's RDF could take a bearing on the signals to know the ship's direction.  
 
In telegrams, Earhart indicated her radio could transmit and receive on 500 kcs. Balfour in Lae said the receiver worked on 500.
 
Putnam specified that the range of Earhart's RDF was "about" 200 to 1400.
 
The Itasca was informed also of Putnam's warning that Earhart's radio on 500 kcs. was of "dubious usability". She might not be able to transmit or receive on 500. Whether or not that was so is not certain.
 
The Itasca sent signals in Morse on 500 several times during the last hour of the flight. Whether or not Earhart received them or tried to take a bearing on them is not known. There is no indication that she did.
 
If Earhart could not receive on 500, as Putnam warned, she might not be able to receive other low frequencies. That would leave her with only high-frequency capability.
 
Cmdr. Thompson pointed out that an RDF could not take bearings on signals higher than 1500 kcs.
 
If the range of Earhart's RDF was 200 to 1400   -   but Earhart could not take a bearing on 500 kcs. or other low requencies   -   there was only a chance that she might take a bearing on the ship's signals on 3105 when close to the ship and the signals strong enough.
 
At the end of June, Earhart claimed that her RDF's range was 200 to 1500 and 2400 to 4800. ("Any frequency not near ends of bands suitable.")
 
If Earhart actually had a high-frequency RDF with a range of 2400 to 4800 kcs, as she claimed, she could take a bearing on signals on 3105.
 
There were "experimental" high-frequency RDFs. Perhaps Earhart had one. Cmdr. Thompson accepted Earhart's specification of 2400 to 4800.
 
Earhart asked the Itasca to transmit every half-hour on the hour on 7500 kcs. the letter "A" in Morse Code for five minutes with the ship's position and call letters repeated twice at the end of every minute.
 
Did Earhart intend to take bearings on 7500? Cmdr. Thompson pointed out that, as far as was known, RDFs could not take bearings on signals on 7500.
 
In any case, the Itasca transmitted in voice and Morse on 3105 and in Morse on 7500 throughout the flight. Scheduled messages with weather reports on 7500 in Morse and occasionally with voice on 3105. Most transmissions were with voice on 3105.
 
As mentioned above, before departing Lae, Earhart asked the Itasca to transmit a long continuous tone on 3105 as she approached Howland. Evidently, she would try to take a bearing on 3105. In the event, the Itasca never transmitted a long continuous tone on 3105 for Earhart at any time. However, the ship occasionally repeated the letter "A" with its call sign and position in Morse on 3105 for several minutes at irregular and unscheduled times.
 
Did Earhart ever hear the Itasca? There is no indication that she heard the Itasca on 500 or 3105. Earhart acknowledged hearing the Itasca only twice. According to the radio logs she heard signals on 7500 kcs. This was questioned.
 
The Itasca received numerous messages from Earhart on 3105 only.
 
The Itasca eventually listened for Earhart on 7500. This could indicate that Earhart could transmit on 7500. If so, her transmitter's third band could be tuned or the transmitter had a fouth or fifth or sixth band. 
 
The Itasca had an RDF. When Earhart drew close to the island the RDF aboard could take a bearing on a signal or signals from the plane and direct Earhart to the island.
 
The suggestion that the ship's RDF should take bearings on Earhart seems to have upset Thompson. It had not been foreseen, he claimed, that the Itasca would take bearings on Earhart.  
 
The Itasca RDF could not take bearings on frequencies above 550 kcs. Earhart was informed. As Earhart approached the island, she could transmit signals in Morse or voice or a long tone on 500 kcs. If, however, her transmitter could not function on 500 kcs., as Putnam indicated, the Itasca could not guide her to the island.   
 
In the event, the Itasca RDF never heard Earhart on 500 kcs. Apparently, Earhart never transmitted on 500. Thus, the Itasca never got a bearing on Earhart. 
 
The Itasca received messages from Earhart only in voice by radio telephone on 3105. She was never heard on 500, 6210 or 7500. She never transmitted a message by telegraph. She did not have one. She never transmitted a long tone. After Earhart's last radio message, the Itasca listened for her also on 6210. The radio logs do not indicate that the Itasca ever transmitted on 6210 during the flight.
 
 
RDF on Howland?
 
Pan American Airways installed an Adcock high-frequency RDF system on Oahu, Midway and Wake Islands in 1935 to assist its Clipper flights across the Pacific. Pan Am assisted Earhart on her flight from Oakland to Honolulu in March 1937. Pan Am's RDF on Oahu took bearings on signals (long dashes) on 3105 from the plane, sent by Manning, from a long distance, and radioed back the plane's position to Manning, on 2986 kcs. in Morse Code at the slow rate of two words per minute.  
 
See Electronics, April 1936:
 
 
Pan Am was not expected to assist the flight between Lae and Howland. As far as is known, Pan Am's RDFs did not track the flight. 
 
Before the first attempt, in March, Manning and a top government official requested a high-frequency RDF for Howland. The request was too late. The ship to Howland had sailed.
 
Before the second attempt, another request was made. Who requested it is unclear. According to Coast Guard telegrams, the "plane"   -   Earhart or Noonan or both (or Earhart's or Putnam's associates in government)   -   requested an HF RDF on Howland. Some believe Black suggested it.
 
According to some accounts, Paul Mantz learned of an unused RDF in Honolulu.
 
According to other accounts, Black procured the RDF from the Navy.
 
Accompanying Richard Black on the cruise was a US Army Air Corps pilot, 1st. Lt. Daniel Cooper, who was to inspect final perparations of the airstrips. Cooper was on the cruise also as an observer.
 
Black and Cooper arranged with the Navy and Coast Guard to send the Navy HF RDF to Howland.
 
Details of this "Navy HF RDF" are not clear. It was "borrowed" from a navy patrol plane in Pearl Harbor. It has been described as a "small portable airplane-type" "one-watt" (or less) "experimental" "high-frequency" RDF with a loop antenna. It may have been a "military version". It may have been a "twin" of Earhart's RDF. Its range of frequencies is not clear but, if high-frequency, probably not higher than 4800 kcs.
 
As mentioned previously, a small loop antenna was never developed to take bearings above 1800 kcs.
 
It could   -   or it could not   -   detect the source of a radio signal directly like a radio compass. Indications are that it detected only the baseline of signals.

 
 
Image result for Howland Island - Navy radio direction finder with loop antenna in 1937
Bendix portable RDF
with rotatable loop
antenna c. 1940
 
 
Black and Cooper brought the Navy HF RDF and a Coast Guard radioman 2nd class, Frank Cipriani, detached from a cutter in dry dock, the USCGC Taney, to the Itasca.
 
Cmdr. Thompson would not "receipt" for the Navy HF RDF. The Coast Guard had not requested it. He doubted it would work. He considered it unreliable and unlikely to assist Earhart to the island. He would not allow for its use on board. It could only get in the way of his ship's operations. Thompson suggested Cipriani set up the HF RDF on Howland as a precaution in case of an emergency. All this, however, seems to have been decided beforehand.
 
The placement of an HF RDF was announced in the press in June.
 
The Itasca reached Howland on 24 June. According to a telegram from the Itasca to Coast Guard HQ on 28 June, the HF RDF was in place on Howland.
 
There were claims that Earhart was unaware of the HF RDF on Howland. It has been suggested that, if true, this was because the HF RDF was not expected to work and its presence on Howland just for show.
 
There was no mention of the RDF on Howland in telegrams "from the Itasca" to Earhart. Thompson did not mention it. Black, who sent and relayed messages to and from the Putnams, mentioned the Itasca RDF to Earhart but not the HF RDF on Howland.
 
It has been assumed that Putnam informed Earhart by telephone. According to Putnam, their last telelphone conversation was on 25 June when Putnam was in Oakland and Earhart on Java.
 
Some wonder if Earhart hoped an Adcock HF RDF system would be on Howland in time for her flight. That is unlikely. Pan Am eventually installed an RDF in the Phoenix Islands, on Kanton (Canton) Island, to assist its Clipper flights across the South Pacific, but not on Howland. Some on board the Itasca may have assumed the Navy HF RDF was a very large and heavy device. It was not.
 
If Putnam informed Earhart of the HF RDF she may have wondered about the telegrams from Black and the Itasca. An HF RDF not worth mentioning is no HF RDF at all.
 
Could this have led to second thoughts about the flight?
 
In telegrams, Earhart specified that she had 500 kcs. If so, there should not be any problems as she drew near the island.
 
Earhart knew the limitations of the Itasca RDF. It could not take bearings above 550 kcs. If Earhart's 500 was in fact of "dubious usability" and she could not take bearings on low-frequency signals, the HF RDF on Howland was essential. It would have to take bearings on Earhart. Thus, she knew of the Navy HF RDF on Howland and expected it to take bearings on her broadcasts on 3105. That was her only chance to reach 
Howland by radio.
 
According to Cooper, the Navy HF RDF could take a bearing on 3105 but it was to be set up on Howland just as a 
precautionary emergency measure, in case the Itasca RDF, operating on 500 kcs., broke down. This remark may have been intended for Cmdr. Thompson.
 
By the end of June, it appeared definite that the HF RDF on Howland would take bearings on the plane's broadcasts and relay its position to the Itasca. This was decided long before, however.
 
In the event, the Navy HF RDF proved of no value at all. 
 
Thompson, Black, Cooper and Cipriani neglected to make proper and adequate preparations for the use of the Navy HF RDF on Howland.
 
Black, Cooper and Cipriani had more than a fortnight to prepare the HF RDF. According to Cooper, however, the HF RDF was not calibrated before the flight and thus its readings were unreliable.
 
Cipriani turned on the HF RDF when Earhart was more than 1,000 miles from Howland. The HF RDF ran on gun batteries loaned by the Itasca. Cipriani left it on all night and the batteries were almost dead by the time Earhart was expected to arrive.
 
The HF RDF never got a bearing on Earhart.
 
According to Ciprinai's radio log, he caught Earhart's broadcast on 3105 on a long wire receiving antenna when the plane was about 200 miles from the island. He heard Earhart's messages but It is not certain that the HF RDF actually heard her at any time.
 
Cooper pointed out that bearings on signals on frequencies above 1500 kcs. were generally unreliable beyond their optical range, especially in the morning (night effect).
 
Cipriani claimed Earhart never transmitted more than a few seconds at any time   -   not long enough to get a bearing on her. Others seemed to agree. Cooper pointed out that a signal had to be several minutes long to get a bearing on it. Earhart could transmit a long continuous tone but she never did so. Why? Her life might depend on it.
 
During the flight from Oakland to Honolulu in March, the right engine shut down temporarily. Just before, Manning sent a long signal to the Pan Am Adcock HF RDF in Hawaii. It was thought possible that the long signal drained electrical power and caused the engine to quit. Earhart might have feared another electrical failure if she transmitted a tone for a minute or more.  
 
Over a vast and empty sea, this meant that Noonan would have to find Howland Island on his own by celestial observations and dead reckoning. The moon and stars by night, the sun by day. Possible only with a clear sky. Estimates of distance by time and speed, testing wind drift, and the most recent weather reports available to him.
 
Harry Balfour in Lae logged one credible position report from Earhart earlier. But the Itasca radio operators never logged a precise position report.
 
The Itasca thought Earhart and Noonan were flying in poor weather and their ceiling obscured. Noonan could not see the sun, moon and stars and calculate the plane's position.

 
 
Before the flight, Cmdr. Thompson told Coast Guard HQ in San Francisco that the ship's radiomen had more work than they could handle. Earhart's flight   -   especially Black's messages and press reports   -   had greatly increased radio traffic. On board were one chief radioman and three inexperienced radiomen 3rd class. Thompson asked HQ for experienced radiomen 1st class. None was available.
 
Black got from the Navy the experienced radiomen Thompson required. Thompson refused them. The Itasca was not a Navy ship.
 
 
 
Image result for radio operator on  the USCG cutter Itasca 1930s
A photo of a radioman in the radio room of USCGC Tahoe, sister ship of the Itasca, in the 1930s. The radio room was the same on both ships.
 
 
USCG Itasca (Call sign: NRUI)
 
- Leo Bellarts, Chief Radioman, USCG (DC)
- Thomas O'Hare, Radioman 3rd Class, USCG 
(TO)
- William Galten, Radioman 3rd Class, USCG (BG)
- George Thompson, Radioman 3rd Class, USCG (Call sign: ?)
 
Howland Island (Call sign: NRUI 2)
 
- Frank Cipriani, Radioman 2nd Class, USCG
 
Howland ham radio operators:
 
- Yau Fai Lum  (Call sign: K6GNW)
- Henry Lau (K6GAS)
- Ah Kin Leong (K6ODC)
 
Note that Yau Fai Lum is often confused with Paul Yat Lum, a ham radio operator stationed on Baker Island at the time.
 
Henry Lau and Paul Yat Lum boarded the Itasca in Honolulu. Paul Yat Lum got off on Baker Island on 25 June. Ah Kin Leong, a ham radio operator, left Baker on 25 June to transfer to Jarvis. Due to subsequent events, the Itasca could not make her scheduled call at Jarvis. 


There were two operators in the ship's radio room at all times. They listened for Earhart through twin earphones   -   to two frequencies at once, a different frequency in each phone.
 
Earhart was heard also over a loud speaker in the radio room. The speaker was for any third frequency, as required, but could be switched to any frequency.
 
Chief Radioman Leo Bellarts and Radioman 3rd Class Thomas O’Hare were on the early morning watch in the radio room on 2 July. They manned radios at two positions, Position 1 and Position 2. Bellarts at Position 2 worked Earhart's flight only. O'Hare at Position 1 handled radio traffic with other stations but could listen in or hear Earhart's voice over the loud speaker when it was turned on. Positions 1 and 2 kept separate radio logs.
 
According to Cmdr. Thompson, the loud speaker was turned on just after midnight, at 12:04 a. m. In an interview in 1973, Bellarts recalled that he turned the loud speaker off because it received only loud static. He turned it on again several hours later.
 
There are no audio recordings of Earhart's messages by voice (or any signals in Morse Code) over the radio telephone. The operators did not necessarily record her exact words as they logged her messages. Parts of some messages were not recorded. Some messages were not logged. The original logs were a rough record of communications. The logs were edited later for presentation. However, the original log for Position 2, kept by Bellarts and Galten, is available.
 
The Itasca radiomen were unfamiliar with aviation communication and may have made mistakes in logging Earhart's messages. Chief Radioman Bellarts was a veteran radio operator with plane guard experience but he was not familar with aviation communication. The logs were "changed" "here and there" later by Cmdr. Thompson, who also was unfamilar with aviation communication.
 
As noted above, it was customary for a pilot to report with each message the plane's position, altitude, speed and weather such as wind speed and cloud formations. In marked contrast to Harry Balfour's reports (as reported by Chater and Callopy), the Itasca radio operators never logged a customary radio report from Earhart.
 
They never logged a report of the speed of the plane or the wind.
 
They logged the plane's altitude only once and a weather report only once.
 
They logged two reports of the plane's approximate distance from Howland but without coordinates.
 
They never logged a precise position report. According to the logs, one operator requested position reports twice in the last twenty-three minutes of the flight. Not long afterward, Earhart reported an apparent landfall but without coordinates.
 
In his later Radio Transcripts, Cmdr. Thompson, citing "witnesses", claimed Earhart was asked her position twice in the early morning hours after her first intelligible message was received. These position requests were not answered. They were not logged. The loud speaker might not have been on yet.
 
Many persons not directly involved in the ship's radio operations visited the radio room. Some returned. Several Army Air Corps pilots, including Cooper. Others were from the Navy. Some were from the Department of Interior, including Black. Two press reporters, representing the Associated Press (AP) and United Press (UP), had covered Earhart's flight in March.
 
Before departing Lae, Earhart informed the Itasca that she would broadcast every hour at quarter past the hour and perhaps also at quarter to the hour on 3105 kcs. She would listen for the Itasca every half-hour on the hour.
 
It has been pointed out that, according to the logs, the Itasca radio operators did not always send messages on schedule 
and also sent messages when they should have been listening instead.  
 
Howland Island was on Hawaii time, which was 10 1/2 hours behind GMT (00:00 GMT on 2 July minus 10 1/2 hours is 1:30 p. m. on 1 July). The Itasca was in a particular US Navy time zone, 11 1/2 hours behind GMT (00:00 GMT on 2 July - 11:30 hours = 12:30 p. m. on 1 July). Howland was one hour ahead of the Itasca. The radio operators on the Itasca referred to the US Navy time zone instead of GMT. The radio operators on Howland referred to the Howland time zone.
 
At 06:00 GMT, 2 July (6:30 p. m. on 1 July, Itasca time), Coast Guard HQ in San Francisco informed the Itasca of a UP report that Earhart had taken off six hours earlier.  
 
Cipriani was sent ashore to man the Navy HF RDF.
 
The Navy HF RDF on Howland was set up inside a canvas tent at the airfield. Cipriani turned it on at 10:00 p. m. (Howland time) (9:00 p. m. Itasca time) on 1 July (8:30 GMT, 2 July) (08:30 ET). The radio log available is not the original log but one prepared later by Cipriani for presentation.
 
Earhart's call sign was KHAQQ (K-H-A-Q-Q).

 
 
hd1-123399353
A page from the original radio log of Position 2 in the radio room of the Itasca with radio messages from 3:00 to 8:06 a. m. on 2 July (Itasca time) (14:30 - 19:36 GMT). Position 2 was manned by Bellarts till 07:18 a. m. (18:48 GMT) and by Radioman 3rd Class Galten afterwards.
 
 
Bellarts:
 
(13:45 - 50 GMT) (ET) 02:15 - 02:20: Nothing heard on 3105.

 
Bellarts:
 
(13:58 GMT) 02:28: Sent weather on 7500.

 
Note that all transmissions from the Itasca on 7500 were sent in Morse Code by telegraph. 

 
O'Hare:
 
(14:00 GMT) 02:30: Sending A's on 7500 kcs as per sked.
 

Note: The letter A was repeated in Morse Code.
 

Bellarts:
 
(14:15 - 18 GMT) 02:45 - 48: Heard Earhart plane. But unreadable thru static.
 
O'Hare:
 
(14:15 GMT) 02:45: Able hear Earhart at (on 3105).

 
Earhart was heard on her night-time frequency of 3105 kcs.
 
Earhart's message was, as planned, a half-hourly report at quarter past the hour GMT.
 
This was the first sound of Earhart heard by the Itasca. If there was anything to Doyle's telegram, this was also the first anyone heard Earhart since Nauru heard a last unintelligible message two hours and forty-five minutes earlier, at 11:30 GMT (11:30 ET).   
 
In his Cruise Report, an account of the expedition, Richard Black recalled that he reached the radio room at 3:45 a. m. He could have been in the radio room for an hour or so before sunrise.

 
One hour later:
 
O'Hare:
 
(15:15 GMT) 03:45: Heard Earhart plane on 3105.
 
Bellarts:
 
(15:15 GMT) 03:45: Earhart heard fone. Will listen on hour and half on 3105 says she. 

 
This was another scheduled hourly or half-hourly report GMT.
 
This was the first intelligible message from Earhart heard by the Itasca
 
In his later report, Lt. Cooper recalled that he reached the radio toom at 3:46 a. m. 
 
There is no record of half-hourly broadcasts by Earhart at 15:45 GMT (4:15 Itasca time) or 16:15 GMT (4:45 Itasca time).  

 
One hour and eight minutes later:
 
Bellarts:
 
(16:23 GMT) 04:53: Sent weather / Code / fone / 3105 kcs. Heard Earhart. Part cloudy.

 
"Part cloudy" was erased and crossed out in the radio log. The line below also was crossed out (and may have been erased before crossing out). "Part cloudy" appears to have been typed in at a later time. In an interview in 1973, Bellarts 
recalled that he made a mistake in crossing out the words and that Earhart did say "part cloudy".
 
Black recalled that Earhart said "overcast". 
 
The radio logs do not mention "overcast".
 
In his Cruise Report, Cmdr. Thompson recounted that 
"overcast" was heard over the radio room loud speaker by witnesses.
 
In 1973, Bellarts maintained that Earhart said "part cloudy"   -   not "overcast". According to Bellarts, the loud speaker was not on at the time and the persons who claimed Earhart said "overcast" could not have heard it.
 
Thompson included both accounts in his Cruise Report.   
 
If Earhart said "part cloudy", Noonan might make some observations of the stars and calculate the plane's position.
 
If Earhart said "overcast", the ceiling was obscured and Noonan could not observe the stars.
 
This was the only weather report from Earhart logged by the Itasca.
 

O'Hare:
 
(16:25 GMT) 04:55: Earhart broke in on fone 3105. ???? Now unreadable.  
 

There is no record of half-hourly broadcasts at 16:45 GMT (5:15 Itasca time) or 17:15 GMT (5:45 Itasca time).

 
At sunrise on Howland   -   6:10 a. m. (Itasca time) (7:10 a. m. Howland time) (17:40 GMT)  -   a landing party headed for shore to wait for the plane. The party included Black, Cooper, the two press men, the plane's maintenance crew and the ship's lieutenant commander.
 
It should be noted that most of the persons later quoted as witnesses to events in the radio room left before sunrise or were not present after sunrise. They cited the radio logs or passed on second and third-hand reports.

 
One hour and 17 minutes after Earhart's last message:
 
O'Hare:
 
(17:42 GMT) 06:12: Earhart on 3105 now. Wants bearing 3105.
 
O'Hare:
 
(17:43 GMT) 06:13: 200 miles out.   
 
Bellarts:
 
(17:44 GMT) 06:14: Wants bearing on 3105. On hour. Will whistle in mic.
 
Bellarts:
 
(17:45 GMT) 06:15: About 200 miles out. Approximately. Whistling. Now.

 
Earhart's message was a scheduled half-hourly broadcast.
 
The distance mentioned should be in nautical miles.
 
Where was the plane? Earhart's message was not a precise position report. She did not give coordinates.   

Flying over a vast and empty sea, how did Earhart know she was 200 miles out   -   or approximately 200 miles from Howland?

A celestial navigator estimates his position on his flight path by observations of the celestial sphere and by dead reckoning.

The navigator notes the positions of the sun during the day and the moon, planets, stars and constellations at night. He consults nautical and aeronautical almanacs. He applies trigonometry to obtain his coordinates from the positions of the stars. Fixes from two or three stars give him his approximate position both north-south and east-west. An observation of the sun gives him his approximate position east-west.  

Dead reckoning (DR) (or deduced reckoning, as it was later also called) is an estimate of one's position by a calculation of the distance flown over the plane's track from a certain point   -   a recognisable geographical feature or a celestial fix   -   and the time of the run with the plane's true air speed against the speed of the wind.

The dead reckoning run to this point could have been from Lae, Choiseul Island, Nukumanu Atoll, the Ontario, Nauru, Ocean Island, one of the Gilbert Islands or the most recent star fix.

Noonan probably got a last position fix from two or three stars during the half-hour equatorial nautical twilight 40 to 20 minutes before sunrise, probably between 17:10 and 17:30 GMT. He would know his approximate position and could estimate where the plane would be at the time of Earhart's broadcast at quarter to the hour.  

If 200 nautical miles west of Howland, the plane was crossing the International Date Line (IDL) (180th Meridian, or Anti-Meridian) between the Gilbert Islands and Howland Island. The plane was about 215 miles northeast of Arorae Island and 420 miles east of Tarawa.

By the local time zones below, the plane flew from the early morning of 3 July back into the morning of 2 July.
 
If on a direct flight path from Lae, the plane was crossing also the equator.

Earhart and Noonan had flown more than 90% of their course to Howland.

If Earhart and Noonan were 200 miles out at 17:45 GMT (ET), they had flown 2,201 nautical miles in 17 3/4 hours for an average ground speed of about 114 knots. Flying against 20 to 25-knot winds most of the track their true airspeed was 134 to 139 knots. However, the plane did not necessarily fly a straight path to this point.     

If Earhart and Noonan saw Nukumanu at 07:18 GMT they flew 1,268 nm in 10 hours and 25 minutes (or 10.4 hours) for an average ground speed of 122 knots (142 to 147 knots true air speed).

If Earhart saw the Ontario at 10:30 GMT her average ground speed at 17:43 - 45 GMT was 124 to 125 knots (144 to 150 knots true air speed).

If 200 miles out at 17:43 - 45 GMT, with an average ground speed was about 125 knots, the plane should reach the island in 96 minutes, around 19:20 GMT. 

If Earhart saw Nauru or the Myrtlebank at 10:30 GMT and crossed the IDL at 17:43 - 45 GMT the plane's average ground speed was 108 to 110 knots (128 to 135 knots true air speed). The plane could arrive at Howland shortly after 19:30 GMT.
   
If the plane was at 8,000 ft. the horizon was about 100 nm. ahead. Sunrise on Howland on 2 July 1937 was at 6:10 a. m. Itasca time) (17:40 GMT). If 200 miles out when Earhart broadcast at 17:43 and 17:45 GMT (6:13 and 6:15 a. m. Itasca time), the sun was rising over Howland but not yet on the plane's horizon. 

At the equator, the earth rotates to the east at about 894 knots, or about 15 knots per minute. If about 200 nm. west of Howland at 17:43 - 45 GMT (6:13 - 15 a. m. Itasca time), at an altitude of 8,000 feet and flying at an average ground speed of 125 knots, or 2.1 knots per minute, the sun would appear on 
the horizon ahead of the plane in five to six minutes, around 17:50 GMT (5:20 a. m. Itasca time), ten minutes after sunrise on Howland. At 17:45 GMT, Earhart was viewing Civil Twilight ahead. In three to four minutes, she would see a false sunrise   -   a refraction above the horizon of the sun's actual position 
below the horizon.

The plane was late. The winds and a run around bad weather had delayed it.

Without the stars to guide him, Noonan would have only the sun to give him his latest position east-west. For his position north-south, he would have to rely on his last star fix during nautical twilight.

 
An entry in the ship's deck log, Record of the Miscellaneous Events of the Day, kept by Lt. (junior grade) W. J. Sevarstan, notes that the Itasca commenced laying smoke from its funnels to signal Earhart at 6:14 (Itasca time).

The thick black smoke did not climb high up in the air as hoped. With the 8 to 15-knot surface winds, the smoke drifted slightly above ship level to the south and west and, it was claimed, for ten miles or more. If Earhart and Noonan were on their original flight path, approaching Howland on a heading of 78 degrees (true) (east by north) from Lae, they might see the smoke. How long the ship laid smoke was not recorded. 

 
Earhart asked for a bearing on 3105. Earhart knew the Itasca RDF could not take a bearing on frequencies higher than 550 kcs. Thus, it would appear that Earhart's request was intended for the HF RDF on Howland   -   and she knew of its presence there.

Earhart asked for a bearing on her messages "on hour"   -   15 minutes hence at 18:00 GMT (6: 30 a. m. Itasca time) (7:30 a. m. Howland time). Some have wondered if the Itasca radiomen went by Itasca time and thought "on hour" meant 7:00 a. m. (18:30 GMT)   -   45 minutes hence.
 
Earhart asked the Itasca to take a bearing on her voice. The log appears to indicate that Earhart demonstrated a whistle in the microphone. In 1973, Bellarts recalled that Earhart did not actually whistle. She called out in a high voice: "Aaaaaahhhhhh!"

 
On Howland Island, Frank Cipriani manned the Navy's RDF. Three Chinese colonists from Hawaii   -   ham radio operators Yau Fai Lum, Henry Lau and Ah Kin Leong   -   listened to the broadcasts by Earhart and the Itasca. Cipriani and the three colonists maintained radio contact with the Itasca. They kept the original radio log.

 
Cipriani:
 
(17:47 GMT) (6:17 a. m. Itasca time) 7:17 a. m. Howland Island time:
 
- Picked up Earhart (Using long antenna, strength 3, hardly any carrier, seemed overmodulated, switched over to loop for bearing, strength 1 to 0. She stopped transmission.) Bearing nil. 3105 (kcs.) 
 

The Itasca radio room passed Earhart's request for a bearing to Howland.
 
O'Hare:
 
(17:50 - 17:52 GMT) 06:20 - 06:22 - Worked Howland and passed on the dope. Told him take bearings on 3105 etc.

 
Cipriani:
 
(17:55 GMT) 6:25 a. m. Itasca time  -  7:25 a. m. Howland Island time:
 
Worked Itasca (Requesting bearing on plane). (Message) received.

 
As mentioned previously, Lt. Cooper pointed out in his later report that the Howland RDF was not calibrated before the flight (to take bearings on 3105 kcs.). Cooper also noted that radio bearings on high-frequency (shortwave) signals were unreliable at distances beyond their optical path. If the plane was 200 miles out, the Howland RDF was unlikely to take a bearing. Thus, some wonder if Earhart imagined a Pan Am 
Adcock HF RDF on Howland. That is unlikely.
 
Earhart could only hope the Navy HF RDF, whatever its capabilities, if any, could take a bearing on her. 

 
Richard Black had appointed James Kamakaiwi to greet Earhart and Noonan as the island's "chief resident" when they arrived. Kamakaiwi had travelled on the Itasca from Honolulu for the occasion.
 
At 18:00 GMT (6:30 a. m. Itasca time; 7:30 a. m. Howland time), Kamakaiwi recorded in the island's log:
 
"We watched the sky, hoping to pick the plane out against white cumulus clouds which were all around the horizon."

 
Twenty-five minutes after Earhart's last message:
 
O'Hare:
 
(18:12 - 18:13 GMT) 06:42 - 06:44: Earhart on now. Reception fairly clear now.
 

Bellarts:
 
(18:15-16 GMT) 06:45-46: Please take bearing on us and report in half hour. I will make noise in mic. - About 100 miles out. -  

 
This message was a scheduled half-hourly broadcast.

The words "about 100 miles out" appear to have been typed onto the log (inserted) at a later time.
 
This message was not logged by O'Hare.
 
Earhart did not report a precise position.

If Earhart covered 100 miles in 30 minutes, her average ground speed was 200 miles per hour   -   possible but most unlikely. The distances mentioned would have to be approximate. Probably a correction. From an observation of the sun ten minutes after sunrise (with less atmospheric distortion), Noonan had made a new estimate of the plane's position east-west.

If Earhart was on her planned path and 100 miles out, the plane was half-way between Howland and the IDL
 
Initially, Earhart and Noonan had planned to arrive on Howland in 18 hours, at 18:00 GMT. If Earhart and Noonan were 100 miles out at 18:15 GMT they were probably 45 minutes from Howland. They would increase speed during the descent but reduce speed on approach. They should arrive not long after 19:00 GMT.
 
In 1973, Bellarts recalled that Earhart's messages were very loud and clear at this point and remained so.

 
O'Hare logged a similar message:
 
(18:17 GMT) 06:47: Want bearing and wants rept in 1/2 hour.

   
"Rept" should be an abbreviation for "repeat" but here seems to mean "report".
 
One does not wait a half-hour for a report on a bearing. A bearing should be reported immediately.
 
Perhaps Earhart requested an immediate bearing followed by a report on it ON (not "in") the half-hour, thus 13 minutes hence, at 18:30 GMT, when the Itasca was to broadcast scheduled messages. Or a bearing ON the half-hour with an immediate report of it.
 
Earhart may have asked for an immediate bearing and an immediate report of it and another bearing, on her next scheduled broadcast (next report) as well, hence in one-half hour, and an immediate report of it too. 

 
Cipriani, Howland Island:
 
(18:17 GMT) (6:47 a. m. Itasca time) 7:47 a. m. Howland time:
 
Am using the DF and receiving set sparingly due to heavy drainage of batteries. The batteries are of low AM-hour capacity.
 
Earhart on air. Strength 4. "Give me a bearing." Earhart did not test for bearing. Her transmission too short for bearing. Static transmission strength 5. Her carrier is completely modulated. Could not get a bearing due to above reasons. 3105 (kcs.)  

 
Howland heard Earhart's broadcast on 3105 but it was too short to get a bearing on it.
 
Bearings on voice by radio telephone are much less reliable than Morse signals by telegraph.
 
The Howland RDF was on all night. Its batteries were running down. Howland appears to have been out of the picture from this point. Obviously, sufficient preparations were not made before the flight.

 
Bellarts:
 
(18:48 GMT) 7:18 a. m.: - Fone to Earhart / Cannot take bearing on 3105 very good / Please send on 500 or do you wish take bearing on us / Go ahead please.
 
No answer.

 
At 18:55 GMT -  7:25 a. m. (Itasca time) -  Bellarts was relieved by Radioman 3rd Class William Galten. Galten worked Earhart's flight only. O'Hare and Galten kept separate logs of radio messages and times.
 
Bellarts left the radio room to check on the ship's RDF, operated by Radioman 3rd Class George Thompson, on the ship's bridge, in case Earhart managed to transmit on 500 kcs. The RDF heard nothing. The RDF was left on and manned by Radioman Thompson.
 
Bellarts returned to the radio room five minutes later. He stood by, "at all times", as O'Hare and Galten operated the two radios, for three more hours. Bellarts was not working the radios but he could hear Earhart over the loud speaker in the radio room (on 3105). In 1973, Bellarts recalled also that he wore earphones attached to a long cord. Bellarts may have been in and out of the radio room. In most accounts of Earhart's flight offered decades later, Galten is mistakenly identified as Bellarts.  
 
 
 
Image result for Radioman 3rd Class William Galten.
A photo of a radioman in the radio room of USCGC Tahoe, sister ship of the Itasca, in the 1930s. The radio room was the same on both ships.
 
 
At 19:00 GMT (7:30 a. m. Itasca time; 8:30 a. m. Howland time), Kamakaiwi recorded:
 
"To the northwest was a big bank of clouds."

 
Almost an hour passed without a message from Earhart. By now, Earhart and Noonan should have been on Howland or within sight of it.

 
 
The island not sighted

Related image
 

Fifty-five minutes after Earhart's last message:

O'Hare:
 
(19:10 GMT) (ET) 07:40: Earhart on now. Says running out of gas. Only 1/2 hour left. Can't hear us at all. We hear her and are sending on 3105 and 500 at same time constantly.
 
A similar message was reported by
 
Galten:
 
(19:12 GMT) (ET) 07:42: KHAQQ calling Itasca. We must on XX you but cannot see you. But gas is running low. Been unable to reach you by radio. We are flying at 1,000 feet.

 
XX = two characters x-ed out in the log.
 
"We must on XX you" has been interpreted as "We must be on you" and "We must be over you".
 
This was the only report of the plane's altitude logged by the Itasca.
 
Apparently, Earhart and Noonan thought they were within sighting distance of Howland. The island should be minutes away.
 
Flying at 1,000 feet, the plane's slant visibility was probably 25 to 30 miles.
 
It would appear that Earhart and Noonan expected to arrive 
between 19:15 and 19:30 GMT. According to Cmdr. Thompson, Earhart was expected around 19:30 GMT (8:00 a. m. Itasca time). Apparently, the ship revised the plane's ETA from 18:00 to 19:30 GMT, probably after the messages logged at 17:43 and 17:45 GMT   -   "200 miles out".  
 
The plane's position at this time is not known.
 
Assuming the plane was on course, on a direct heading of 78 degrees north (true) (east by north), it should appear on the horizon at 258 degrees (true) (west by south).
 
If the plane flew 35 nautical miles south of Nauru to obtain a bearing, it approached Howland on a heading of 85 degrees (true) (between due east and east by north) and it would be seen from Howland on the horizon at 265 degrees (true) (between due west and west by south).
 
The earth's curvature limits the visibility of an observer at sea-level to 20 miles. (On a clear day, one can see across the English Channel   -   20 miles or more away.) A plane flying at 1,000 feet can be seen from a greater distance. On a clear day such as this, a plane at 1,000 feet could be spotted from an island 25 to 30 miles away.
 
A celestial navigator can never be fully certain of his position. He must allow for a margin of error in his observations. He calculates his Most Probable Position (MPP). The winds can change. In Noonan's day, a celestial navigator could be 90 percent certain that he was within ten miles of his MPP. On his chart, he drew a circle about his MPP   -   the MPP at the centre   -   with a ten-mile radius. He was somewhere within a circle with a ten-mile radius and 20-mile diametre. In navigational terms, this is his Area of Uncertainty. 

A navigator allowed also for a margin of error of ten percent of the distance flown from his starting point   -   a geographical feature or his last celestial fix   -   to his Dead Reckoning point (DR) at his ETA. This is the dead reckoned run. (The flight track can be referred to as the "speed line".) Winds might be stronger than expected.  

Simply stated, if the plane's ground speed is 100 knots and the distance from the navigator's starting point, an airfield, to his target   -   his DR   -   is 100 nautical miles, after flying straight for one hour the plane should be within ten nm. of its DR. The DR is within a circle with a ten-nm. radius and 20-nm. diametre.

If the navigator's reference point at the start of the run was a celestial fix ("start fix"), the circle with the 10-mile radius about the plane's MPP at that point is added to the circle with the ten-mile radius about the plane's DR point. Thus, at the ETA the plane should be within 20 miles of the island.

The Area of Uncertainty is a circle with a radius of 20 miles and a diametre of 40 miles.

However, the plane might be 20 miles short of its DR or 20 miles past it. The plane could be 20 miles to the left or right of its DR. The plane, at its DR, is within 20 miles of the island in any direction    -    north, south, east or west.

Earlier, in May, Noonan navigated all the way across the Gulf of Mexico at night by celestial observations and dead reckoning and Earhart reached Miami at dawn. Earhart and Noonan flew blind across the Atlantic from Brazil to Senegal. Earhart followed her compass. Noonan dead-reckoned all the way. According to Earhart, they reached the African coast some eighty miles north of Dakar. According to Noonan's chart, they may have reached the coast several miles to the east and south of Dakar.

If Earhart and Noonan flew blind all the way from Lae to Howland   -   keeping to a straight path and dead reckoning by the plane's speed, drift and forecast winds   -   after 18 hours they should have flown 2,221 nm. and, allowing for a ten percent margin of error, their DR, the island, should be within an Area of Uncertainty that is a circle with a radius of 222 nm. and a diametre of 444 nm. There is a ten percent chance that the plane could be farther than 222 nm. from the island.

If Earhart and Noonan saw Nukumanu on the way, they had a solid reference point closer to Howland. They noted the time and might revise their ETA. Thus, after flying a certain number of hours and minutes from Nukumanu, they could assume they had flown 1,471 nm. and, allowing for a margin of error of ten percent, their DR   -   Howland   -   should be within a circle with a radius of 147 nm. and a diametre of 294 nm.

If Earhart and Noonan saw the Ontario, they had a closer reference point to Howland. They might revise their ETA again. After flying a certain number of hours and minutes they could assume they had flown 1,106 nm. and, allowing for a ten percent margin of error, the plane and Howland should be within a circle with a radius of 111 nm. and a diametre of 222 miles. The plane should be within 111 nm. of the island within the circle, or Area of Uncertainty.

If they saw Nauru, 990 nm. from Howland, at their ETA, their DR was within a circle with a radius of 99 nm. and a diametre of 198 nm.

If the night sky was clear and Noonan got a celestial fix during nautical twilight and estimated he was some 250 nm. from Howland, then, at his ETA his DR, Howland, should be within a circle with a radius of 25 miles and a diametre of 50 miles. Adding the circle with the ten-mile radius about his MPP at his nautical twilight star fix, Noonan's Area of Uncertainty at his DR was a circle with a radius of 35 miles and a diametre of 70 miles.

The plane should be within 35 miles of the island. There was a ten percent chance that the plane could be more than 35 miles from the island.

After sunrise, the navigator observed the sun to estimate his MPP east-west, accurate to within ten nautical miles to the east or west, and plotted his dead reckoning run to the east. 

If Noonan observed the sun 75 nm. from the island, at his ETA his MPP was within 17.5 miles to the east or west of the island.

Thus, at the ETA the navigational Area of Uncertainty was a rectangle 35 miles east-west and 70 miles north-south. The plane was within 17.5 miles to the east or west of its DR and within 35 miles to the north or south of it. 

Which way is the island? Portside, to the north? Or south, to starboard? Father ahead to the east? Or astern, back to the west?

It is often assumed that the plane was west of the island, somewhere over the horizon, short of its destination, at this time, and it may have been.

It is believed, however, for reasons mentioned below, that the plane made its approach towards Howland not from the west, on a direct easterly heading from Lae, but from the north or south. The plane deliberately diverted from its direct easterly path at some distance from the island to approach it from the north or, posssibly, from the south, before turning north or south, whichever case, towards it. (See Line of Position Approach below.)

In any case, the plane may have been to the west of the island at this time.

In his Cruise Report, Cmdr. Thompson recorded that the weather was excellent within a 40-mile radius of Howland, the sea calm, 8 to 15-mph. winds from the east, and the sky completely clear (an unlimited ceiling).

Visibility was unlimited to the east and south and clear to the horizon north and west.
 
But beyond the horizon to the north and west there were "continuous banks of heavy cumulus clouds" at 2,000 feet.
 
Exactly when Earhart descended to 1,000 feet is not known.

It could be assumed that Earhart descended to 1,000 feet in anticipation of landing on Howland. 

Earhart might have descended from 8,000 feet, where the winds were 20 knots, to have the lighter 8 to 15-knot winds at 1,000 feet.

Some thought Earhart descended to go below cumulous clouds to better spot the island. Thus, some assumed the plane was somewhere over the horizon to the north or west of Howland. 

In an interview in 1973, Bellarts did not recall bad weather or thick clouds to the north. There were "little puffy clouds" with "plenty of blue between them."

 
 
Related image
Thick banks of cumulus clouds at 2,000 feet beyond the horizon, forty nautical miles to the north and west of Howland Island, as they would have appeared on the morning of 2 July 1937.  
 
 
Following customary procedure, Earhart's messages, as reported by Balfour (Chater and Callopy) in Lae, mentioned the presence of cumulus clouds. Aside from the early morning "part cloudy" message, the Itasca radio logs do not include a weather report from Earhart. There is no report of cumulus clouds by Earhart. If cumulus clouds were present, Earhart would have mentioned them.
 
It is often pointed out that from 1,000 feet up and less than 20 miles away it is difficult to distinguish Howland from cloud shadows on the ocean surface. But at the time the sky was cloudless above Howland and in all directions to the horizon.
 
It is often pointed out also that even on a perfect day, with a cloudless sky, it is difficult to find Howland Island from 1,000 feet above and less than ten miles away. But a plane at that distance and altitude would certainly be seen by anyone on the island.
 
It was thought possible that the glare of the sun rising in the east obscured the flyers' view of the island and the smoke. But a plane at 1,000 feet within 25 miles would have been seen from the island. If the plane approached the island from the north or south the sun, rising in the east, would not obscure the view ahead from the plane's cockpit.
 
The plane was not spotted by anyone on the Itasca or Howland Island. It was beyond the horizon and at least 25 miles away. It was short of the island and to the west   -   or wide of it and to the north or south. It could have passed the island to the north or south. It could be somewhere to the east of the island.
 
If the plane was to the southeast, it might see Baker Island, 42 miles southeast of Howland, or Baker might see the plane.
 
There was some question about Earhart's fuel supply. She may have said "gas is running low". She may have said "only 1/2 hour left". She may have said both.
 
If the plane had 30 minutes of fuel left, it's engines could run until 19:45 GMT.  

In 1973, Bellarts recalled that Earhart said she was low on fuel. He maintained that she did not say she had one-half hour of fuel remaining. Bellarts recalled that the remark was added to the log later by Cmdr. Thompson while preparing a report on the way back to Honolulu or San Francisco   -   during a conference with Bellarts, the ship's lieutenant commander, the communications officer and the navigator. Bellarts believed the insertion was influenced by press reports. The press men were on Howland at the time. Thus, someone   -   perhaps O'Hare   -   told them later, when they returned to the ship, that Earhart said she had 30 minutes of fuel left. Thompson cited both accounts in his reports. 

If one calculated a fuel consumption rate of 50 gallons per hour, with 1,050 gallons after take-off, the plane could fly for 21 hours, to 21:00 GMT (ET) (9:30 a. m. Itasca time). In 19 hours and 12 minutes of flight, Earhart could have burned 960 
gallons of fuel. She would have 90 to 100 gallons left, for 
about two more hours of flight, to 21:12 GMT.

However, the plane's level of fuel consumption was not expected to remain even or constant throughout the flight. The plane would consume more than 50 gph in the first six to eight hours   -   and much less afterward, down to 38 gph.

Many conditions could change the rate of fuel consumption.

It is known that Earhart had enough fuel for another hour of flight. Perhaps more. Thus, she could have said "gas is running low".

Flying at an altitude of 1,000 feet, Earhart could reduce speed and save fuel. She might stretch her remaining fuel supply.
  
Bellarts recalled later that Earhart's messages, heard over the speaker, were so loud at this point that he left the radio room to watch her fly in.
 
But Earhart could not hear the ItascaApparently, she could not hear 500, 3105 and 7500. She had "been unable to reach you by radio".
 
Earhart and Noonan did not see the island. Searching for it could take some time. With no island in sight and low on fuel, or with a half-hour of fuel left, a ditching at sea was a possible eventuality.

Thus, radio contact with the Itasca was crucial. A radio bearing was essential.

 
Galten:
 
(19:13 - 16 GMT) 7:43 - 46 a. m.: Itasca to KHAQQ - Message received. QSA 5 received. Stand by (500 and 3105) Go ahead. 
 
Unanswered.  
 
QSA: Received your signals at maximum strength.

 
Sixteen minutes after Earhart's last message:
 
Galten:
 
(19:28 GMT) 07:58: KHAQQ calling Itasca. We are circling but cannot hear you. Go ahead on 7500 with a long count either now or on the scheduled time on 1/2 hour.
 
Added note:
 
Earhart's voice over the radio telephone received at maximum strength  

 
Apparently, Earhart had not heard messages on 3105 sent to her by the Itasca.
 
Earhart asked for a long signal on 7500. Why 7500? Did she intend to take a bearing? Why not ask for a long signal on 3105? Why not 500 kcs.? That would be much better. Perhaps she could not hear 500 and 3105.
 
In response, the Itasca transmitted on 7500.
 
The meaning of "circling" has been questioned. In the original radio log, it appears that the word may have been "drifting". It was later erased and "circling" typed over it. Earhart's exact words are not known.
 
The Itasca radio operators were not experienced in aviation radio communication. They might not have understood the word.
 
At this point, "circling" could mean that Earhart and Noonan were circling over an area they believed to be Howland.
 
It is generally believed that Earhart and Noonan, unable to find the island, were flying a circular holding pattern while listening for radio signals from the Itasca to take a bearing with the plane's RDF.
 
 
 
Image result for a simple circle within a square
Circular or sqaure holding pattern
 
 
If the plane had sufficient fuel, which is unlikely, Earhart might fly an expanding circle or square search pattern for the island.
 
 
Image result for plane flying a circle
Expanding circular search pattern
 
 
Image result for square box search pattern (nautical)
Expanding square search pattern
 
 
Did Earhart say "drifting"?
 
Was Earhart referring to radio frequency-drift? Was she having difficulty tuning her radio receiver?
 
Was Noonan testing wind drift?
 
Had the plane drifted off-course? Did the winds from the north-northeast blow the plane south of its intended path? How far to the south? Or had Earhart drifted to the north?
 
Did Noonan tell Earhart to correct drift?
 
Did Noonan tell Earhart to follow drift? Was the plane diverting from its straight path from Lae to approach the island in the direction of drift to the north or south? (See below.)
 
Some claimed that Earhart's radio transmissions were strongest, or loudest, at this time, that she was closest to the island at this point and her distance from Howland increased afterward. This is not evident from the radio logs, however, which note that the strength of Earhart's broadcasts remained constant from this time.

 
Cipriani, Howland:
 
(19:29 GMT) 07:59 Itasca time; 08:59 Howland time:
 
Batteries weak.
 
Voice on 3105. Came in at end of transmission. 3105.

 
The Howland RDF's batteries were almost dead. The Howland RDF appears to have been useless at this point   -   and may have been for the past hour.

 
O'Hare:
 
(19:30 GMT) 8:00: Amelia on again at 0800. Says hears us on 7.5 megacycles. Go ahead. 

 
Apparently, Earhart heard the radio signal on 7500 she requested from the Itasca. She asked the Itasca to send it again. The Itasca responded with more signals on 7500.

 
Galten:
 
(19:30 - 19:33 GMT) 08:00 - 08:03: KHAQQ calling Itasca. We received your signals but unable to get a minimum. Please take bearing on us and answer 3105 with voice.
 
KHAQQ to Itasca   -   sending long dashes on 3105.

 
The above two messages logged are the only indication that Earhart ever heard the Itasca. The last message is the only direct acknowledgement by Earhart to signals   -   or messages   -   from the Itasca. This may have been the only time she heard anything during the entire flight.
 
The plane's position is not known. Its radio signals were strong, at maximum strength, indicating it could not be too far. However, signals from a 50-watt radio transmitter in the early morning can sound louder than at other times and do not necessarily indicate close proximity.
 
Apparently, Earhart heard the radio signals she requested on 7500. She took a bearing on them but could not get a minimum.
 
If Earhart took a bearing, it could be assumed the radio receiver received the signals from the loop antenna. Did she hear them also on a receiving wire antenna before switching to the loop? Or could she hear them only from the loop? 
 
Cmdr. Thompson seems to have doubted the radio logs at this point. An RDF could not take a bearing on 7500, he pointed out. The attempt would be useles. (Did Earhart really request signals on 7500? Did she really try to take a bearing on 7500?) Thompson suggested Earhart heard "other signals". The radio logs do not mention signals to Earhart sent on 500 or 3105 at this time.
 
As Cooper pointed out, radio bearings on high-frequency (shortwave) signals were unreliable at distances beyond their optical path, especially in the early morning.

Cooper added that the optical range of bearings taken from an altitude of 1,000 feet   -   or on a plane at that altitude   -   particularly in the early morning, was approximately 40 miles or less. Earhart would have to be within 40 n. m. of Howland to get a bearing on the island   -   and for the island to get a bearing on her. (Source: Cooper.)
 
Lt. Cooper, in his later report, thought Earhart probably got a null but not in the direction she expected and so ignored it. How so? Such opinion requires an explanation. How could Earhart possibly get a null on signals on 7500? More likely a null on 500. Perhaps on 3105, if she was close enough to the island. What was the intent of this comment? (See below.)
 
In 1973, Bellarts said he believed the Itasca radio signals were probably too strong for Earhart to get a "minumum".
 
Earhart asked the Itasca to take a bearing on her signals and report to her on 3105. This message had to be for the RDF operator on Howland. 

 
Galten:
 
(19:30 - 19:33 GMT) 08:00 - 08:03 a. m.: NRUI 2 DE NRUI  - P AR

 
Note: To Howland from Itasca - P AR
 
P = Priority!
AR = Respond!

 
Howland replied:
 
Galten:
 
(19:34 GMT) 8:04 a. m.:
 
NRUI 2 GIVING TO DPE TT NO SIGS ON 3105 ES IMPOSSIBLE TO WRK ITA / R  04

 
The message, in plain English, reads:
 
Howland (Call sign: NRUI 2) giving Thomas O'Hare (Call sign: TO) dope (information) that no signals on 3105 and impossible TO WRK Itasca. Received. 08:04.
 
"TO WRK" can be interpreted in four different ways:
 
". . . and impossible to work Itasca."
 
There were no signals from Earhart and so there was nothing to work on with the Itasca.
 
Or:
 
". . . and impossible to work . . ."
 
The RDF's batteries were too weak for it to work.
 
Or:
 
". . . and impossible to work Itasca."
 
It was impossible for Howland to work the Itasca due to the ship's radio traffic with other stations.
 
Or, thus:
 
". . . and impossible Thomas O'Hare work Itasca."
 
In 1973, Bellarts recalled that at this time O'Hare was ordered to stop working Itasca radio traffic with other stations. The radio room worked Earhart only.

 
Galten:
 
19:35 GMT (8:05 a. m. Itasca time): 
 
Itasca to KHAQQ - Your sigs received ok. We are unable to hear you to take a bearing. It impractical to take a bearing on 3105 your voice. How do you get that? Go ahead.
 
Unanswered 3105 


It appears that the HF RDF was not working.

 
Galten asked Earhart to send signals on 500 kcs.

 
Galten:
 
19:36 GMT (8:06 a. m. Itasca time):
 
Go ahead on 500 or 3105 kcs. (Sent on 7500.)

 
19:35 - 19:38 GMT (8:05 - 8:08 a. m. Itasca time):
 
Itasca to KHAQQ  -  Go ahead 500 with dashes on 500 k.
 
Unanswered.

 
19:41 GMT (8:11 a. m. Itasca time):
 
Itasca to KHAQQ   -   Did you get that transmission on 7.5 megs? Go ahead on 500 kcs. so that we may be able to take a bearing on you. Impossible to take a bearing on 3105. Please acknowledge this transmission with voice on 3105. Go ahead.
 
Unanswered.

 
Why did Earhart not send signals on 500 kcs. for the Itasca? Evidently, she could not.

 
In the expedition's Cruise Report, Richard Black, who was on Howland Island, noted:
 
" . . . and I, with several others, stood at the center of the field near the gasoline cache and at a point near where the plane's wheels could be expected to first touch the ground if the East-West runway was used, and it appeared from the wind direction and velocity that it certainly would be used."

 
Galten asked Earhart for her position. 
 
Galten:
 
(19:54 - 19:56 GMT) 8:24 - 8:26 - Itasca to KHAQQ - Go ahead 3105 kcs. with A3 and transmit position rept and QSA on our sigs

 
A3 = voice
Rept = report
QSA = How do you read me? What is the strength of our signals?

 
 
 
Image result for radio crew on howland island
Photo of uncertain date of a Coast Guard cutter off the western shore of Howland Island. 

 
 
At 8:26 a. m. (19:56 GMT) the Cmdr. Thompson recalled the shore party.
 
In his Cruise Report, Black noted:
 
"After eight o'clock an uneasiness was felt by the party ashore, but all stood by searching the sky in all directions until . . . (read 8:26 a. m.) . . . a blinker message was received from the ship stating that the plane was probably down at sea and recalling all hands to the ship as quickly as possible. The parties were summoned from their stations and all ran at top speed for the beach where ferrying to the ship started at once." 
 
It was apparent that the plane was overdue, by a half-hour or more, and would not reach Howland. Earhart and Noonan may have been searching for the island since 19:12 GMT. Their plane could have run out of fuel 16 minutes earlier.

 
Galten asked Earhart for her position again.

 
Galten:
 
(20:00 - 20:01 GMT) 08:30 - 08:31   -   Itasca to KHAQQ   -   Answer 3105 with report and position. 7500 / Unanswered.

 
Galten's two requests for Earhart's position are the only position requests by a radio operator noted in the Itasca radio logs. Cmdr. Thompson, citing witnesses, mentioned two position requests earlier, during the night, both unanswered. Neither logged.
 

 
Line of Position
 
Forty-three minutes after her last message Earhart was heard again.
 
Galten:
 
(20:13 GMT) (ET) 08:43: KHAQQ to Itasca. We are on the line 157 - 337. We will repeat message. We will repeat this on 6210 kcs. Wait.
 
Added note:
 
Earhart's voice over the radiotelephone received at maximum strength

 
Wait = Stand by.
 

This message was not logged by O'Hare. 
 
Now, in the mid-morning, Earhart was to switch her radio to her day-time frequency of 6210 and to repeat the message on that frequency. The Itasca was to stand by on 6210.
 
157 and 337 are two opposite points, or headings, on a compass 180-degrees apart: 157 degrees (south-southeast) and 337 degrees (north-northwest).
 
Cmdr. Thompson mulled over the significance of this message in his later Cruise Report and Radio Transcripts - Earhart Flight.
 
Initially, as Thompson reported in a telegram to Coast Guard HQ in San Francisco, "the line 157 - 337" was thought to be a report of a bearing on a baseline of Itasca radio signals.
 
If correct, Earhart heard radio signals from the Itasca on a baseline of 157 - 337. The direction to the source of signals was either to Earhart's north or to her south on the baseline. Earhart could be somewhere "on the line"   -   337 degrees to the north of Howland or 157 degrees to the south of it. She could be just over the horizon to the north or south, 25 to 30 miles away, or much farther out.
 
With another bearing Earhart might find the direction to the Itasca.
 
The line 157 - 337 could be also a Line of Position (LOP) derived from an observation of the sun by Noonan, called a Sun Line or Sun Line of Position.
 
The Itasca eventually decided that the line 157 - 337 was not a radio bearing on a baseline of signals but a sun line, or "so-called line of position", and indicated a landfall along that line.
 
At sunrise, a navigator draws a line directlly from the centre of the sun to his MPP on his chart. He notes the angle of the sun on the horizon to the equator, which he can check with nautical almanacs. He draws another line at right angles to the line from the sun to his MPP. The right angles form a perpendicular line, oriented northward and southward, called 
a Sun Line of Position, or simply a Line of Position (LOP).

 
 
 
On this particular morning, on 2 July 1937, the sun rose over the horizon 67 degrees north of the equator. Noonan would know this from nautical almanacs. The Itasca navigator too. A perpendicular line drawn at 90-degree-right angles to the sun rising over the horizon at 67 degrees above the equator runs 337 degrees north and 157 degrees south through the navigator's MPP. (See the illustration above.)
 
The navigator would draw another line parallel to the Sun Line of Position   -   his LOP   -   across his map through Howland Island. This line would be his landfall, also called the Advanced Line of Position (ALOP) or, simply, a Line of Position. (See the illustration below.)

 
 
 
The navigator measured the distance from his MPP, on his Sun Line of Position, to Howland, on the Advanced Line of Position, on his chart. He noted the distance and time from his last fix (the dead reckoned run on his flight track, or speed line), considered wind speed (and weather reports), and calculated his Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) at his landfall (ALOP).
   
A Line of Position can be drawn from a star at night. The intersection of two or three lines, drawn from two or three stars, indicates to the navigator his MPP. He has approximate coordinates, north-south and east-west.
 
A sun line gives only one line of position. It indicates the plane's MPP east-west. It does not indicate its position north-south. For this reason, Noonan and Earhart hoped to reach Howland by sunrise. The stars would guide them to it. By the time the sun rose, they would see the island.
 
As the landfall is approached, the plane's Line of Position (LOP) is advanced (carried). With new sun lines, Noonan could revise his ETA. 

Allowing for a margin of error in celestial observations, the sun line was accurate to within ten miles east-west. The plane   -   its MPP  -   was ten miles to the east or ten miles to the west of the sun line.

The plane intercepted its landfalll (ALOP) ten miles to the east or ten miles to the west of it. The navigator added ten percent of the dead-reckoned run   -   the distance flown from the sun line.

When exactly the sun appeared on the plane's horizon is not known. It is often suggested that the plane was 200 miles from Howland, crossing the IDL and the equator, when Noonan shot a sun line. If so, at the ETA, the plane would be within 30 miles to the east or west of the ALOP.

The sun rose over Howland at 17:40 GMT (6:10 a. m. Itasca time). Earhart reported the plane was about 200 miles out two minutes later, at 17:43 - 45 GMT. If the plane flew at an average ground speed of 125 knots at an altitude of 7,000 to 8,000 feet, the sun did not appear on its horizon before 17:50 GMT. Earhart and Noonan would see the false sunrise and make some assumptions but Noonan would wait, perhaps to 18:00 GMT, at the earliest, to shoot a sun line.

The sun climbed straight above the horizon at 67 degrees above the equator for an hour that morning. Certainly, Noonan waited for the sun to rise above atmospheric distortions on the horizon, particularly refraction, to shoot a sun line. Another sun line, shot one-half hour after sunrise, at 18:10 GMT, and another as late as 18:35 GMT   -   55 minutes after sunrise and five minutes before the sun's azimuth changed   -   reduced the navigator's margin of error at his landfall.

If Noonan's last star fix was during nautical twilight, 250 nm. out, and he shot a sun line well after sunrise, 75 nm. out, at his ETA he was within 35 miles to the north or south of the island and 17.5 miles to the east or west of it.

The Area of Uncertainty was greater to the north and south (70 nm. across) and lessor to the east and west (35 nm. across)   -   a rectangle with longer vertical sides east and west and shorter curved sides north and south. (Source: E. Long.)

The nautical twilight star fix, the sunrise, the sun lines and dead reckoning should have brought the plane close to the island.
 
Earhart's last message, at 20:13 GMT   -   "on the line 157 - 337"   -   could mean that the plane had reached its landfall (ALOP) at least an hour earlier, some time before Earhart broadcast "We must on XX you . . . " at 19:12 GMT.

What had happened in the hour since then?
 
At best, Earhart's message meant that the plane reached its landfall, the ALOP calculated by Noonan, 157 - 337, and Earhart heard the baseline of radio signals from the Itasca along the line.
 
A radio bearing, if correct, would give Earhart a more certain indication of the direction to the Itasca than a landfall calculated by celestial observation and dead reckoning. The ship was straight in one direction or straight in the opposite direction. It would indicate to the Itasca a more accurate direction to the plane. The plane was straight in one direction or straight in the opposite direction.
 
But it does not appear that Earhart's radio receiver (thus also her RDF) was working.
 
Where on the line was the plane? Without coordinates the plane's precise position was not known. Where on the line were they? And where was the line? Was it an accurate landfall? Did it run directly through Howland?  
 
If Earhart and Noonan did not know where they were on the line, which way should they turn to search for the island   -   to the south on a compass heading of 157 or to the north on a heading of 337?

 
Earhart was heard again a moment later over the radio by Galten.
 
This last message, recorded by Galten, however, was uncertain.
 
Galten:
 
08:43  -  (? transmission from KHAQQ: "We are running on line north and south . . .")  

 
The words "north and south" were uncertain.
 
"North and south" could be a reference to the general orientation of the line. Earhart and Noonan could be carrying the line as they flew east (or west).
 
"Running on line" "north and south" could mean also that Earhart and Noonan were flying along their north-south landfall. But in which direction? To the north or to the south, towards Howland or away from it? 
 
If Earhart and Noonan were on an accurate landfall and knew the direction to the island, north or south, they were flying on the line towards the island. Winds and variations in the earth's magnetic field would require adjustments in compass headings. A radio bearing or position fixes from observations of the sun, if possible, should lead them to the island.
 
At the worst, the plane was flying up or down a Line of Position anywhere 100 or more miles from the island   -   to the north, south, east or west of it. Perhaps from the point of the 19:12 GMT message an hour earlier   -   "We must on xx you but cannot see you"   -   or probably from the "We are circling" message at 19:28 GMT.
 

 
Image result for Ladder search pattern - aviation
 

Running "north and south" could mean that Earhart and Noonan were flying a ladder search pattern across the line   -   south, then east, then north, then east, then south (as shown in the sketch above)   -   in a general eastward search for Howland Island. Most believe this is what Earhart meant. Or the same pattern in a northward or southward direction along the line of 157   -   337. 
   

 
Line of Position Approach
 
Did Earhart and Noonan approach Howland on a direct easterly path from Lae (or Nukumanu) on a heading of 78 degrees (true) (or 85 degrees from Nauru)? 

 
 
Related image
Course heading 78 degrees (true) direct from Lae to Howland:
 

 
                       Howland
                 6. 19:12 - "on XX you", 7. 19:28 - "circling", 8. 20:13  - "on line 157 - 337"
             5. 18:15 - 16 - "about 100 miles out"
          4. 17:55 - 18:40 - sun lines 157 -337
       3. 17:55 - sunrise on plane's horizon
   2. 17:43 and 17:45 - "about 200 miles out"
1. heading 78; nautical twilight - last celestial fix (time?)
 
 

When the plane reached its landfall and DR would it be right on target? Or would it be wide of the target? If the island was not there, which way to turn to look for it? North? South? East? West? Which way first? How far in any direction?

If Noonan got a star fix 250 miles out and shot a sun line 75 miles from Howland Island the Area of Uncertainy at his DR was a rectangle 35 miles across east-west and 70 miles across north-south. At his ETA his DR and MPP could be 17.5 miles to the east or west of the island and 35 miles to the north or south of it.  

If the island was not found in one direction, the plane would have to double back to search for it in the other direction, adding time and distance and consuming precious fuel.

Thus, when well to the west of the DR, but as close as possible, the navigator would aim the plane well to the north or south of the island, to reach the ALOP at the northern or southern boundary of the Area of Uncertainty, to be sure that the island was to one side only.  

Reaching the ALOP 157 - 337, the pilot and navigator would scan the sea to the north or south, whichever case, before turning in the opposite direction onto the line towards the target   -   the DR, the island. The island should be in that direction within 35 miles. There was a small chance that the island could be more than 35 miles away in that direction.
But it should be at some point along the 70 miles of the ALOP between the northern and southern boundaries of the Area of Uncertainty.

Running on the line, on the way to the DR, pilot and navigator would scan the sea to both sides of the plane, to the east and west. The island should be within 17.5 miles to the east or west of the ALOP. From 1,000 feet, visibility was 25 to 30 miles in any direction.

Many believe this is most likely what Earhart and Noonan did.

There was always a chance that the island would be more than 35 miles to the north or south of the DR and beyond the Area of Uncertainty. Thus, when well to the west of his landfall (ALOP), but as close as possible, Noonan might aim for a point well to the north or south of his Area of Uncertainty, perhaps doubling the distance, to intercept the ALOP 70 nm. from the DR and 35 miles above or below his Area of Uncertainty, to better ensure that he did not miss the island.

Intercepting the ALOP the plane would turn in the direction of the island, which should not be more than 70 to 140 nm. miles away in that direction. But that is a long distance to fly, especially when low on fuel.

The Line of Position Approach is an ancient maritime navigation method, appiied notably to aviation in the early 1930s by a British aviator, Francis Chichester.

On a Line of Position Approach the landfall is also called the "course line". The navigator reaches the course line by the "speed line" or dead reckoning run, and follows the course line to his destination.  

Not sighting the island after a run on the ALOP, in this case, perhaps 35 to 50 nm, Earhart radioed: "We must on XX you but cannot see you" (19:12 GMT). It is believed Earhart and Noonan continued on the ALOP in the same direction, in this case for another 20 nm. Scanning 20 nm. farther in that direction from that point they did not see the island. So they circled   -   "We are circling" (19:28 GMT)  -   and tried to take a radio bearing from the Itasca.
   
Exactly when   -   and if   -   Noonan ordered a slight change of course, an off-set in the direct flight path to the north or south, is not known.

Some doubt Earhart would agree to fly a Line of Position Approach, considering it an unnecessary dogleg. That is to say, she would prefer to fly straight to the DR and, if she did not sight the island, fly an expanding circular or square search pattern. No doubt, Noonan explained the Line of Position Approach method to Earhart before they flew together and she would have understood its advantages.     
 
It is often suggested that Noonan ordered an off-set from the flight path for a Line of Position Approach to the north or south shortly after a last star fix during twilight, before sunrise on Howland, at 17:40 GMT (6:10 a. m. Itasca time), when about "200 miles out". Or after he shot a sun line one-half-hour after sunrise, at 18:10 GMT (6:40 a. m. Itasca time), or a new sun line just before 18:40 GMT (07:10 a. m. Itasca time).
 
It has been suggested also that Noonan ordered a Line of Position Approach when it was apparent that the RDFs on the plane, the Itasca and Howland would not take bearings. If so, not later than 18:45 GMT (07:15 a. m. Itasca time). Perhaps earlier, around 18:15 GMT (06:45 a. m. Itasca time).
 
When did the plane intercept its landfall? One can only guess.
 
The plane was about "200 miles out" at 17:43 - 45 GMT. Earhart thought the island should be within sight (or within 25 to 30 miles) 90 minutes later, at 19:12 GMT: "We must on XX 
you but cannot see you." 
 
If the plane flew straight, directly from the west, its average ground speed over the previous 90 minutes was about 133 knots.
 
Diverting from a straight flight path to fly a Line of Position Approach to the north or south added distance. Thus, the plane flew at a faster speed. But at 1,000 feet, the plane reduced speed.
   
If the plane intercepted the ALOP 35 nm. from the island, its DR, and the plane flew at 120 knots, it reached its landfall around 18:55 GMT. If the plane intercepted the ALOP 70 nm. from the island, the landfall was probably around 18:33 GMT.  If 50 nm., around 18:47 GMT.       

At 19:12 GMT (07:42 Itasca time) ("We must on xx you") and 19:28 GMT ("We are circling") the plane was short of the island to the north or south. Or it was wide of the island to the east or west of it. Earhart and Noonan may have been abeam of the island at 19:12 and 19:28 GMT but too far to the east or west to see it.
 
 
Line of Position Approach to the North
 
It is often assumed that Noonan ordered a LIne of Position Approach to the north and flew towards Howland from the north.
 
In Noonan's day, as a plane approached a small remote island in the ocean, the practice was to fly a Line of Position Approach to the north.
 
There are islands to the south of Howland. The Phoenix Group. Baker Island is 42 miles to the southeast of Howland.
 
There are no islands at all to the north of Howland for many hundreds of miles.
 
As Noonan approached his landfall from the west he diverted from his direct flight path to intercept his landfall (ALOP) well to the north of Howland to be sure that the island was not to his north but to his south. 
 
 
                       4. Landfall, 5. Turn to 157 south
                                                   6. Horizon
                                                        7. Howland
            3. 10 - 20-degree turn north
      2. Sun Line
1. Last celestial fix
 
 
Reaching his landfall (ALOP), 157 - 337, Noonan would not have to turn north to look for Howland. He would fly southwards along his landfall on a heading of 157 until he saw the island.
 
    
                       4. Landfall and 5. Turn to 157 south (time?)                
                            6. 19:12 - DR, ETA, "on    you", 7. 19:28 - "we are circling"
                                 8. 20:13 - "on the line 157-337"
                                                 9. Horizon 
                                                              10. Howland  
                                                                             Baker
      3. 10 - 20-degree (?) turn north (time?)       
   2. 17:55 - 18:40 - sun lines    
1. Nautical twilight, 250 nm. out, last celestial fix
 
 
Flying south, if Earhart and Noonan missed Howland, they might see Baker Island, 42 miles to the southeast.

 
 
 
Related image
 
The chart above displays one of numerous suggested possible Line of Position Approach patterns for Earhart's and Noonan's flight to Howland.

The chart notes speed and distance in statute miles rather than nautical miles.

The chart suggests the plane was 256 statute miles (222.5 nm.) from Howland when Noonan got his last star fix, at 17:37 GMT.

If the plane flew straight on its planned flight path, the Area of Uncertainty at the DR, with Howland at the centre, would be a circle with a 35.6-mile (32.25 nm.) radius. At the ETA the plane should not be more than 35.6 statute miles (32.25 nm.) from the island.

Flying straight on a flight path of 78 degrees at 120 mph (104-knot) true air speed against 15.5-mph headwinds for an average ground speed of 104.5 mph (91 knots) for 2 hrs. and 27 min.   -   or 256 statute miles   -    the plane would reach the island at 20:04 GMT.

At the ETA, however, the island might not be within sight. The plane could be as much as 35.6 miles (32.25 nm.) to the north or south of the island. But which way?

The chart suggests an off-set of about ten degrees from a direct flight path for a Line of Position Approach to the north at the time of the last possible observation of the stars, during twiliight, at 17:37 GMT (06:07 Itasca time), just before the sun appeared on Howland's horizon.

Flying at 120 mph true air speed against 14.5-mph headwinds
for an average ground speed of 105.5 mph. (92 knots) for 2 hrs. and 17 min.   -   or 246 miles.   -    the plane would intercept the ALOP 71.2 miles (61.9 nm) north of the island at 19:54 GMT. 

Reaching the ALOP, the plane would turn south. Howland should not be more than 71.2 statute miles (61.9 nm.) to the south on the ALOP. 

Flying 126 mph against 4 mph winds for an average ground speed of 122 mph on the 71.2-mile run, the plane would reach the island in 36 minutes, at 20:30 GMT.        

The chart displays a maximum possible error of about 10 degrees in the off-set (about 20 degrees off the direct flight path) with an interception of the landfall 142.4 miles (123.75 nm.) to the north of the island 2 hours and 24 minutes later, at 20:01 GMT. From that point it would take 70 minutes to reach the island, arriving at 21:11 GMT. The plane sent its last message 12 minutes onto the run, 117.6 statute miles (102 nm.) from the island.

The chart does not consider the 19:12 GMT message "we must on xx you", which could indicate the plane was nearing its DR and ETA, and the 19:28 GMT "circling" message, which indicated a circular search pattern or circular holding pattern and an attempt to take a radio bearing.


Where Earhart actually was at 17:43 and 17:45 GMT, when she said she was about "200 miles out", is not known. Where 
Earhart was about 90 minutes later, at 19:12 GMT, when she thought Howland should be within sight, is not known. How she reached that point is not known. How far out from the island the Line of Position Approach began is not known. Whether the plane flew a Line of Position Approach to the north or south is not known. Where Earhart was at 19:28 GMT, when she said she was "circling" and asked for a bearing, is not known. That Earhart said she was "circling" is not certain. Where Earhart was at 20:13 GMT, when she said she was on a Line of Position, is not known. How she got there is not known. How long the plane had been on the ALOP, or course line, by 20:13 GMT is not known.   

The plane intercepted its ALOP, 157 - 337, before 19:00 GMT, turned and flew north or south on the line towards its DR and continued beyond it in that direction before circling.
 
A landfall 50 miles from Howland and a 35-minute run of 70 miles on the course line is possible.
 
If, as some claimed, Earhart's radio messages were loudest around 19:28 GMT ("We are circling") and she flew away from Howland at that time, the plane may have changed course to search for the island in another direction, away from the island.
 
At 20:13 GMT, the plane had been searching for the island for the past hour. The plane may have been "circling" since 19:28 GMT or earlier. The plane may have been flying on the line in one direction or the other, north or south, for some time.
 
Earhart did not send the international distress signal in Morse Code by key   -   S. O. S. (dot-dot-dot-dash-dash-dash-dot-dot-dot  . . . - - - . . . ). She did not make the international radio telephone distress call   -   "mayday-mayday-mayday" (from French: m'aider - "help me"). But Earhart's last message told the Itasca tbe plane had reached its landfall and in which directions to search for the plane   -   to the north 337 degrees and to the south 157 degrees.
 
The question was which way first   -   north or south?


This message was the last Galten heard from Earhart, 20 hours and 13 minutes into the flight (20:13 GMT) (ET). Earhart was to switch from 3105 to her day-time 6210. But she was not heard on that frequency or on 3105. 
 
Some claimed there was another message from Earhart, at 8:55 a. m. (Itasca time) (20:25 GMT). The ship's two radio logs do not mention another message from Earhart. Neither log shows a message at 8:55. The claims of an 8:55 message were made by persons who were not in the radio room at the time. They were passing on second and third-hand reports   -   from others who themselves were not in the radio room. The 8:55 message was said to have been the questionable "running on line north and south" message. But this message came only seconds after the 8:43 message of "running on the line 157 - 337".
 
Earhart said she was switching frequencies from 3105 to 6210. The Itasca was to listen for her on 6210.

 
Galten:
 
(20:14 - 16 GMT) 8:44 - 46   -   Listening 6210 kcs.
 
Itasca to KHAQQ - Hrd you ok on 3105, 7500.
 
Note: The Itasca is repeating the letter A in Morse on 7500.
 

(20:17 GMT) 08:47   -    Itasca to KHAQQ - Please stay on 3105 kcs. Do not hear you on 6210. Maintain QSO on 3105, 7500.
 
Unanswered.
 
Note: QSO = Remain in contact on frequencies 3105 and 7500.
 

(20:18 GMT) 8:48   -   Nil on 3105 or 6210 from KHAQQ. Itasca to KHAQQ - Answer 3105.
 

(20:19 - 23 GMT) 8:49 - 53   -   Itasca to KHAQQ - Answer 3105 voice.
 
Unanswered.
 

(20:24 - 37 GMT) 08:54 - 09:07   -   Itasca to KHAQQ - Your signals ok on 3105. Go ahead with position on 3105 or 500 kcs.
 
Unanswered.

 
Cipriani (Howland):
 
(20:30 GMT) 9:00 Itasca time (10:00 Howland time)   -   All batteries on the island are discharged. Commenced to charge them.  

 
O'Hare:
 
(20:38 GMT) 09:08   -   Still sending on 7500 and telling her to go ahead on 3105 and sending out sigs for her to observe bearing on. Maintaining listening watch on 3105, 7500 and 500.
 

Evidently, the Itasca thought Earhart could transmit on 7500.
 
No one on Howland Island or on board the Itasca reported seeing or hearing a plane.
 
The Itasca prepared to search for Earhart's plane.
 
The landing party, with Richard Black and Lt. Cooper, returned to the Itasca from Howland at 9:12 a. m. (20:42 GMT).

 
O'Hare:
 
(20:55 GMT) 9:25   -   Tuning broadly on 7500 kcs. Position 2 on 3105 kcs. D/F on 500 kcs. N N N
 
Note: N N N = Nil on all three frequencies. 

 
Galten:
 
(20:45 - 21:03 GMT) 9:15 - 33   -   Listening 3105, 6210, 500 and 500 D/F  -  Nil.
 

O'Hare:
 
(21:05 GMT) 9:35   -   Call from Howland and told him get D/F going at all cost VA. 7500.
 
Note: VA = End of message = "I have nothing more to transmit."
 

 
Baker Island
 
 
Image result for Baker Island - Phoenix Islands (aerial photo)
 
 
The nearest island to Howland is Baker Island, 42 miles to the southeast.
 
Howland and Baker Islands are the northernmost islands of the Phoenix Islands and just above the equator.
 
Like Howland, Baker Island was inhabited by a colony of Hawaiians from 1935 to February 1942. At the time of Earhart's flight, Baker did not have an airfield. The island was an American air base in late 1943 and a radio station from 1944 to 1946.
 
Howland and Baker Islands line up approximately along a line of 157 - 337. On Earhart's inaccurate map (if she used it), which placed Howland five to six nautical miles west of its actual location, the line runs about two nautical miles to the east of Baker.
 
If the plane was blown off-course to the south or Noonan ordered a Line of Position Approach to the south of Howland, he might see both Howland and Baker. He could search for Howland, first to the north, and if he did not see the island, turn to the south to search for Baker.
 
 
                              Howland
 
1. Sun Line
               2. 10 - 20-degree (?) turn south
                                3. ALOP, 4. Turn north or south
 
                                      Baker
 
 
Later, it was thought possible that Noonan, to avoid the glare of the rising sun over Howland in the east in the early morning, would fly south of his course in order to approach Howland from the southeast to have the sun behind him.
 
There was a radio on Baker Island in 1937. The Itasca was in contact with Baker during and after the flight. No sign of Earhart and Noonan was reported by anyone on Baker.
 
 
-----------
 
 
The detour about weather and strong headwinds along the flight path consumed more fuel. The search for the island exhausted it.
 
How long the plane continued to fly after Earhart's last message, at 8:43 a. m. (20:13 GMT), is not known.
 
Radio contact may have been lost when Earhart switched frequencies from 3105 to 6210. The Itasca did not hear her on 6210. 
 
Some on board the Itasca thought it possible the plane had reserve fuel for four more hours of flight. However, this calculation appears to have been based on the time of Earhart's last message at 20:13 GMT rather than the projected flight time of 17 to 19 hours GMT.    
 
The Army Air Corps pilot on the cruise, Lt. Cooper, calculated the plane ran out of fuel by 9:00 a. m. (20:30 GMT).
 
On paper, as it appears in the radio log, Earhart's last message, at 20:13 GMT, looks like another scheduled half-hourly report, at quarter past the hour. She reported a Line of Position. The plane had reached its landfall and was flying on the line in one direction or the other. Earhart announnced she was changing from her night frequency to her day frequency. She asked the Itasca to stand by. Then contact was lost. Harry Balfour lost contact with Earhart too when she changed frequencies. She might have had difficulty tuning her radio. Perhaps she would be back on the air eventually.
 
Some believe 6210 could not be heard in close. Balfour did not hear Earhart until four hours and 18 minutes into the flight. But Balfour thought this was caused by interference from local waether. In any case, Darwin heard Earhart after her take-off and Balfour heard her during the test flight.  
 
Chief Radioman Bellarts stood by in the radio room. He heard Earhart over the loud speaker. He later recalled that Earhart was "calm, cool and collected" until her last message. At 20:13 GMT   -   "We are on the line 157 - 337"   -   she was frantic and on the verge of hysteria. Others agreed. Bellarts believed she "went into the drink" shortly afterwards   -   "a minute or two later, at 8:45."
 
It is often assumed that Noonan remained seated at his desk in the cabin behind the extra fuel tanks throughout the flight around the world. The navigator observed the stars through the plane's plexiglass side windows with a sextant, consulted maps and books, and plotted his chart.
 
That is how Putnam wanted it. In March, when the press reported Paul Mantz landed the plane on Wheeler Field, Putnam complained to his wife.
 
Noonan could have been in and out of the cockpit throughout the flight. He could check his observations from the cockpit.  To test wind drift, he would drop drift bombs from a cockpit window. The sun rises in the east and he would have been in the cockpit at dawn. It is difficult also for a lone pilot, seated on one side of the cockpit, to search for a small island on the ocean below.
 
A navigator should be in radio contact with the ground. A second microphone and set of headphones were in the cockpit for a co-pilot. As far as is known, no messages from Noonan were heard during the flight. It can be assumed Noonan heard Earhart's broadcasts and messages to the plane when he sat in the cockpit. He may have helped her try to take bearings.
 
Noonan was also a pilot and, following proper procedure, 
certainly in the cockpit in the plane's last minutes in the air.
 
Planes with two, three and even four engines can fly on one engine. On the flight from California to Hawaii in March, one of the plane's two engines shut down. Out of fuel and with all engines dead, the plane descends.
 
Did the plane pitch, go into a dive, drop 1,000 feet and hit the sea in seconds? If the plane crashed into the water in a steep dive the pilots were probably killed on impact and the plane broke apart.
 
If the plane was at 1,000 feet when both engines quit, it could descend in a controlled glide for a few miles. Its radio could continue to transmit and receive if its batteries were charged.
 
Running out of fuel   -   or with one engine sputtering or dead   -   and anticipating a ditching, the pilot brings the plane down, reduces speed as much as possible, and flies a few feet over the ocean surface. This is most likely what Earhart did. Earhart probably flew at 50 feet for some time before ditching.
 
Send an SOS or mayday. That could have been Earhart's 157 - 337 message. 
 
Toss out everything heavy and not essential for survival. Escape hatch open before ditching. If the plane is damaged on ditching, the hatch might be jammed. Doors and windows shut tight. Emergency survival equipment must be in the cockpit or within close reach. Loose objects secured. Noonan, who was known for quick and effective responses in emergencies, would do al  that was necessary before ditching.
 
Pilots strapped into their seats. Remove ties and loosen collars. Life-vests on, half-inflated. The raft must not be inflated on board before ditching.
 
Ditching a plane at sea is one of the most difficult manoeuvres for a pilot. The procedure can be rehearsed but not practiced. After the engines fail the pilot tries to glide the plane onto the ocean surface. Preferably before the engines fail, but a loose spinning propeller can slice through the cockpit. Landing gear retracted (sometimes not). Wings level. If a wing clips the water the plane can cartwheel. Flaps down (full or half flaps). Fly into the wind. The seas were calm and smooth at the time. The pilot must try to land the plane on the crest of the swell parallel to the trough between waves. If the nose smacks into a wave the cockpit is crushed and the pilots are probably killed. Nose up 10 degrees. The plane's tail must hit the water first. Seconds later the plane's belly hits the water. The second impact is more severe. The nose plows into the sea.
 
 
Liberator B-24 ditching (1944)
 
 
 
Ditch and Live
 
1944 Army Air Forces training film
 
 
 
The Lockheed Electra Model 10E was a "land plane". It was not a sea-plane   -   or flying boat or hydro-plane. It could not land on water. It did not have pontoons. It was not a float-plane. Initially, it was claimed that the plane, because it was made of aluminum and carried several large empty fuel tanks in the cabin, could float indefinitely if it landed intact. The Coast Guard and Navy thought they might spot a metal plane floating on the sea long after it ditched. Putnam may have urged them to believe it to keep the search going. Eventually, the plane's manufacturer, Lockheed, advised that the plane could not float for long.

The heavy nose and engines, far forward on the plane, would sink quickly and pull the fuselage down. If the plane glided onto the sea with minimum damage it might float for a minute.
 
Initially, it was claimed that the plane's radio could continue to transmit if the plane was in water. This was corrected later: it might but not for long.
 
The plane was supposed to have parachutes, a two-man rubber life boat and life-vests, an emergency radio with a kite and a wire antenna, a light, flares and a flare gun, and rations.
 
A crew can bail out with the uninflated life-boat before the plane hits the water. This requires open parachutes from any height above the sea. 
 
There were claims later that to lighten the load Earhart tossed out the rubber life boat, emergency radio and parachutes before her departure.
 
In one of her daily dispatches by telephone to the New York Herald Tribune, from Darwin on 28 June, Earhart wrote:
 
"At Darwin, by the way, we left the parachutes we had carried that far, to be shipped home. A parachute would not help over the Pacific."
 
In her last dispatch, from Lae on 1 July, Earhart wrote:
 
"Fred Noonan and I have worked very hard in the last two days repacking the plane and eliminating everything unessential. We have even discarded as much personal property as we can decently get along without and henceforth propose to travel lighter than ever before . . ."
 
It was claimed (or assumed) that Earhart left the rubber life-boat in Lae. But as far as can be determined, it was on board when the plane left Lae.
 
The question was whether or not Earhart and Noonan would have the time to exit with the life boat before the plane sank. If they survived the ditching, they could exit through the hatch in the cockpit ceiling above Earhart's seat, the cockpit windows, or the port-side door in the cabin. In all likelihood, the cockpit was fully submerged on ditching and they had to exit instantly, with whatever they could, or drown. Through the hatch, Earhart up and out first, then Noonan. If the empty fuel tanks in the cabin were firmly secured and did not block the cockpt entrance, Earhart and Noonan might climb or swim to the port-side door.
 
They would inflate the boat outside the plane. The raft was self-inflating. Pull the plug and it inflated instantly.
 
The Itasca calculated the raft would drift at sea northward and westward at a rate of two nautical miles per hour   -   48 nautical miles a day, 240 miles in five days, 480 miles in ten days, 816 miles in 17 days. Later, the navy calculated a drift rate of one-half mile per hour   -   12 miles per day, 60 miles in five days, 120 miles in ten days, 204 miles in 17 days.
 
If they got out of the plane without the life boat they were treading shark-infested water.
 
Unless they landed the plane on a beach above water, they would encounter sharks. Sharks swam inside reefs and in shallow water very close to shore. They infested lagoons. Sharks are known to bite rubber life-boats. Whales try to capsize boats by creating waves.
 
George Putnam later advised that the plane did not have an emergency radio on board.
 
 
 
The Search
 
A flight expected to take 18 hours was still aloft after 20 hours and 13 minutes, at the time of its last message.
 
Earhart's last message could mean that the plane reached its landfall, as calculated by Noonan, 157 - 337. Or Earhart took a bearing on the baseline of radio signals 157 - 337. Or both.
 
One had to assume that the plane was north or south of Howland, and flew on the line 157 - 337 to the north or to the south, towards Howland or away from it.
 
If a radio bearing, the Itasca would have a good idea of the two possible directions to the plane. If a sun line, the possible directions to the plane would be less certain but the Itasca would have to assume, at first, that the line was a correct landfall and search along the line.
 
The weather was clear all around Howland to the horizon.
 
Which way to search first? To the north or to the south?
 
The Itasca would assume that Earhart and Noonan flew in the cloudy weather north of Howland, reached their landfall (157 - 337) north of the island, beyond the horizon, and Earhart sent her last radio message   -   from the north-northwest   -   as they searched for the island.
 
 
Sequence:
 
CLOUDY WEATHER N & W 40 miles from Howland
 
      1. Sun Line 157 - 337
 
      2. Landfall (ALOP) 157 - 337
 
      3. 19:12 - 20:13 - Radio loud, constant
 
      4. 20:13 - "On the line 157 - 337"
 
MPP at 20:13  -  between 337 (N-NW) to 45 (NE), 40 to 200 miles from Howland
 
 
CUMULUS CLOUD BANKS at 2,000 ft. N & W 40 miles out  
U                          Howland's Horizon 20 miles out
M   
U
L                                    Howland
U
S   
 
 
It is possible also that airplane pilots on board the Itasca assumed Noonan flew a Line of Position Approach to the north and urged a search to the north.
 
However, Lt. Cooper thought Earhart probably flew past Howland within 30 miles to the north and ditched within 180 miles to the northwest. Wreckage would drift to the Gilberts in August. It appears Cooper meant that Noonan ordered a Line of Position Approach to the south of Howland but the plane intercepted its landfall to the north of the island instead. It flew north on the Line of Position (course line) expecting to sight the island from the south. Not finding the island when and where expected the plane continued north in search of it. Thus, Cooper said Earhart probably got a "null" at 19:30 GMT on a radio signal   -   on 7500!   -   indicating its source to the south but Earhart, believing Howland was to the north, ignored it.

 
In his Cruise Report, Cmdr. Thompson went over the known "facts" and various "assumptions" and the plan to search for the plane.
 
Facts:
 
- The plane's radio transmissions indicated it flew through cloudy weather all night and morning.
 
- Radio transmission indicated the plane reached its landfall.
 
- The plane's reported Line of Position indicated that its landfall was correct.
 
- Radio transmissions remained strong and constant in its last hour.
 
Assumptions:
 
- It was assumed the navigator could not get a fix on his position because the plane flew in the cloudy weather that was 40 miles (and beyond) to the north and west of Howland.
 
- It was assumed that an accurate Line of Position was derived from an observation of the sun when the plane passed out of the cloudy weather that was to the north and west.
 
- The plane may have carried its Line of Position as much as 100 miles before the navigator could plot it.
 
- It was assumed the plane passed within 200 miles to the north of Howland.
 
- It was thought possible that the glare of the rising sun obscured the island, the ship and the smoke.
 
- The plane went down within a 40 to 200-mile radius of Howland and, most probably, to the north of Howland. (At the western end of the circle, 200 miles from Howland, is the International Date Line.)
 
Thus, the most probable area of the plane's location was between 337 degrees (north-northwest) to 45 degrees {northeast).
 
Based on an estimation of possible fuel reserve, the Itasca thought the plane might yet make contact by radio. It could arrive by 12:00 noon. The Itasca considered delaying the search till then.

 
In the ship's deck log, Record of the Miscellaneous Events of the Day, it was recorded that the Itasca set out at top speed at 10:40 a. m. on a course to the most probable area of the plane's location to the north and northeast of Howland   -   along a line of 337 degrees (true) from the island.
 
Radioman Cipriani and ham radio operators Henry Lau and Ah Kin Leong were left on Howland in case the plane made radio contact or landed. Cipriani was to take bearings.
 
James Kamakaiwi returned to the Itasca.

 




 
Image result for earhart and Noonan down at sea
Ashland (Kentucky) Daily Independent, 3 July 1937


Image result for merrill and lambie with earhart and noonan - May 1937
The Seattle Daily Times, 3 July 1937

   
New York Times, 3 July 1937 - front page
 
 
 
223425
New York Times, 3 July 1937 - front page
 
 
 
Associated Press
 
 
Image result for USS Lexington search for amelia earhart (map)
Wilkes-Barre Record (Pennsylvania), 3 July 1937


The USS Swan, a naval vessel stationed half-way between Howland and Hawaii as a picket ship for Earhart and Noonan, sailed for Howland to join the Itasca in the search.


A Tragedy of the Pacific
 
Pathe Gazette newsreel
 
 
 
 

The path of the search of the USCGC Itasca for Amelia Earhart and Fred Noonan, 2 -18 July 1937. (Zoom in to view.)
 
Source: U. S. Navy Report of the Search for Amelia Earhart, July 2-18, 1937.
 
 
According to the above sketch of the path of the Itasca from 2 to 18 July, the ship began the search to the north-northwest of Howland along a line of 157 - 337. Assuming the plane ditched to the north of the island, this was the most logical plan. The Itasca searched along the line for 50 nautical miles.
 
 
Related image
The above photo is the view the Itasca would have twenty nautical miles to the north-northwest of Howland, along the line 157 - 337.
 
 
The Itasca found no trace of the plane, rubber boat or flyers within 50 nm. to the northwest. 
 
The Itasca did not continue the search along the line beyond 50 miles. The ship turned to a heading of 80 degrees east by north and sailed about 70 miles to a point about 70 nautical miles northeast of Howland.
 
Thence northwest to a point about 100 nautical miles north-north-east of Howland.

This would indicate the Itasca believed it more likely 
the plane flew to the east well beyond a direct line of 157 - 337 from Howland, perhaps by 100 miles.
 
 
Search plane on the way from Hawaii
 
At 9:45 p. m., the Itasca was ordered back to Howland to tender a US Navy patrol plane on its way from Hawaii. The plane was a twin-engine high-wing mono-plane flying boat PBY-1   -   Patrol Bomber (PB) produced by Consolidated Aircraft (Y). The first model (1) of this plane was produced in 1936 and 1937. The plane had a maximum range of 2,190 nautical miles. It could reach Howland from Honolulu on one hop. An eight-man crew included a pilot and co-pilot, a navigator, two radio operators and a mechanic. Called "Black Cats" by the US Navy, the PBYs were given the additional nickname "Catalina", apparently for Catalina Island off the southern California coast, by the Royal Air Force (RAF) in the Second World War. The RAF's PBYs shadowed the German battle ship Bismarck in May 1941.  
 
The Itasca reached Howland at 7:10 a. m. the following day, 3 July.
 
The search plane from Hawaii had just been forced back by bad weather, 500 miles from Howland.
 
The Itasca resumed the search.
 
The Itasca searched farther to the north, to a point about 115 nautical miles due north of Howland, and then due west for the rest of the day.
 
The Itasca found no trace of Earhart and Noonan, their plane or a life boat to the north or west.
 
 
Related image
Quincy Patroit Ledger, Massachusetts, 3 July 1937
 
Related image
Herald Examiner, Chicago, 4 July 1937
 
 
Image result for earhart and noonan down in pacific
Globe & Mail, Toronto, 5 July 1937
 
 
In the days following the disappearance of Earhart and Noonan, scores of people in North America and the Pacific claimed to have heard distress calls from Earhart over ham radio sets. These claims were eventually dismissed as the fabrications of hoaxers. 
 
A dramatisation on a radio program, The March of Time, may have misled listeners. 
 
Press reports that ships at sea heard radio calls from Earhart were eventually dismissed as false. Or the radio messages were misunderstood.
 
The message from Nauru (mentioned above):
 
At 10:30 GMT on 3 July (11:00 p. m. Itasca time on 2 July)    -   fourteen hours after Earhart's last radio message   -   the Itasca received the message (mentioned above) from the radio operator on Nauru, relayed by Radio Marine Corp. of America (RCA) in Bolinas, California via the Coast Guard radio in San Francisco:
 
23:00 - From: San Francisco (NMC - KPH)
To: Itasca.
 
NMC from KPH. Following from VMT
 
Voice heard   -   fairly strong   -   signals strength to S3   -   08:43, 08:54 GMT   -   48.31 meters   -   speech not interpreted owing bad modulation or speaker shouting into microphone but voice similar to that emitted from plane in flight last night with exception no hum of plane in back ground. VKT has not yet contacted NRUI on 500 kcs. VIS gives es hearing voice about 1000 GMT.
 
Please pass that to NRUI.
 
48.31-metre wavelength = 6210 kcs.
NMC: Coast Guard, San Francisco
KPH: Bolinas
VMT:  ?
VKT: Nauru Radio (Amalgamated Wireless)
VIS: Sydney Radio (Amalgamated Wireless)
ES: estimate
NRUI: Itasca
 
According to this message, the radio operator on Nauru twice heard a voice similar to Earhart's at night on Earhart's day-time frequency 12 to 13 hours after her last message logged by the Itasca.
 
The US consul's telegram (mentioned above):
 
At 12:00 GMT   -   shortly after this message from Nauru for the Itasca   -   the US consul in Sydney, Australia, Alfred Doyle, sent a telegram to the State Department in Washington, D. C.:
 
Amalgamated Wireless state information received that report from ‘Nauru’ was sent to Bolinas Radio ‘At 6:31, 6:43, and 6:54 p. m. Sydney time today on 48.31 meters, fairly strong signals, speech not intelligible, no hum of airplane in background but voice similar to that emitted from plane in flight last night between 4:30 and 9:30 PM.'
 
Message from plane when at least 60 miles south of Nauru received 8:30 PM Sydney time July 2nd saying 'a ship in sight ahead'. Since identified as steamer Myrtle Bank which arrived Nauru daybreak today. Reported no contact between Itasca and Nauru radio.
 
Continuous watch being maintained by Nauru radio.
 
6:31, 6:43, and 6:54 p. m. Sydney time on 3 July =  08:31, 08:43 and 08:54 GMT on 3 July.
 
4:30 and 9:30 p. m. Sydney time on 2 July = 06:30 and 11:30 GMT on 2 July.
 
8:30 p. m. Sydney time on 2 July = 10:30 GMT on 2 July.
 
The Itasca never received such a message from Nauru, relayed from Coast Guard radio in San Francisco. It received something like the first part of Doyle's message. As mentioned above, Doyle's report that Earhart saw a ship the previous night, at 10:30 GMT, was not reported by anyone else. Doyle's telegram is the only claim for it. 
 
Later, the US Navy received Doyle's message from the State Department in Washington, D. C. 
 
The point of Doyle's telegram, however, was that a woman's unintelligble voice heard for five hours by Nauru radio on 2 July, thought to be Earhart's, was similar to the voice thrice heard 12 hours after her disappearance. 
 
 
Radio signals from the west?
 
Some time on 3 July, as recorded in the Cruise Report by Cmdr. Thompson, the Itasca was ordered by the navy in San Francisco to search an area in which four amateur radio operators in Los Angeles claimed to have heard Earhart.
 
 
File:Compass Card B+W.svg
 
 
The position given was 179 longitude   -   with 1.6 latitude "in doubt"   -   southwest of Howland.
 
Without more specific coordinates, this position could mean 179 East or 179 West Longitude, with points a maximum distance of 110 nautical miles apart east-west, and 1.6 North or 1.6 South Latitude, with points a maximum distance of 240 nautical miles apart north-south.
 
However, with "southwest of Howland" the maximum distance north-south is reduced by one-third to 160 miles. Most of the area is below the equator, with the rest about 40 miles above the equator.
 
The plane's planned flight path to Howland directly from Lae, or from Nauru, from 179 West to 179 East Longitudes extends to 15 miles south of the equator in the west to 40 miles north of the equator in the east.
 
The Itasca sailed to a point several miles west of the 180th meridian   -   the International Date Line.  
 
Richard Black recorded in his Cruise Report:
 
"At about 7:00 A. M. we crossed the International Date Line, making the day and date for a while Monday, the 5th, but we were soon back into east longitude and Sunday."
 
Cmdr. Thompson recorded that the Itasca spent the day and night of 4 July searching from the 180th meridian (International Date Line) eastward towards Howland Island with a north and south "rectangular search method" to cover the area.
 
However, the search was almost entirely to the east of the IDL and northwest of Howland, from points 30 to 110 nautical miles north of the equator. The search completely missed the direct flight path from Lae and a likely flight path from Nauru.      
 
 
Radio signals from the north?
 
At 2:42 a. m. on 5 July the Itasca was ordered by the navy in Honolulu to search an area north of Howland. The main navy radio station, at Wallupe, near Honolulu, claimed to have heard a distress call from Earhart possibly indicating her position.
 
The intelligible parts of the message, as reported, relayed to the Itasca, were:
 
"Two Eight One North . . . Howland . . . Beyond North . . ."  
 
The message was thought to mean 281 nautical miles north of Howland. There is only the sea at that point and no land for hundreds of miles.
 
It could have meant also to the north beyond that point. No land to the north from that point for another 1,300 nautical miles.
 
Or 2.81 North Latitude. From Howland, the nearest land at that latitude is Makin Island in the northern Gilberts.
 
Or possibly 281 degrees from Howland   -   a true (geographic) compass heading or a magnetic bearing. A 281 true compass heading from Howland leads west by north to Makin Island (about ten miles to the south of it). The magnetic declination (variation) on Howland in 1937 was + 9.6 degrees (east). A magnetic bearing of 281 was 291 true and led west-north-west directly to Jaluit Atoll in the Marshall Islands, at the time held by Japan under a mandate from the League of Nations. Jaluit was the Japanese administrative headquarters in the Marshalls.

The Itasca received the order when 90 nautical miles of the way east towards Howland, conducting the rectangular search.
 
The Itasca sailed on a course almost due north, to a point about 280 nautical miles to the northwest of Howland, to intercept a line of 157 - 337 from Howland, and then sailed due east to the point indicated   -   281 miles north of Howland   -   continuing the search to that point.
 
The Itasca reached the point at dusk and searched the area.
 
A British cargo steamship, the SS Moorsby, diverted from its course to the area to join the search.
 
At 9:00 p. m. the Itasca saw green rockets or flares bursting in the distance to the north and sailed to investigate. Howland Island and the USS Swan saw the flares too and pointed out that they were actually a "meteorological shower". 
 
Continuing due east from that point the Itasca searched throughout the night of 5/6 July for about 180 nautical miles.
 
Lockheed advised that the plane's radio could not operate if the plane was in water. The search of the area was called off. 
 
 
USS Colorado
 
The Itasca headed south and east in the early morning of 6 July, to a point about 150 miles to the east of Howland, to report to the battleship USS Colorado, en route from Honolulu to refuel the Itasca.
 
The USS Colorado, with hydroplanes and catapult launches, arrived on 7 July and refueled the Itasca
Now under the command of the navy, the Itasca became a navy ship. (The Coast Guard was a service of the Department of the Treasury at the time.)
 
 
Search south of Baker Island
 
During the search earlier to the north and west by the Itasca, the Navy concluded that it was more likely that Earhart and Noonan were blown off course by the winds from the northeast and went down southwest of Howland and Baker Islands or to the southeast in the southern Phoenix Islands.
 
In the early afternoon of 7 July the Itasca sailed southwest toward Baker Island, as ordered by the Colorado.
 
The Itasca searched from Baker Island far to the south and west from 8 to 11 July thus:
 
From a point on the equator, on a line of 157 - 337 from Baker, the Itasca conducted a wide east-west rectangular method search to points about 170 nautical miles southeast and southwest of Baker (or 210 nautical miles southeast and southwest of Howland). The eastern end of the search was along the line 157 - 337 from Howland. The search's farthest point to the southeast was about 35 nautical miles due west of Winslow Reef, the position of which was not known at the time.  
 
No trace of Earhart and Noonan, their plane or a life boat was found to the south, southeast and southwest of Baker.
 
 
The southern Phoenix Islands
 
The southern Phoenix Islands (or the Phoenix Island Group)   -   eight small atolls   -   are to the southeast of Howland and Baker Island.
 
 
 
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Map shows the Gilbert Islands, Phoenix Islands and Line Islands.
 
 
 Howland
  Baker
 
 
 
  Winslow Reef
                                   Kanton (Canton)
                                          Enderbury
    McKean            
                                            Birnie 
                                                  Phoenix
                                               Sydney
                                Hull
     Gardner
         Carondelet Reef
 
 
In 1937, both Britain and the U. S. had designs on the southern Phoenix Islands (known today as the Phoenix Group). Britain claimed the Phoenix Islands as part of the Gilbert Islands.
 
Kanton (Canton) is the largest of the Phoenix Islands.
 
In June 1937, shortly before Earhart's flight, the U. S. claimed Kanton. A British warship and an American ship exchanged bowshots when the American ship sailed for the best anchorage on Kanton Island. The British ship objected and fired. The American ship fired back and sailed to the anchorage.
 
The British colonised Kanton in August 1937.
 
The U. S. colonisd Kanton and Enderbury Islands in March 1938. 
 
Britain and the U. S. agreed to share control of Kanton and Enderbury in 1939.
 
From August 1939 to December 1941, Kanton was a stopping point for Pan American Clipper flights across the Pacific to California to New Zealand.
 
Kanton was a US Navy air base during the Pacific War.
 
Enderbury's colonists left in 1942.
 
Today, Kanton is the only island inhabited in the Phoenix Islands.
 
Only Hull Island was inhabited at the time of Earhart's flight in 1937.
 
 
The line 157 - 337 (157 degrees southeast and 337 degrees northwest), drawn through Howland Island, leads southeast to Baker Island and, below the equator, to the Phoenix Islands of McKean and Gardner.
 
Because there are no islands to the north of Howland for hundreds of miles, it was thought possible that Noonan, low on fuel and uncertain of his position, would intercept his landfall not to the north of Howland but to the south of Baker to ensure that he had islands on both sides   -   to the northwest and to the southeast. He would intercept his landfall between Baker (to the north) and McKean (to the south). Then he could fly north towards Baker and Howland and, if he did not see them, fly southwards to McKean and Gardner.
 
 
                                        Howland
                                          Baker
1. Sun Line
             2. 20-degree turn south
                                              3. LOP, 4. Turn north or south
 
                                                    McKean
 
                                                        Gardner
 
 
It was possible also that Earhart and Noonan flew east beyond Howland and Baker.
 
 
Radio signals from McKean and Gardner?
 
 
Pan American Airways installed high-frequency RDFs on Wake Island, Midway Island and Mokapu on the Hawaiian island of Oahu in 1935 to assist Pan Am's Clipper flights across the Pacific. 
 
Pan Am assisted Earhart on her flight from Oakland to Honolulu in March 1937 but Pan Am RDFs did not track Earhart during her flight from Lae to Howland in May. (They were not asked to.)
 
As shown on the map above, after the flight, on 4 and 5 July the radio operators of the three Pan Am RDFs reported taking bearings on seven radio signals on frequencies of 3105 (or near 3105) at night.
 
The Howland RDF took a bearing on a signal on 3105 kcs. on 5 July.
 
Three of Pan Am's bearings and the Howland bearing intersected in the southern Phoenix Islands in the area of McKean and Gardner on a line of 157 - 337 from Howland.
 
The signals were short, weak and unintelligible. Nothing about them could be concluded. (Were the signals from the north or south?) There were numerous possible explanations. How the bearings were obtained also was questioned. It was thought unlikely that the radio signals were from Earhart but the possibility, however remote, could not be dismissed entirely. 
 
Hull Island, 140 nautical miles east of Gardner's Island, was the only island inhabited in the southern Phoenix Islands. There was a radio on Hull.
 
 
Aerial Search
 
As the Itasca searched northwest of Winslow Reef, the Colorado and planes launched from the Colorado searched the Phoenix Islands to the southeast of Baker.
 
The planes searched from 7 to 10 July in near-perfect weather conditions with light winds and calm seas and occasional rains. The planes flew over the islands at 400 to 1,000 feet and one landed on one atoll.

 
 
Image result for vought corsair searches gardner's island 1937

Vought O3U-3 Corsair, a two-seat hydroplane, with pilot and observer, of the type launched from the USS Colorado to search the Phoenix Islands for Amelia Earhart, Fred Noonan and their plane in July 1937. 
 
 
 
Sketch of the search by the USS Colorado with hydroplanes by US Navy Lt. John O. Lambrecht, the senior pilot on the Colorado and commander of the search by air. The sketch was included in his report of the search. In the upper left-hand corner is a skecth of the earch conducted by the Itasca before 12 July.  
 
 
On 7 July the Colorado reached a point about half-way between Baker and McKean Islands and launched search planes.
 
Reconnaissance occupied the first two days of the aerial search, with planes searching for Winslow Reef. Its position was uncertain. It might not exist. The Colorado was concerned about the possibility of a ship running onto the reef.
 
It was thought possible that Earhart's plane landed on the reef or ditched near it.
 
In the afternoon of 7 July and morning and afternoon of 8 July, a group of three planes launched from the Colorado searched to the south for Winslow Reef and could not find it. (The reef is well below the ocean surface.) On one flight there were only two planes.
 
On the morning of 9 July, three planes flew over McKean Island, Gardner's Island and Carondelet Reef.
 
On McKean, a barren atoll with a shallow lagoon almost dry, there were walls of a few old mud houses and evidence of guano mining but no signs of recent habitation.
 
There was a coconut grove on Gardner's Island and definite signs of recent habitation but none presently.
 
Carondelet Reef is 57 nautical miles to the south of Gardner's Island. It is one mile long and submerged but can be spotted by breakers on the surface at a distance of ten miles from the air.
 
In the afternoon, three planes flew to Hull Island. The inhabitants cheered and waved as the planes flew low passes over the island. One plane, piloted by Lambrecht, landed on the lagoon of the atoll to make enquiries. Three Polynesisan coconut plantation workers from the island of Tokelau (far to the south), paddled their outrigger canoe across the lagoon to greet Lambrecht and the observer. With them was the British plantation manager. None reported a plane. The plantation manager had a radio. He had not heard about Earhart. Lambrecht was on the atoll an hour or more before returning to the air.
 
On the morning of 10 July, three planes from the Colorado flew over the islands of Sydney, Phoenix, Enderbury and Birnie. The latter three were barren and without signs of habitation. There were shacks and coconut groves on Sydney but the inhabitants, the plantation workers from Tokelau and the British manager, had moved recently to Hull Island.
 
In the afternoon, three planes flew over Kanton Island. There were signs of recent habitation but none presently.
 
Some of the islands were incorrectly indicated on navigation charts. Planes flew over the islands at altitudes of 400 to 1,000 feet. On one occasion as low as fifty feet. The presence of many birds prevented flying lower than 400 feet. It was Lambrecht's impression that a plane could easily land on the lagoons of most of the islands.  
 
No trace of Earhart and Noonan, their plane or life boat was found in the Phoenix Islands.
 
The Colorado departed on 12 July.
 
 
Gilbert Islands
 
The Gilbert Islands were a British colony at the time. By March 1937, the British pressed their claim also to the Phoenix Islands as a district of the Gilbert Islands.
 
The aircraft carrier USS Lexington, with three destroyers   -   the USS Cushing, USS Drayton and the USS Lamson   -   and more than 60 planes, arrived on 12 July and took over command of the search.
 
It was thought possible that Noonan ordered a Line of Position Approach to the south of Howland Island   -   when he got a fix from an observation of the stars at 17:00 GMT (5:30 a. m. Itasca time) (40 minutes before sunrise on Howland). Two hours later, around 19:00 GMT (7:30 a. m. Itasca time), when short and west of the Advanced Line of Position (ALOP), the plane turned and flew north 65 miles to its DR and, at 19:28 GMT (7:58 a. m. Itasca time), when closest to the island, circled in search for it ("We are circling"). By 20:13 GMT (8:43 a. m. Itasca time), Noonan ordered a north-south ladder method search for the island across the Line of Position 157 - 337 ("We are running on line north and south"). At 20:30 GMT (9:00 a. m. Itasca time), the plane ditched at sea. (Source: J. S. Dowell.)
 
Earhart's friend, Eugene Vidal, claimed Earhart planned to fly back to the Gilbert Islands if she could not find Howland, ditch at sea as close as possible to an island and take the life-boat to shore.
 
Arorae Island is about 430 nautical miles southwest of Howland. Tarawa is more than 600 miles to the west.
 
Before departure, the ETA was 18:00 GMT (6:30 a. m. Itasca time, 7:30 a. m. Howland time). Providing the plane did not burn excess fuel on the way from Lae, at 18:00 GMT (ET) it could have reserve fuel to fly four more hours, till 21:40 GMT (ET) (20% reserve) or 22:30 GMT (ET) (25% reserve) (10:10 to 11:00 a. m. Itasca time). If far short of Howland, or near it but unable to find it, the time to turn back for the Gilberts was 18:00 GMT   -   or earlier. With tailwinds the plane might reach the Gilberts. According to the Itasca radio logs, at 18:15 - 18:16 GMT Earhart and Noonan were about "100 miles" out and heading towards Howland. They should have reached the island by 19:00 GMT (ET). By 19:28 GMT (7:58 a. m. Itasca time) ("We are circling.") it was too late. They had to find Howland or Baker. There was not another island anywhere they might reach in time. They were still searching at 20:13 GMT (8:43 a. m. Itasca time)("We are on the line 157 - 337").
 
Some believed the plane had sufficient reserve fuel to turn back at the time of Earhart's last message at 20:13 GMT (ET), gave up the search and flew west towards the Gilberts. With 8 to 15-knot tailwinds, the plane might reach the Gilberts before its fuel ran out. That seems unlikely.
 
Most of the Phoenix Islands to the southeast are closer to Howland than the Gilberts but they are fewer and much farther apart. The Gilbert Islands are more numerous and much closer together. One is much less likely to pass over the Gilberts without seeing an island. 
 
The Lexington launched large groups of planes to search for plane wreckage and a rubber raft from 13 to 19 July. Planes searched far to the north, northwest, west and southwest of Howland. Planes searched west of the International Date Line and close to the Gilbert Islands.
 
The Lexington, Itasca and the Swan headed south and west for the Gilbert Islands on 12 July to make enquiries.
 
Enquiries were made from Arorae Island in the south to Tarawa in the north.
 
Some believe the distress call "281 North" heard by the US Navy radio in Wallupe on Oahu on 5 July meant 281 North Latitude. From Howland, the nearest point of land at that latitude is Makin Island in the northern Gilberts. A compass heading 281 degrees true from Howland leads west by north to the Makin Islands.  
 
The Makin and Marakei Islands were not visited by the Navy. The British Resident on Tarawa was in radio contact with the islands to the north and there were no reports of a flight or plane wreckage. 
 
No one on the Gilberts reported a plane. No trace of Earhart and Noonan or their plane was found.   
 
The Itasca ended her search in the afternoon of 15 July and sailed directly east from the Gilberts back to Howland Island.
 
On 18 July, the Itasca picked up Radioman Cipriani and ham radio operators Henry Lau and Ah Kin Leong on Howland. Cipriani left the Navy HF RDF on the island. Cmdr. Thompson ordered Bellarts to fetch it. The Itasca sailed for Honolulu later in the day.
 
The search for Earhart and Noonan was called off on 18 July but the Lexington continued the aerial search into the next day, 19 July.
 
Many more US ships than those mentioned above were involved in the search.
 
 
The area within 50 miles to the east and northeast of Howland was not searched. It was assumed any wreckage or raft would drift towards Howland and Baker and to areas about the islands that would be covered later by the search.
 
 
At the time, the search for Amelia Earhart and Fred Noonan, ordered by President Roosevelt, was the biggest in the history of the US Navy to date. The search was also a naval and air exercise and reconnaissance of the Gilbert Islands, particularly the Phoenix Islands, conducted in anticipation of possible difficulties with Britain and war with Japan in the area.  
 
 
---------------
 
 
Amelia Earhart, Fred Noonan and their Lockheed Electra disappeared in the central Pacific Ocean in the mid-morning of Friday, 2 July 1937. No trace of them or their plane was ever found.
 
Noonan was the best flight navigator of his day, with the most experience in long-distance flights over the Pacific. He was sure of finding Howland, a tiny remote island in a vast ocean. It is generally believed that Noonan navigated correctly and missed Howland through an accumulation of small errors in his estimates of his MPP derived from celestial fixes, dead reckoned runs and perhaps also a sun line, all within the navigator's margin of error. 
 
How close Earhart and Noonan came to Howland may never be known, even if their plane is one day found at the bottom of the sea. Earhart's messages in the last two hours indicated the plane was within 40 to 200 miles of the island when last heard. Some believe they came within 30 miles of the island.
 
Radio communication failure with the Itasca is usually cited as the main problem of the flight. In the end, if Earhart had been able to take a bearing, she would have found the island.
 
Earhart may have set out without low-frequency capability and a working RDF. She may have thought there was still a chance Howland, whatever its capabilities, would get a bearing on her high-frequency signals.
 
The Navy HF RDF on Howland may have been junk. It was certainly treated as such. A tested RDF, whatever its capabilties, with an experienced radio operator, should have been placed on Howland and better prepared.
 
The Putnams should have hired an expert radio operator to complete all pre-flight radio arrangements, oversee pre-flight radio tests, operate the plane's RDF, and handle his own two-way communication by radio telephone and telegraph.
 
It has been suggested that Earhart may have been too fatigued to react as required in the last hour or so of the flight to Howland. This is not at all certain, however. She had experience with long-distance flights.
 
It is not always possible to deter a famous and determined pilot who is backed by money, connections, the press and the public. The decision to proceed was entirely up to the crew. In his report, the US Army Air Corps pilot, 1st Lt. Daniel Cooper, recommended banning further such civilian flights and limiting flights to Howland to the military and airlines like Pan Am.  
 
 
------------   
 
 
No one has tried to fly from Lae to Howland with the same conditions since Earhart and Noonan.
 
------------
 
 
The possibility of a Hollywood movie about Earhart's flight around the world, probably in 1937 or 1938, may have been abandoned with the plane's disappearance. A movie made later, in 1942, played on stories and rumors about Earhart and the flight.
 
 
------------
 
 
The airfield on Howland Island was abandoned after Earhart's flight. US Marines were stationed on the island in 1943 and 1944. Birds have been its only inhabitants since.  
 
During the Pacific War, in June 1944, an American hydro-plane with an engine fire ditched off the island's shore. The crew beached the plane and scuttled it. The crew were rescued by a Coast Guard cutter 
shortly afterward.
 
Two planes based on Baker Island made emergency landings on Howland during the war. As far as is known, they are the only planes to have landed on the island.
 
 
------------
 
 
The Itasca was launched in 1929. The ship was loaned to Britain under the Lend-Laase program in May 1941 and her name changed to HMS Gorleston. She escorted trade convoys in the East and North Atlantic, the Mediterranean, across the Atlantic to the U. S., Caribbean and South America. She was in Operation Torch   -   the Allied landings in North Africa in November 1942. She escorted convoys in the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal. She was returned to the U. S. in 1946, her name restored, and sold for scrap in 1950.   
 
 
------------
 
 
 
Amelia Earhart's Last Flight

          Untitled Document 

Red River Dave McEnery
 
Composed in 1938, performed on television at the 1939 New York World's Fair and recorded in 1941.
 
 
 
 
 
 
                       -   -----------
 
 
 
Amelia Earhart
 
Episode from the documentary series Legends of Airpower (2000)
 
 
Excerpt:
 
 
 
Amelia Earhart's Electra
 
Description of the Lockheed Electra 10E
 
(10:36)
 

 
 
                      

Amelia Earhart

Episode from the documentary series Legends of Airpower (2000)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oo-37pV4mxk


Lockheed 10 Electra

Rex's Hangar

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H2VBotrdSyk




------------------


A 17-page letter by Fred Noonan posted in Bandung, Java on 23 June 1937, eight days before his disappearance, is the last known letter from Earhart and Noonan.

https://fox5sandiego.com/news/local-news/local-man-finds-last-known-letter-before-amelia-earharts-disappearance/






                          ---------------
 
 
 
Howland Island
 
The underwater search
 
 
Image result for amelia earhart - Nauticos
 
 
It is generally assumed that Earhart and Noonan went down at sea not far to the west, northwest, north or northeast of Howland Island.
 
 
Elgen Long, aviator
 
Image result for elgen long search area
Elgen Marion Long
 
 
"Amelia Earhart was an early symbol of women's emergence as individuals in their own right and pioneering advocate of women having careers other than as wives and mothers.
 
"Fred Noonan, as navigator of the Pan American Airways China Clipper, was a role model for thousands of young Americans aspiring towards careers in aviation."
 
- Elgen Marion Long (1999)
 
 
Advisor to the Nauticos search
 
2017
 
 
 
The following sequence of events was suggested by Long, noted for his research of the World Flight, in 1999:
 
1. Heading 78 degrees from Lae, speed 134.5 knots
 
2. Last celestial fix (before sunrise)
 
3. Headwinds reducing plane's average ground speed 6 miles every hour
 
4. ETA 19:02 GMT
 
5. 18:25 - (new) sun line (157 - 337) 82 miles out
 
6. 18:33 - start descent to 1,000 ft. 65 miles out; speed reduced to 85 knots
 
7. Change heading from 78 for Line of Position Approach in direction of drift N or S;
 
New ETA 19:12
 
8. 19:02 - landfall 10 -15 miles N or S of island; visibility 20 miles in every direction
 
9. Turn towards island 157 S or 337 N
 
Island actually 6 nautical miles east of its position on Earhart's nautical chart.
 
10. 19:12 - "We must be on you . . .";
 
Noonan's MPP within an Area of Uncertainty 50 miles N or S of Howland (100 miles) and 20 miles E or W of it (40 miles)
 
11. Fly straight for another 20 miles
 
12. 19:28 - Holding pattern; "We are circling . . ."; request for bearing
 
13. 20:13 - "We are on the line 157 - 337."
 
 
MPP at 20:13 GMT within an Area of Uncertainty 62 miles N or S of Howland (124 miles N-S) and within 29 miles E and 41 miles W (70 miles E-W). 
 
"Without radio direction-finding, the successful outcome of the flight depended as much on luck as on Noonan's skill."
 
90% chance plane within 2,000-square-nautical-mile-area west of Howland and Baker horizons (14 to 20 nautical miles).
 
 
Elgen Long
 
1971 Crossroads Circumpolar Flight
 
First solo pole to pole round-the-world flight
 
2017
 
 
 
A Man, A Plane and A Dream
 
Documentary (2002)
 
 
 
Elgen M. Long
 
2016
 
 
 
 
In Search of Amelia Earhart
 
Episode from the 2002 documentary series World of Mysteries (50:39)
 
Features Elgen Long
 
This film contains an unjustified personal attack on Fred Noonan.
 
 
 
History
 
The February 2017 Nauticos Eustace Earhart Discovery Expedition
 
Uploaded on 2 February 2017
 
 
 
Out of Gas
 
Survey Manager, Tom Detweiler
 
Uploaded on 6 March 2017
 
 
 
Amelia’s Electra 10E
 
Exhibit Manager, Jon Thompson
 
Uploaded on 6 March 2017
 
 
 
Side Scan Sonar Analysis
 
Tom Dettweiler
 
 
 
Side Scan Sonar Analysis
 
Jeff Morris
 
 
 
The underwater search in 2017 found two planes from the Pacific War (1941 - 1945) at the bottom of the sea but no trace of Earhart's Electra. 
 
 
 
------------
 
 
 
The Marshall Islands

Did the Japanese find Earhart and Noonan?
 

No Japanese vessels of any type, including fishing boats, are known to have been in the vicinity of Howland Island   -   or the Phoenix Islands   -   on 2 July 1937.
 
However, if Earhart and Noonan went down at sea far to the north or northwest of Howland   -   or drifted in a rubber boat to the northwest   -   there was a chance that they would be rescued by Japanese ships.
 
 
Related image
 
During the Great War (1914 - 1918) Japan divided German colonies in the Pacific with Britain, Australia and New Zealand. After the war, the four countries administered the former German colonies with mandates from the League of Nations, as shown on the above map.
 
In 1914, the Japanese claimed all German territory north of equator   -   the Marshall Islands, the Mariana Islands and the Caroline Islands   -   and received a mandate over the islands from the League of Nations in 1920.
 
Japan decided to quit the League of Nations in 1933 when the General Assembly condemned Japan's invasion of Manchuria and called for Japanese withdrawal from Manchuria and its return to China. Japan formally left the League in 1935 and broke all ties with it in 1938.
 
Before the Great War, the island of Papua was divided among three countries. The Dutch claimed the western half as part of the Dutch East Indies. The eastern half was divided by the Germans and Australians. The Germans held the northern half as German New Guinea. The Australians held the southern half as British New Guinea. The Australians took the German half in the Great War and, after the war, administered it as the Territory of Papua under a League of Nations mandate.
 
The island of Nauru was taken from the Germans by the Australians in 1914. In 1919 the British assumed administration of the island. In 1922 the League mandated Nauru to Australia with Britain and New Zealand as co-trustees.
 
The British held the Fijian Islands, Solomon Islands, and the Gilbert and Ellice Islands as colonies. The southern Phoenix Islands were considered part of the Gilbert Islands.
 
New Zealand took the western island of Samoa from the Germans in 1914 and administered it under a League mandate after the war.
 
The U. S. held the Hawaiian Islands, Midway, Wake Island, Guam and American Samoa as U. S. territories. The Philippines, independent in 1936, were a U. S. protectorate.
 
France held the Society Islands, the New Hebrides and New Caledonia as French territories.
 
Portugal held Macau and East Timor as colonies.
 
The U. S. did not join the League of Nations.
 
 
Related image
Japanese shipping routes in 1939.
 

 
Image result for Letter from the Japanese ambassador about amelia earhart
Undated letter, probably on 20 July 1937, from the Japanese ambassador to the U. S. to the US Secretary of State about Japanese assistance in the search for Amelia Earhart.
 
 

 
 Fishing boat story 5
Bethlehem Globe Times (Pennsylvania), 13 July 1937
 
 

Soon after Earhart's disappearance, there were rumors that Earhart had been on a secret spy mission and shot down by the Japanese.
 
There were stories that Earhart had flown to the Japanese-held islands of Truk and Palau   -   and even to Saipan.
 
Years later, after the Pacifc War, there were claims that U. S. military radio operators secretly monitored Japanese radio communications before the war and learned of the capture of Earhart and Noonan but said nothing because revealing knowledge of Japanese codes would compel the Japanese to change them.  
 
 
 
Image result for : FLIGHT TO FREEDOM - ROSALIND RUSSELL
Poster advertisement for the Hollywood movie Flight for Freedom with Rosalind Russell, Fred MacMurray and Herbert Marshall. Filmed in 1942 and released in 1943.
 
 
A love story.
 
In the late 1930s, a famous American aviatrix, Tonie Carter, 
plans one more flight before she retires. She is to fly around the world by the equator. Then she will marry her former flight instructor, the famous air racer Paul Turner.
 
She starts her flight in California. She flies to Hawaii. As she is about to take off on the second leg of her flight, across the central Pacific, she receives an urgent and secret message from the US Navy. Her services are required. She is asked to end her round-the-world flight and report at once.   
 
She deliberately crashes her plane as it takes off.
 
The US Navy asks her to undertake a secret mission. The Navy will repair her plane and she is to resume her solo flight around the world   -   this time flying the other way, to the east. On the last leg of her flight, from Lae, New Guinea across the Pacific, she is to send a distress call. She is to say she is lost and low on fuel and then cut off the radio. This will give the Navy an excuse to search for her by flying over all the islands the Japanese hold under mandate from the League of Nations. The Japanese are building military installations on the islands in preparation for war with the US. After sending the distress call she is to land on tiny Gull Island in the central Pacific. The Navy will pick her up.
 
A navigator will join her in Lae to guide her to Gull Island.
 
She flies three-quarters of the way around the world and arrives in Lae. The navigator is waiting for her, to guide her to Gull Island. To her surprise, he is her old lover, the flying ace Randy Britten.
 
On the eve of the flight the Japanese inform her that they know of her plan and will rescue her when she lands on Gull. They will announce to the world that she is safe and sound. Thus, there will be no need for the Americans to search for her over the Japanese mandated islands.
 
She expresses doubt about the mission to Britten. The two renew their love. He wants to marry her. She accepts. But she cannot marry two men. An impossible situation. She asks Britten what he would do if he flew the mission alone and saw a Japanese ship near Gull Island. He replies that he would fly on and ditch at sea.
 
She knows she cannot return home with Britten. But she is determined to go through with the mission. She will do it as Britten would. She goes to the airfield early in the morning and takes off before Britten arrives.
 
She sends a distress call from somewhere over the Pacific. Then she crashes her plane at sea. She is never heard from again.
 
The film has many interesting parallels to Amelia Earhart's story and the tales told after her disappearance.  
 
 
Flight for Freedom
 
Hollywood movie with Rosalind Russell, Fred MacMurray and Herbert Marshall (1943) (1:42:00)
 
 
 
Flight for Freedom
 
Lux Radio Theatre (1943)
 
A radio play of the movie
 
With Rosalind Russell
 
 
 
Amelia Earhart
 
Episode from the documentary series In Search Of . . . with Leonard Nimoy (1976)
 
Features Elgen Long
 
 
 
 
Marshall Islands?
 
Searching for Earhart and Noonan, no US ship ventured directly north of Tarawa in the Gilberts. No ship sailed to within 250 miles to the east of the Japanese-held Marshalls.
 
It was claimed that planes from the USS Lexington searched the seas close to the Marshall Islands far to the northwest of Howland but did not fly into Japanese air space.
 
The Itasca calculated that if Earhart and Noonan got out of the plane with their raft they would drift north and west at the rate of 48 nautical miles a day   -   48 miles a day, 240 miles in five days, 480 miles in ten days, 816 miles in 17 days. The Lexington calculated a driift rate of 12 nautical miles per day. The Lexington ended her search on 19 July  Plane wreckage (and raft) may have reached the Gilbert Islands or the Marshall Islands in August.
 
The Americans and Japanese exchanged diplomatic cables about the search. It was claimed that two Japanese ships in the Marshall Islands, identified as the Koshu Maru and the Kamoi Maru, the former on Jaluit Atoll and the latter on Majuro Atoll, searched for the downed flyers. According to the log of the Kamoi it was too far from the Marshall islands to have been involved in a search. The Koshu, however, may have been involved. (See below.)
 
 

Related image

Map of the Marshall Islands


 
The Spanish were the first Europeans to land on the Marshall Islands, in 1529. 
 
The Spanish claimed the islands as part of the Spanish East Indies.
 
The Germans took the islands from the Spanish in the late 1800s and administered them as part of German New Guinea.
 
Japan took the Marshall Islands from the Germans in 1914 and administered them until the U. S. took them in 1944.
 
Many Japanese traders, laborers and fishermen settled on the islands during the Japanese administration. Okinawans and Koreans also settled there. There was inter-marriage with the Marshallese.
 
 
The common belief is that Earhart and Noonan ditched in the seas about the northern Phoenix Islands.
 
There were claims that Earhart and Noonan crashed in the Marshall Islands and were imprisoned and eventually killed by the Japanese on Saipan in the Mariana Islands.
 
It is believed most unlikely that they could have flown so far off course.
 
Some Marshallese heard about Amelia Earhart's crash and heard also that Earhart and Noonan were in the Marshall Islands.
 
Some claimed Earhart and Noonan crashed off Barre (Bar) Island of Mili Atoll in the southern Marshall Islands   -   about 800 miles northwest of Howland Island.
 
Mili Atoll is about 450 nautical miles northwest by north of the planned course of Earhart and Noonan over the Gilbert Islands.
 
Some Marshallese claimed to have seen Earhart and Noonan. 
 
A Japanese-born Marshallese native, Bilimon Aramon, claimed that as a young medic in the Japanese clinic on Jaluit, he was asked by the Japanese to go on board a Japanese ship in Jaluit Harbor to treat two Caucasians. He claimed to have treated the man for wounds on the head and knee. The Japanese on board called the woman "Emira".
 
 
 

Set of four stamps issued to commemorate the fiftieth anniversary of Earhart's landing in the Marshall Islands by the Canadian Philatelic Exposition (CAPEX) in 1987.
 
The four stamps show
 
- Earhart's take-off from Lae
 
- the Itasca stationed off Howland Island
 
- Earhart's crash-landing on Mili Atoll
 
- the recovery of the Electra by the ship Koshu.
  
 
Image result for Flight path - Lae, New Guinea to Milli Atoll
Marshall Islands commemorative stamp in 1987
 
 
The stamp above was issued in 1987 for the Marshall Islands in commemoration of the 50th Anniversary of Earhart's and Noonan's flight in 1937.
 
The stamp shows Earhart's route over India, Southeast Asia, to Darwin, Australia and to Lae, New Guinea. Their Electra flies out over the Pacific towards Howland Island. The stamp includes the islands of Truk and Saipan.
 
The stamp includes Barre Island of Mili Atoll in the Marshall Islands.


Map of Mili Atoll


Amelia Earhart

Biography

Narrated by Mike Wallace

Documentary (24 min. 50 sec.)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nqiZNFffRI4


miliatoll.jpg


A modern sketch map of Mili Atoll.

Zoom in to view.

Barre (Bar) Island is on the north side of the lagoon, near the northwest corner.

Mili Island, with the headquarters of the atoll, is the island in the southwest corner.

 
 
[​IMG]
Satellite photo of Barre (Bar) Island, with the sea to the north and lagoon to the south.
 
 
From Mili Atoll the two flyers were said to have been taken to Jaluit Atoll, the Japanese administrative centre of the Marshall Islands, and thence to the island of Saipan in the Mariana Islands.
 
Some believe the distress call "281 North" heard by the US Navy radio in Wallupe on Oahu on 5 July indicated a magnetic bearing. The magnetic declination on Howland in 1937 was + 9.6 degrees (east). The magnetic bearing of 281 from Howland led 291 degrees true west-north-west directly to Jaluit Atoll of the Marshall Islands.
 
 
Saipan
 
The commemorative stamp (above) issued for the Marshall Islands in 1987 includes the island of Saipan in the Mariana Islands.
 
Two or more natives on the island of Saipan claimed to have seen a white couple in Japanese custody and interned in a Japanese prison as spies. One or more claimed to have seen the execution of a white man and woman.
 
 
 
                                 ----------------
 
 
 
The latest story in the search for Amelia Earhart in the Marshall Islands and Saipan
 
Enedik, Jabor, Saipan
 
In 2017 a TV documentary producer got together with two retired American civil servants   -   a retired FBI agent and a retired US Treasury agent   -   to make a documentary film about the disappearance of Amelia Earhart.
 
Their show went over some of the old stories but claimed to have found sensational new evidence.
 
 
Enedik Island, Mili Atoll
 
A Marshallese native claimed to have seen the plane crash-land off Endriken Island (Enedik) of Mili Atoll and to have watched a white couple wade ashore.
 
Endriken (Enedik) Island and Barre (Bar) Island are two small islands less than two miles apart on one larger flat on the north side of Mili Atoll. The two islands are indicated in the modern sketch map of Mili Atoll above.

 
 
Satellite photo of Mili Atoll, with notes by the retired Treasury agent indicating Barre Island and Endriken (Enedik) Island in the western third of the north side of the atoll. (Zoom in to see.)

 
 
Image result for Endriken Island, Mili Atoll
Recent satellite photo of Endriken (Enedik) Island, in the centre, with the sea to the north and lagoon to the south.
 
It was claimed that Earhart and Noonan landed on the north side (sea side) of the island. The Japanese took them to Mili Island, the capital of Mili Atoll, and then to Jaluit Atoll.
 
 
[​IMG]
Recent satellite photo of the northwest stretch of Mili Atoll. Barre (Bar) and Endriken (Enedik) Islands are in the right half of the photo.
 
 
Jabor Dock, Jaluit Harbor, Jaluit Atoll
 
The ex-Treasury agent, long fascinated by the fate of Earhart, claimed to have found photographic evidence that Earhart, Noonan and their plane were brought to Jaluit Island.  
 
 
 

He based his claim on the above photo which he maintained included Earhart and Noonan after their disappearance.

The photo is of Jabor Dock in Jaluit Harbor by the town of Jabor on Jaluit Island of Jaluit Atoll of the Marshall Islands. 

 

1888 German map of Jaluit Atoll. The many islands of the atoll enclose a lagoon. The town of Jabor appears in more detail in the inset of the passage from the sea into the lagoon.

A dock (not in the sketch) was built south of Jabor, on the west side, facing the lagoon, in the 1890s.

A second dock, known as Jabor Dock, was built in Jabor, to the north, much later, in the 1930s.  

Jabor was a German merchant port until 1914 and Jaluit Atoll was the centre of the Japanese administration of the Marshall Islands from 1914 to 1945. 

Jaluit is 165 miles west of Mili Atoll.

 

Image result for Jabor Islet

Recent aerial photo of Jabor at the north end of Jaluit Island of Jaluit Atoll. The view is from the south to the north. To the east (right) is the sea. To the west (left) is the lagoon. The modern dock on the lagoon is an extension of the dock built in the 1930s. The older wooden dock, built at the southwest end of the town in the 1890s, was removed sometime after construction of the new dock. 

 

Image result for earhart photo marked Office of Naval Intelligence (ONI),

 

The retired US Treasury agent found the photo in a branch of the National Archives in College Park, Maryland.

The undated photo was in a stack of photos, marked Office of Naval Intelligence (ONI), of possible bombing targets in case of war with Japan.

According to details available over the Internet, this photo was part of a file compiled by the ONI between 1940 and 1946.

Some of the photos of Jaluit Harbor in the ONI files are dated 1928. It is believed some of the photos of Jaluit were taken in the late 1920s, perhaps by visiting American parties.

The retired US Treasury agent claimed the photo was taken in 1937   -   the year that Earhart and Noonan disappeared   -   or as late as 1943, before American planes bombed Jaluit Atoll.

He claimed that Noonan is the man standing on the far left and Earhart is the figure seated on the dock with back to the camera and head turned to the right.

He believed that the cargo ship on the right in the photo is a Japanese ship called the Koshu Maru. He claimed the ship is towing a barge with Earhart's plane.  

The photo was the basis of a much ballyhooed two-hour-long History Channel documentary on 9 July 2017.


A closer look at the photo:
 
It is mid-day.
 
Beyond the dock is the lagoon.
 
There are at least fifteen floating vessels in the photo, including two similar cargo ships.
 
There are five vessels to the right of the person sitting on the dock.

Aft on the cargo ship on the right, atop the stern, is a large pile of cylinders   -   sealed drums or rolled metal sheets.  

At the far right of the photo, in the water below the stern of the cargo ship, is a boat with the sails down.
 
On the left, in the harbor, is another cargo ship, similar to the one on the right. 

 
Amelia Earhart   -   The Lost Evidence
 
Advertisement
 
 
 
Amelia Earhart Mystery
 
New clue in a never-before-seen photo?
 
The NBC TV show TODAY
 
Uploaded 5 July 2017
 
 
Details about the photo are emerging
 
Uploaded 6 July 2017
 
 
 
Does the photo really include Earhart and Noonan?
 
CBS News
 
Smithsonian curator
 
Uploaded 7 July
 
 
 
The investigators on the History Channel documentary
 
Uploaded by CBS News on 8 July 2017
 
 
 
The History Channel documentary aired on 9 July 2017:
 
Amelia Earhart   -   The Lost Evidence
 
The four main claims of the documentary are: (1) southeast winds may have blown the plane far off-course to the north and east of Howland, the plane ran into a storm, turned back, headed west and landed on the nearest point of land, Mili Atoll, the easternmost of the Marshall Islands; (2) a Marshallese native saw a plane land on Endriken (Enedik) Island, near Barre Island of Mili Atoll, and a white couple wade ashore; (3) a photo of Jabor Dock found in ONI files was taken in July 1937 or later and shows a Caucasian couple who are Earhart and Noonan; and (4) Saipanese saw Earhart and Noonan on Saipan in 1937.
 
In fact, the winds were from the east and northeast, not from the southeast. There is no indication that Earhart and Noonan are in a photo of Jabor Dock. Of possible interest, however, is the revelation of a Saipanese woman, once described in a newspaper story as a witness to Earhart's execution, that she was misquoted.

The documentary runs 1 hr. 23 min. 30 sec.

 
 
 
The photo challenged
 
Uploaded 6 July
 
 
 
What actually happened to Amelia Earhart?
 
Smithsonian curator and TIGHAR
 
Uploaded by CNN on 10 July 2017
 
 

 
 
Image result for Mili Atoll

 

A closer look at the photo:
 
 
There are eight people on the dock   -   seven men and one woman.
 
The man on the far left is leaning against a tall electricity pole. He would be the tallest man on the dock if standing upright. Shadow obscures most of the lower part of his face.

He is holding a foldable post by his right hand. His hand is inside a dark grip or handle. The top part of the post is blackened.
 
A sign is attached to the top end of the post. The sign appears to have an illustration, probably a map of the lagoon or passage into the lagoon, and some writing.
 
The man with the sign could be with the small boat with a canopy just beyond the dock. The boat shuttled people from the dock to various points.
 
The seated figure appears to be a rather broad-shouldered man with light skin, black hair and wearing a cap. Both arms are bent at the elbow and the hands are in front of the person. 

Immediately beyond the seated figure is a small open boat.

The white object draped over the shoulders of the dark man on the right seems to have a loose buckle of some sort. A similar object in black seems to be wrapped about the waist of the seated figure. The function of this object, which appears to be an item of clothing, is not clear.

Between the man with the sign, on the left, and the first two men to the right of him, there is a point of high land or a ship in the distance.
 
There is little doubt that all the people on the dock are from Asia and the Pacific. No one in the photo appears to be Caucasian (although any of them could have some Caucasian ancestry). Not enough of the facial features of the man with the sign or the seated figure are visible to indicate that either 
might be Caucasian. 
  
The photo is difficult to view up close through the Internet. Without the original photo or negative it is impossible to discern more detail.
 
It should be possible to identify the people in the photo. They are most likely Marshall Islanders with families and friends living today in the Marshall Islands, Saipan, Hawaii, Guam and California.
 
There were Occidental visitors to Jabor Dock in the late 1930s. There were well-known Caucasians residing in   -   or frequenting   -   Jaluit during the late 1930s, including a German merchant and Christian missionaries.
 
 
Alfred Parker
 
1937 

 

The Times (London) reported on 31 March 1937 the loss of the M. S. Fijian in the Marshall Islands. 

 

The M. S. Fijian was a Norwegian merchant ship of Panamanian registry. The ship blew up   -   an onboard explosion   -   at sea off the island of Majuro.
 
The crew were Chinese and Norwegian. 

 

The Norwegian captain was Alfred Parker. 

 

A Japanese vessel rescued the crew and took them to Jaluit.  

 

Parker and his crew were on Jaluit from 28 March to 24 April 1937.

 

They sailed on a Japanese ship to Yokohama in Japan. 

 

According to an archivist at a branch of the National Archives in College Park, Maryland, this branch has a US State Department record of a meeting (or meetings) of Parker with the US consul of Yokohama shortly after Parker's arrival in Japan. 

 

Parker was the captain of the Norwegian merchant vessel Beljeanne (formerly the Ringwood) when she was captured and sunk by the German auxiliary cruiser Orion near the Caroline Islands in the Pacific on 15 October 1940. Parker and the rest of the Norwegian crew were interned in Germany and repatriated to Norway in May 1941. 

 

Without photos of the Chinese and Norwegian crewmen of the M. S. Fijian it is not possible to determine if any of them could be in the photo of Jabor Dock. 

 

 

The photo appeared in a publication before Earhart's flight

 
1935
 
Shortly after the airing of the TV documentary in question, the same photo of Jabor Dock was found on an Internet website in a large Japanese photo book about the South Pacific published on the island of Palau in October 1935   -   two years before the disappearance of Earhart and Noonan. The book is in the library of the Japanese Diet (parliament) in Tokyo.

 
 
The book can be viewed Online:
 
 

The photo in question appears on a page indicated by the website as # 44 of the book.
 
None of the photos in the book are dated.
 
At the back of the book there are two dates:  
 
Printed in Tokyo /12 Asahi-cho, Kanda-ku, Tokyo-shi, 5 October 1935 (Showa 10)
 
and
 
Published in Koror in Palau, 10 October 1935 (Showa 10)
 
On the page with the photo, the caption reads, in essence:


Port of Jabor in Jaluit Atoll


Jabor is a busy port. Every month the big ships from all over the Marshall Islands visit with unusual cargo.

 
It has been suggested that the page was added to the book after its publication.
 
It must be noted that the date of printing in Tokyo and the date of publication on Palau are only five days apart.
 
 
Éric de Bisschop
 
1935
 
Eric de Bisschop n’a connu que bien peu de succès dans sa carrière, mais qu’importe, le personnage haut en couleur est resté dans le cœur des anciens.
Éric de Bisschop (1891 - 1958)
 
 
In mid-July 1935, a French yachtsman, Éric de Bisschop, and his wife, sailing for Jaluit, were blown off course in a storm and landed their boat, a junk, Fou Po II, on Mili Atoll. 
 
After three days on the atoll, they were accused of spying and arrested by the Japanese.
 
They were taken to Jaluit. They arrived on 22 July. They were detained under house arrest by the Japanese governor. They were interrogated daily. They were released after fifteen days, on 6 August.
 
They sailed away on their junk the next day, 7 August, and headed for the Hawaiian Islands.
 
None of the people in the photo of Jabor Dock resemble De Bisschop.
 
 
The photo was taken before the aviator disappeared
 
Japanese blogger and TIGHAR
 
Uploaded 12 July 2017
 
 
 
 
Jabor Dock was built after the publication of the Japanese travelogue.
 
1936
 
The Marshall Islands government, in response to questions about the TV documentary and the Japanese travelogue photo, pointed out that Jabor Dock was built in 1936 (and not before).
 
If so, the date of the Japanese travelogue, 1935, must be questioned. The photo of the dock could not have been taken before 1936. The photo dates from 1936 or later.
 
Below is a statement by the Foreign Ministry of the MarshalI Islands on Majuro on 15 July 2017.
 
 
 
 
The Koshu and the Kamoi
 
The big ship on the right in the photo of Jabor Dock in Jaluit Harbor is believed to be the Koshu Maru, often simply called the Koshu.
 
There are records of three cargo ships with the name Koshu or Koshu Maru before the Second World War (1939 - 1945) and the Pacific War (1941 - 1945). 
 
The Michael Jebsen was launched in Kiel, Germany on 4 December 1904. She was scuttled by her German crew in the Great War (1914 - 1918) at the Battle of Tsingtao in late 1914. She was raised and salvaged by the Japanese in 1915, made seaworthy again and renamed the Koshu Maru.
 
The Daiun Maru was launched in Kobe, Japan in 1911 and renamed the Koshu Maru in 1913.
 
The Koshu (Michael Jebsen) Maru and Koshu (Daiun) Maru are often confused as the same ship.
 

 
koshu
The Koshu (Michael Jebsen) Maru  
 
This ship appears to be the ship on the Marshall Islands stamp of 1987. She does not appear to be the ship in the Jabor Dock photo.
 

daiun.jpg



The Koshu (Daiun) Maru
 
This appears to be the ship on the right in the photo of Jabor Dock.
 
 
The Teishu Maru was launched in Inchon, Korea on 25 August 1937 and renamed the Koshu Maru in 1941. Her sister ship, the Anshu Maru, was built also in 1937. The Teishu Maru does not closely resemble the Koshu (Michael Jebson) Maru or the Koshu (Daiun) Maru.
 
 
定州丸
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The Koshu (Teishu) Maru 
 
 
The Koshu (Michael Jebsen) (Daiun) Maru first sailed to the Marshall Islands in 1935. The ship was often in Jaluit. She served as a transport and survey ship.
 
The U. S. government asked (or accepted an offer from) Japan to search the Marshall Islands for Earhart and Noonan.
 
According to a Japanese source, citing the ship's log, the Koshu (Michael Jebsen or Daiun) Maru was on Ponape Island on 2 July 1937   -   about 400 miles west of the Marshall Islands and about 1,800 miles west of Howland Island.
 
The Koshu (Michael Jebsen or Daiun) Maru reached Jaluit Island on 13 July and sailed for Truk and Saipan on 19 July. 
 
Sometime during the six days between her arrival and departure in Jaluit, the Koshu (Michael Jebsen or Daiun) Maru sailed out of port. A crew member later recalled that the ship searched for Earhart's plane without finding it.
 
The ship had a cruising speed of 7 or 12 knots. She could reach Mili Atoll within 24 hours.
 
Captain Hanjiro Takagi was in command of the ship during the search for Earhart and Noonan. The ship's log does not mention Earhart.
 
Japanese cargo vessels could be used to carry and launch hydro-planes from their deck.
 
The Koshu (Michael Jebsen) Maru was decommissioned in 1939.
 
The Americans sank the Anshu Maru in May 1944 and her sister ship the Koshu (Teishu) Maru in August 1944.
 
The Koshu (Daiun) Maru was sunk by the Americans in March 1945.
 
 
 
The Kamoi Maru
 
A second Japanese ship, the Kamui or Kamoi Maru, was said to have joined the search for Earhart and Noonan. It was said also that this second ship was on the island of Majuro in the Marshalls or on Saipan in the Marianas at the time and that the search was called off before she could sail out of port. Other sources, citing the ship's log, place her in Japan, Formosa and Nanking in July 1937. 
 
The Kamoi Maru was launched in New York in 1922 as an oiler for the Imperial Japanese Navy (IJN). She sailed to the IJN naval base at Yokosuka. She was converted to an IJN hydroplane tender in 1933. She was decommissioned in 1947.
 
It must be noted that ships sometimes assume different names and nationalities at sea and ship logs can be altered.
 
 
 
                       ---------------
 
 
 
Saipan?
 
 
Image result for mariana islands
 
Map of the Mariana Islands. The city of Agana on the island of Guam is the U. S. territory's capital.
 
The Americans took Guam from the Spanish in 1898 during the Spanish-American War.
 
The Spanish sold the rest of the Mariana Islands to Germany. The Japanese took the Mariana Islands north of Guam from the Germans in 1914. These islands are called the Northern Mariana Islands.
 
The Japanese took Guam from the Americans in December 1941. Saipan was the site of heavy fighting between American and Japanese soldiers in 1944. The Americans recaptured Guam and took all of the Japanese-held Mariana Islands in 1944. American bombing of Japan from the central Pacific in 1944 and 1945 was planned on Guam. Planes took off from Guam, Saipan and Tinian. American planes took off from Tinian to drop atomic bombs on the Japanese cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945.
 
 
Japanese prison
 
Image result for earhart's prison on saipan
 
 
 
Image result for earhart's prison on saipan
 
 
 
Image result for earhart's prison on saipan
 
It has long been claimed that Amelia Earhart and Fred Noonan were held in a Japanese prison in the town of Garapan on the island of Saipan in the Mariana islands   -   a short time or many years   -   before their executions.
 
The deserted Japanese prison has been a major tourist attraction for travellers to Saipan since the end of the Second World War. Guide books mention Earhart and Noonan as prisoners there before their executions.   
 
 
and
 
 
and
 
 
 
A California newspaper in 1960 claimed that a Saipanese woman, Josephine Blanco Akiyama, saw Amelia Earhart executed in 1937. Later, Akiyama said she was misquoted. She saw a Caucasian couple in the custody of Japanese soldiers in 1937. Others there said the woman was a flyer. She did not see the couple again. She did not know their identity at the time but recognised them in photos later.
 
A woman on Saipan, whose identity is unclear, is said to have seen a tall white woman in "men's clothing" in Garapan prison.
 
Another woman, whose identity is also unclear (perhaps the same woman), is said to to have seen a Caucasian man and woman (or just the woman) executed and buried by Japanese soldiers in a field. (The date is unclear but was some time between 1937 and 1944.)
 
The story that American soldiers found Earhart's Electra on Saipan in 1944 and that it was deliberately destroyed shortly afterward was never substantiated. The Japanese ordered and received an Electra in the 1930s.
    
 
The stories
 
 
Also
 
 
An Americn soldier's story
 
 
and
 
 
 
 
                             ---------------
 
 
 
 
Leo G. Bellarts
 
Chief Radioman, USCGC Itasca 
 
 
Image result for chief radioman leo bellarts
U. S. Coast Guard Chief Radioman Leo G. Bellarts (1908 - 1974), aboard the Coast Guard Cutter Itasca on 2 July 1937.
 
 
 
In reply to a CBS correspondent in San Francisco who claimed Amelia Earhart and Fred Noonan died on Saipan, Bellarts wrote, in a letter on 28 November 1961 (excerpts): 
 
 
". . . I believe I was one of the very few people that heard the last message from the Earhart plane. I was the Chief Radioman on the USCG Itasca at Howland Island during her ill-fated trip. Having heard practically every transmission she made from about 0200 till her crash when she was very loud and clear, I can assure you that she crashed very near Howland Island.
 
"The only island near Howland that it would have been possible for her to land would have been Baker Island and she didn’t land there.
 
"Considering the increase in her signal strength from her first to her last transmission there leaves no doubt in my mind that she now rests peacefully on the bottom of the sea, no farther than 100 miles from Howland.
 
"If you could have heard the last transmission, the frantic note and near hysteria in her voice you also would be convinced of her fate but not on Saipan.
 
"I firmly believe that she died a hero in the public eye and that is the way I believe that she would like it to be."
 
 
Excerpts from Bellarts' letter of 15 December 1961 to the same: 
 
"From the first time we heard Earhart, to the last time at 0843, I don’t believe that I was out of the radio room more than 15 minutes, having heard all of her transmissions."
 
“'Strength of Signal' certainly strengthened my conviction, and that of others who heard her last transmission, that she was very close to Howland Island. I started my radio career in the USCG in 1924, and believe that I can distinguish when a 50-watt transmitter is close aboard or not. Honestly, we in the radio room could actually hear her voice so near the breaking point that at any moment I expected her to go into an hysterical scream. Giving her plenty of leeway, she must have been within 200 miles when she crashed. Actually, I believe it was much less."
 
 
Interview
 
Bellarts recalls Earhart's flight and discusses the radio logs kept by the Itasca.
 
Interview by Elgen Long, aviator
 
Everett, Washington, early 1973
 
Audio only
 
Part 1.
 
Earhart's last message; correspondence with Harry Balfour and Balfour's comments; the DF on Howland; Earhart's message about being low on fuel; the weather over Howland and to the north; the DF on the Itasca; the picket ship Ontario; Baker Island; the loud speaker in the radio room; Earhart's message about one-half hour of fuel left; radiomen Galten, O'Hare and Thompson; Earhart's emotional state in the end.
 
 
or
 
 
Part 2.
 
Earhart's only weather report; Earhart's emotional state in the end; Commander Thompson; post-loss radio message hoaxes; interference in the search by headquarters; Earhart's radio and DF; the possibility of not seeing Howland and Baker from the air; messages sent to Earhart and messages heard from Earhart as noted in the radio log. 
 
 
Part 3.
 
Earhart's messages of being 200 miles out and 100 miles out; on log notations; Earhart's message about fuel; radio frequencies; Earhart's DF; Howland's DF; review of radio communications; Earhart's last message.   
 
 
or
 
 
 
Elgen Long appears in some of the documentaries mentioned above.
 
 
 
------------
 
 
 
Gardner's Island?
 

Gardner's Island. The view is from the northeast.
 
 
Gardner's Island is the southernmost atoll of the Phoenix Islands. It is 440 statute miles (350 nautical miles) southeast of Howland Island.
 
The atoll, which encloses a lagoon, is about four nautical miles (4.7 statute miles) across at its greatest length and 1.3 nautical miles (1.5 statute miles) at its greatest width.
 
There are records of visits to the island in the days of sail.
 
The island was claimed by both Britain and the U. S.
 
Polynesians from the small island of Niue planted coconuts on Gardner's Island in 1880. Niue is about 900 nautical miles south by southeast of Gardner's Island. It is far to the south of the Samoan Islands.
 
Britain claimed the island in 1892. The U. S. did not press its claim.
 
There was a British coconut plantation and a village with twenty-nine Polynesian workers briefly in 1892. Drought ended the venture.
 
The British claimed the Gilbert Islands, including the Phoenix Islands, as a British colony in 1915.
 
During a storm on the night of 29 November 1929, a British cargo steam ship, the S. S. Norwich City, ran onto the reef at the northwest end of the island. The ship caught fire several hours later and was abandoned just before dawn. A lifeboat capsized. Eleven of the ship's 35-man crew   -   five British and six Arabs   -   were killed by sharks or drowned. The bodies of two Englishmen and an Arab were recovered and buried on the island.
 
The survivors were rescued several days later. In his report, the ship's captain remarked the prevalence of sharks on the island. Sharks were a constant threat. Sharks were very inquistive and appeared in shallow water on the outer shores of the island and in the lagoon whenever humans were present. Sharks imperilled the rescue, endangering and delaying the rescue party. 
 
The remains of the wreck can be seen today.
 
A British ship visited the island to survey it in 1935.
 
Gardner's Island was uninhabited in 1937.
 
A British ship visited the island in February 1937.
 
The island was visited briefly from 13 to 15 October 1937 by several British officials and 19 Gilbertese, mostly from the island of Arorae, to examine the possibility of settling a colony on the island, as well as the other Phoenix Islands.
 
The colony was settled by Polynesians from various Gilbert Islands on 1 December 1938. The islanders recalled the legend of an island called Nikumaroro, with its many Buka trees, in the southwestern Samoan Islands. Because Gardner's Island was the only Phoenix island with Buka trees, they called it Nikumaroro.
 
The colony inhabited the island for the next twenty-seven years, till 1965. There were also British administrators on the island.
 
The US Coast Guard operated a radio station in 1944 and 1945.
 
The island's population was about 100 by the mid-1950s. The island has been uninhabited since 1965.
 
The Gilbert Islands have been an independent country called Kiribati (for "Gilbert") since 1979.
 
 
On 4 and 5 July 1937 Pan American high-frequency Radio Direction Finders on Wake, Midway and Oahu took seven bearings on short, weak and unintelligible radio signals on frequencies around 3105 kcs. at night. The Howland Island RDF took a bearing on a 3105 signal on 5 July. Four bearings intersected about McKean and Gardner's Islands and were considered possible broadcasts from Amelia Earhart. The only radio known to have been in the southern Phoenix Islands at the time was on Hull Island, 140 nautical miles east of Gardner's Island, where there was a coconut plantation.
 
It was thought possible that strong quartering winds from the northeast blew Earhart and Noonan far south of their intended path into the southern Phoenix Islands.
 
It was thought possible that Noonan flew a Line of Position Approach to the south between Baker and McKean Islands. Earhart may have been south of Howland and Baker Islands when she sent her last radio message of running on the line of 157 - 337. Howland, Baker, McKean and Gardner's Islands line up roughly on a line of 157 - 337, as shown on the map below.
 

 
Image result for earhart's north-south heading passes howland and heads for gardner
 

 
If Earhart and Noonan were flying southeast along the line, with a compass heading of 157 degrees, they might see Gardner's Island. They could reach it if they had enough fuel.
 
On 9 July 1937, three planes from the USS Colorado searching for Earhart and Noonan flew over Gardner's Island and saw signs of recent habitation but none of the flyers or their plane.
 
Image result for Nukumanu Island - lambrecht aerial photo - TIGHAR
Aerial photo of the north end of Gardner's Island taken from an altitude of several hundred feet by the observer in one of three search planes from the USS Colorado on 9 July 1937. The view is from the south to the north.
 
 
In March or April 1940 Gilbert Island colonists on Gardner's Island found a human skull about 100 feet above the high water mark on the southeast shore of the island and buried it.
 
When the island's British administrator, Gerald Gallagher, learned of it, in September, the skull was dug up and a search of the immediate area, which appeared to be an old campsite, turned up twelve scattered human bones, including a lower jaw, five teeth and half a pelvis   -   all found on the surface of the ground underneath a tree by the old campsite. An old sextant and a sextant box and part of a heel or sole of a heavy shoe or sandal were found in the vicinity. Smashed crab shells and bird bones were found at the campsite.
 
Gallagher thought the bones and the piece of footwear were those of a woman. Gallagher thought the bones were at least four years old and probably much older.
 
Gallagher thought there was a slight chance the bones and the heel might be those of Amelia Earhart.
 
In 1941 an examining doctor on Tarawa in the Gilbert Islands concluded that the skeleton was that of an elderly Polynesian male   -   dead perhaps as much as 20 years and possibly much longer.
 
Later in the same year, an examining doctor on Fiji determined that the skeleton was probably not that of a pure Polynesian or Micronesian but rather a stocky and muscular European   -   or a "half-caste" or "mixed European"   -   age 45 to 55, about 5 ft. 5 1/2 inches tall, and definitely male. Because the bones had been exposed for some time, it was not possible to guess the time of death.
 
It was thought possible that the skeleton was that of one of the crew of the S. S. Norwich City, which ran onto the reef in 1929. Eight bodies were not recovered. One of the missing crewmen might have reached shore but remained detached from the other survivors and missed the rescue party.
 
If older, the skeleton could be that of one of the Polynesian coconut planters from Niue in 1880 or Gilbert Island plantation workers in 1892.
 
Otherwise, a castaway drifted to the island when it was uninhabited. He survived a shipwreck. Perhaps a sailor marooned on the island by his captain. Or a captain the victim of a mutiny. That might explain the old sextant and sextant box found nearby.
 
In any case, the skeleton was not Amelia Earhart's. Nor was it Noonan's. Noonan was at least six feet tall. The sextant box was certainly not modern. Gallagher did not mention the old sextant in later correspondence and probably kept it.
 
 
A Hoax
 
The disappearance of Amelia Earhart attracted kooks and hoaxers. Some concocted incredible tales. Others fabricated evidence.
 
In more recent years, an American businessman interested in airplane wrecks claimed he found evidence that Earhart and Noonan reached Gardner's Island. He gathered about him dozens of supporters, including employees of the Smithsonian Institute and National Geographic magazine,   to play up his claims.
 
He insisted winds blew Earhart to the south, that she had four hours of extra fuel and followed the line 157 - 337 to Gardner.
 
He touted the claims of hoaxers, including those of a young teen-age girl, to have heard Earhart over their radios in the hours and days after her disappearance, as evidence of Earhart on the island.
 
He claimed that a fuzzy image in a photo of the island shore taken by a British administrator, E. R. Bevington, in October 1937 was part of Earhart's plane sticking out of the water at low tide. He claimed that the tides dragged the plane from the shore or a storm blew it out to sea and over the edge of the reef before search planes from the Colorado flew over the island. (There were no reports of storms in the area in the previous week.) To this was added the recollection of a Gilbertese woman that in 1940, when she was a young girl on the island, her father pointed out the spot and told her about plane wreckage there. No real effort was made to find any trace of the plane.
 
He faulted the pilots of the search planes from the USS Colorado. He insisted the planes did not fly over the island long enough or low enough   -   and had they done so they would have found Earhart and Noonan. 
 
He insisted also that the partial skeleton found on the island in 1940 could only have been Earhart's. But he could not find the skeleton, which should be on Fiji or in Australia. Instead, he faulted the two doctors who examined the skeleton in 1941 and interpreted their medical reports with "modern forensics". The skeleton, he proclaimed, was not that a short and stocky middle age or elderly male but a tall and slender younger European female. A zany claim based on made-to-order forensics.
 
He claimed he found material evidence of Earhart and Noonan on the island. A shoe heel, a cosmetic kit, a campsite, an old sextant, and a metal panel found on the island were claimed as likely, if not conclusive, evidence of Earhart and Noonan.
 
Such claims could not be proved and were dismissed as wishful nonsense. Or a hoax. The items found on the island over the years could have been brought by anyone at any time. A chemical analysis of the metal panel, which was played up for years, proved it was manufactured at a later date but the businessman continued to tout it. 
 
 
 
An Aerial Tour of Nikumaroro
 
31 August 2001
 
TIGHAR
 
 
 
A description of Gardner's Island
 
Arizona State University TV
 
Uploaded in 2011
 
 
TIGHAR (2010)
 
 
 
New Search for Amelia
 
NBC
 
Uploaded on 1 January 2013
 
 
 
Planning a search on Gardner's Island
 
A lecture in Asheville, North Carolina
 
TIGHAR
 
5 August 2016
 
 
 
On the Myths and Misunderstandings - and Gardner Island
 
Lecture at the New England Air Museum in Windsor Locks, Connecticut
 
TIGHAR
 
16 July 2017
 
 
 
Landing Gear?
 
Did Earhart land on Gardner's Island?
 
TIGHAR (2010)
 
 
TIGHAR (2013)
 
 
TIGHAR (2012)
 
 
TIGHAR (2014)
 
 
 
Aluminum Patch?
 
TIGHAR (2014)
 
Since disproved and discarded. The sheet was produced after Earhart's flight.
 
 
 
Bones?
 
Where is the partial skeleton with skull found on Gardner's Island in April 1940?
 
1941 Medical Reports
 
Uploaded in 2018
 
 
 
Amelia Earhart
 
First episode of the documentary series Expedition Unknown (2015) (1:24:25)
 
Papua New Guinea (plane wrecks) and Fiji (bones)
 
 
 
Expedition Amelia

In the summer of 2019, underwater explorer Bob Ballard searched Gardner's Island and the sea about it and found no trace of Earhart or her plane. (He discounted the metal panel.) He moved his search to the seas off Howland Island, to be conducted in 2021.

Interview in mid-October 2019 on Living History (Australia)

 



------------
 



Related image 
 
The Flight Path, Sun Line and Line of Position Approach
 
 
Overshot the island
 
On their Line of Position Approach, Earhart and Noonan may have over-shot Howland Island to the north and turned south along an inaccurate landfall east of Howland, missed the island, run out of fuel and come down at sea southeast of the island.
 
 
Maj. Joseph L. Lodrige, USAF Ret.
 
Lecture
 
Alexandria, Louisiana
 
20 April 2017
 


Note: Lodrige mentions the Orion. He meant the USS Ontario.  
 
 
 
--------------
 
 
 
Selected movies and documentaries
 
 
Heroines of the Sky
 
Documentary with Electra pilot Linda Finch (1996) 
 
 
 
Amelia Earhart
 
1976 TV mini-series (3 hrs.)
 
Preview
 
 
The movie
 
N. A.
 
 
Amelia Earhart
 
The Price of Courage 
 
Episode from the documentary series American Experience (1993)
 
This film contains an unjustified personal attack on Fred Noonan.
 
 
Excerpt
 
 
 
Amelia - The Final Flight
 
1994 TV movie
 
Preview
 
 
N. A.
 
 
Amelia
 
2009 movie
 
This film contains an unjustified personal attack on Fred Noonan.
 
N. A.
 
Amelia
 
Preview (2009)
 
 
Amelia
 
Behind the scenes
 
 
Amelia & Electra
 
Destins de Stars
 
Documentary (2010) (29 min.)
 
 
 
 
 
                              --------------
 
 
 
Image result for bird in the phoenix islands
 
 
Paradise Found
 
The Phoenix Islands
 
Documentary from the 2005 New England Aquarium's World of Water Film Series by the New England Aquarium's Primal Ocean Project
 
 
 
 
 
 
















------------------




LEO BELLARTS, Chief Radioman, Itasca, June - July 1937

Interview by

ELGEN MARION LONG

1973

Part 1.

https://audioboom.com/posts/7865764-khaqq-calling-itasca-a-conversation-with-leo-bellarts-part-one

Part 2.

https://audioboom.com/posts/7865763-khaqq-calling-itasca-a-conversation-with-leo-bellarts-part-two?playlist_direction=forward

Part 3.

https://audioboom.com/posts/7865761-khaqq-calling-itasca-a-conversation-with-leo-bellarts-part-three?playlist_direction=forward




-------------




Howland Island

The Underwater Search



Bob Ballard

Interview

Finding the Titanic

The search for Amelia Earhart

Rhode Island PBS Weekly

Uploaded 1 May 2023

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UyfTi2-VQDY




--------------





Amelia Earhart ' s Last Flight

Red River Dave McEnery

First sung at the 1939 World ' s Fair in New York

First recorded in 1941

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xUhB3-aHnNc




A MISSING SEA SABRE?


Charles Lindbergh was the first to fly a plane solo across the Atlantic Ocean. Lindbergh flew from Long Island, New York to Paris, France in May 1927.

Bert Hinkler, an Australian, was the second person to fly solo across the Atlantic. In November 1931, Hinkler flew solo across the South Atlantic from Natal in Brazil to St. Louis in French West Africa. Hinkler was the first to solo across the South Atlantic.

In May 1932, Amelia Earhart flew a plane solo from Newfoundland to Londonderry, Ireland.

Earhart was the second person to fly solo across the North Atlantic.

Earhart was often hailed as the first woman to fly solo across the Atlantic.


Earhart disappeared in a round-the-world flight in July 1937.

Earhart and her navigator, Fred Noonan, had completed most of their journey when they took off from Lae in Papua / New Guinea for Howland Island in the central Pacific - a flight of 2,221 nautical miles / 2,556 statute miles, almost entirely over water, expected to take 18 to 19 hours.

Howland Island is the northern-most island of the Phoenix Islands.

It was the most difficult stretch of the entire trip. No one had flown between Lae and Howland before. From Howland, they were to continue to Hawaii and then to California - their starting point.

Earhart and Noonan never reached Howland. Their plane, a Lockheed Model 10E Electra, was never seen again.

Earhart and Noonan were last heard, over the radio, 20 hours and 13 minutes into the flight, as they searched for the island along their reported landfall - a line of position calculated by celestial navigation and a nautical or aeronautical almanac.

It is believed that Earhart's plane ran out of fuel and went into the sea within 220 nautical miles of Howland Island.

Many believe the plane went down within 30 to 100 miles of the island.


The initial search for the plane, launched two and one-half hours after Earhart's last radio message, was by the U. S. Coast Guard Cutter Itasca, stationed on Howland.

The Itasca sailed along Earhart's reported landfall for fifty nautical miles to the northwest of Howland. Then, considering the possibility that Earhart flew beyond her landfall, the Itasca searched to the northeast of the island.

The Itasca found no trace of the plane or survivors on the ocean surface.

President Franklin D. Roosevelt ordered an immediate search. The U. S. Navy searched a vast area, in all directions from Howland, including the Phoenix Islands and the Gilbert Islands. The search approached the Japanese-held Marshall Islands. The navy searched with many ships and many planes.

The search turned up no trace of Earhart and Noonan or their plane on any islands or on the ocean surface.


Five underwater searches for Earhart's plane were conducted near Howland many years later by billionaires Alan Eustace (2002, 2006, 2017) and Ted Waitt (2006, 2009). The last search, led by Eustace, found two planes shot down in the Pacific War (1941 - 1945).


On 28 January 2024, the head of an underwater salvage company in South Carolina claimed to have found Earhart's Electra.

There was no real evidence to support the claim. But the press played it up. It sounded like publicity for the salvager.

Anthony Romeo, a former Air Force pilot, whose father flew for Pan American many years ago, sold off real estate in Florida worth $11 million to start the salvage company -
and search for Earhart's plane.

Anthony Romeo and his brother, Lloyd Romeo, led a 100-day expedition to the Pacific, from early September to 2 December 2023. The expedition, which included other unrelated searches, cost $1.5 million to $2 million.

A search requires an underwater robot to (1) survey the ocean floor with 3-D scans and then (2) take close-up photographs of objects (sonar targets).

The Romeo brothers used the latest technology, a single unmanned autonomous underwater deep-sea submersible drone, the HUGIN 6000, produced by a Norwegian company, Kongsberg, in Kongsberg, Norway, and employed an experienced Scottish subsea engineer, Craig Wallace, from the Kongsberg office in Aberdeen, Scotland.

The expedition searched from the Gilbert Islands eastwards to Howland.

The path followed by the Romeo brothers in their search was not made public.

Noonan plotted a flight path from Lae to Howland Island. But the actual flight path is not known. Early on, Earhart was forced to make diversions around bad weather.

The Romeo brothers' starting point, Tarawa, in the northern Gilbert Islands, is probably not where their underwater search began.

A direct path from Lae to Howland passes to the south of Tarawa by 175 nautical miles.

If Earhart and Noonan flew to within 25 nautical miles of the island of Nauru, to get a bearing on its light, they passed about 90 nautical miles to the south of Tarawa on their way to Howland.

The last radio message indicated that Earhart and Noonan approached Howland island indirectly, to follow their landfall from the north or south, in the last hour or so.

Indications are that Anthony Romeo was guided by members of the Eustace expeditions in his search for Earhart's plane. In his remarks to the press, he paid frequent lip-service to members of the Eustace expeditions. He was full of praise and tributes.

Anthony Romeo claims that he based his search on a 'theory' of a girl who accompanied one of the Eustace expeditions that Noonan forgot about the International Date Line and thus looked up the wrong details in his almanac. That is utter nonsense. Even a child could not make such mistake. The Line of Position - landfall - reported by Earhart in her last radio message could be calculated from details in the Itasca's nautical almanac for that day.

Anthony Romeo is an idiot.

Anthony Romeo is a cheap character. He wants to join other cheap characters who blame Noonan for Earhart's fate. Anthony Romeo believes it is to his advantage to do so.

Noonan was the best navigator of the day. He was the most experienced. He was the navigator on Pan American's survey flights across the Pacific in 1935 and passenger flights in 1936. He was accustomed to long flights and working beyond his physical limits. He was known for his quick responses to emergencies. Earhart chose him above all for his reliability.

How much time the Romeo brothers actually spent looking for Earhart's plane is not clear. The submersible's camera broke down early in their search and the documentary film crew deserted.

On or about the thirtieth day of the trip, the broken camera of the submersible robot recorded a fuzzy sonar scan of something on the ocean floor - one hundred miles west of Howland Island and 16,500 feet deep.

The submersible was fifty-five metres above the ocean floor and 200 metres from the object when it recorded the image.

The ocean bottom - the sea bed - was flat and sandy.

Anthony Romeo pointed out that the sonar image is on Earhart's planned fight path to Howland.

The sonar image was recovered by Craig Wallace towards the end of the voyage, too late to return to the spot to search again.

On 28 January 2024, the Romeo brothers displayed the fuzzy, grainy sonar scan to the public. Anthony Romeo claimed that he went public because the image could not be kept secret. Too many people knew about it.

The Romeo brothers insist the image is of Earhart's plane.

In fact, nothing is certain. The image could be of anything. The image could be of a plane. It could be a pile of debris - and part of a larger debris field. The image could be of a shipwreck.

But there was a lot about it in the press.

The 'experts' are sceptical. They did not accept Anthony Romeo's claims that the fuzzy image in the sonar scan is Earhart's Electra.

The Electra 10E was a twin-engine aluminium (aluminum) propeller plane, with two straight wings and two big engines - Pratt & Whitney R-1340 Wasp S3H1, 600 hp (447 kW) - one attached to each wing. The plane had a round nose.

The object in the sonar image looks like a single-engine jet fighter with a short flat nose and swept-back wings from the late 1940s and 1950s - a Soviet MiG-15 or its contemporary American counter-part, the North American F-86 Sabre (first flown in 1947), produced for the U. S. Air Force, or, more likely, later versions of it produced for the U. S. Navy - the North American FJ-2 Fury (first flown in 1951), or FJ-3 Fury (first flown in 1953), or FJ-4 Fury (first flown in 1954).

The FJ-2, FJ-3 and FJ-4 were single-seat, single-engine turbo-jet fighter bombers with a flat open nose (an inlet for air intake) and swept wings that could fly from aircraft carriers.

One might see a small rocket on the left wing of the plane in the sonar image.

Anthony Romeo believes the wings in the sonar image could have been partially detached from the fuselage. Thus, they look swept back.

The sonar image does not indicate that an engine was attached to each wing.

If the sonar image is of a plane, it is a single-engine jet.

The tail section, as it appears in the sonar image, is all that might resemble an Electra 10E.

The two horizontal stabilisers (tail wings) are straight in the image. The tail wings are not swept back. There are not many planes with swept wings and straight horizontal stabilisers. If the tail wings are swept back, it is very slight.

Anthony Romeo believes that the sonar image shows a plane with twin vertical stabilisers (tail fins), like the Model 10E Electra.

Anthony Romeo claimed that the Electra was one of few planes with twin vertical stabilisers. In fact, there are many planes with similar twin vertical tail fins. The B-25 - to name one.

Actually, the sonar image shows THREE vertical tail fins. Or the image shows two vertical tail fins and the tail rudder. The plane might be upside down.

Better and more sonar images are required.

Did a single-engine turbo-jet fighter with a short flat nose, swept wings and twin or triple vertical tail fins go down 100 miles west of Howland in the 1950s or 1960s? If so, there should be a record of it.

Many planes - American, Australian, British and Japanese - were lost at sea during the Pacific War.

According to Anthony Romeo, there is no record of a plane going into the sea in the area at any time, even during the war.

Indeed, few planes have been reported lost in the Phoenix Islands.

How many planes have been lost between the Phoenix Islands and the Gilbert Islands?

Perhaps a mining company that has been scanning the deep-sea bottom has detailed maps and better sonar images of the area, perhaps of the very spot.


Do the Romeo brothers really intend to continue their search? It would be surprising if they do.

The Romeo brothers say they plan to return to take more and better sonar scans and, if need be, photographs.

They hope to return in 2025.

Anthony Romeo is so certain that he found Earhart's plane that he plans to bring the press corps and relatives of Earhart on the next search.

Anthony Romeo has even offered to search for MH-370. He has applied to the Malaysian government.


Anthony Romeo claims that he found Amelia Earhart's plane. Yet, he has nothing to show for it. He expected fame and fortune.

The fuzzy sonar image is probably of a pile of debris or a navy jet from the 1950s.

Anthony Romeo dismisses doubts about the sonar image by claiming sonar distortion. He insists that anything that does not resemble Earhart's Electra is a sonar anomaly.

Many kooks, hoaxers, crooks and bull-shitters have claimed to know Earhart's fate.

Anthony Romeo must prove his claim. He must show photographs.

If the Romeo brothers find out that their sonar image is not Earhart's plane, they say they will continue to search for it.

Will Anthony Romeo continue to talk it up?

Some are certain that Earhart landed on an island of Mili Atoll in the Marshall Islands, 750 nautical miles from Howland, and perished in Japanese captivity on the island of Saipan. That is the oldest story.

Some insist that Earhart flew to Gardner's Island, the southern-most island of the Phoenix Islands, 343 nautical miles from Howland, and eventually died there. That is an old story, too, going back to the 1980s.

Most people believe that Earhart's plane is at the bottom of the sea. The question is where.

Some ocean explorers and experienced aviators have made calculations and offered suggestions.

The plane is some distance from Howland, in any direction.


THE PLANES


Lockheed Electra Model 10

Air show

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYbpo20M64A


1935 Lockheed Electra 10E

Air Museum, Seattle

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wANa6lwg4vs



North American B-25 Mitchell

Air show

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UTIayvgopco&t=83s



F-86 Sabre

Air Show

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N5BjcCxOkqU


F-86 Sabre

Australian Military Aviation History

June 2023

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EUVxnivq2q0

or

North American F-86 Sabre

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EUVxnivq2q0&t=943s


North American FJ-2 Fury

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTnL1FixPeA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=34Gd86yuwwM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=31ZOhOc5Yiw


North American FJ-4 Fury

Presentation

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KYW23dpgHbQ




TED WAITT

Searched for Earhart's plane in 2007 and 2009


Howland viewed from the air

2009

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m9c3yZ0xeHw


Discusses search plan with sonar operator

2009

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WZwFXyLd7a4



ALAN EUSTACE

Three searches for Earhart

2002 - 2017


Elgen Marion Long, aviator

2017

Earhart's last flight

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pw2KLotQ-eQ


Tom Dettweiler

2017

The Electra ditching at sea

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OSKvWPEGXIU


John Thompson

Identifying the plane on the sea floor

2017

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kMff1HjFC8I


Tom Dettweiler

Side Scan Sonar

2017

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U_eS2JVKroA



-



ROMEO BROTHERS


Post and Courier

January 27, 2024

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r05K6ilkNCM

or

Evening Post Dev

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7uJrb9KWFSk&t=5s


Inside Edition

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JdXHnOr6Ew4


CNN-News 18

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cvdGbmwo--g


Dorothy Cochrane, curator, National Air and Space Museum, Smithsonian Institution, Washington, D. C.

Associated Press

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ggUPupq04wc


The Romeo Brothers

Q & A

Amelia Earhart's Plane Found?

Radio show in Tampa, Florida

1 February 2024

98 minutes

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L2aaQbDyZE8





HUGIN AUV 6000


HUGIN

2011

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-H5uZWv22Ws





RICHARD GILLESPIE

Did Amelia Earhart land on Gardner Island?

FOX

4 February 2024

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4g6jch-48HU




MARSHALL ISLANDS

Photo might show Earhart and Noonan in Marshall Islands

CBS News

2017

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gj3YDnymMn8




FLIGHT FOR FREEDOM

1943 movie with Rosalind Russell, Fred MacMurray

https://ok.ru/video/315095059107





Glenn Miller

Londonderry Air (Danny Boy)

1939

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tvo0A_hJ7BY

With the Air Force Band

1942 - 1944

https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=2HO7rYTv9_0




----------------



UNDERWATER SEARCH TECHNOLOGY

Searching the Deep Sea Floor

Mapping the deep ocean

Geoscience Australia and the search for MH370

Bathymetric mapping and side scan sonar

High resolution, multi-beam scanning

Geoscience Australia

2015

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WLBQ-rAb-24&t=51s


David Kelly

Bluefin Robotics, Quincy, Massachusetts

Constructor of a submersible that creates a 3-D sonar map of debris on the ocean floor and takes close-up photographs.

PBS News Hour

April 15, 2014

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r1Ikzzqn6kE


Ron Allum

Deep sea robot

Searching the ocean floor

WSJ

April 9, 2014

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iunkCElR7H4


The Search for MH-370

The deployment of various underwater vehicles

Fugro

April 2017

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L01P0Tm1AD4



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